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Covenant

Season:
Also known as: Covenant
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 873 (#434) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 771 (#461) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -18.6 (#349) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.193 (#588) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -14.6 More → 0.103 (#355) NetEff -14.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -26.4 More → 0.045 (#609) AdjNet -26.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.9 More → 0.040 (#609) AdjNet -26.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 52.1 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.163 (#614) AdjO 52.1 | AdjD 70.1

2025 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2025 Roster

No roster data available for this season.