Covenant
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 951 (#603) | - |
| Margin Recency | -11.8 (#558) | HCA +3.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.389 (#591) | AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 88.7 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.263 (#616) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.288 (#599) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.104 (#579) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 854 (#516) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | St. John Fisher | L | 83 - 87 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Hilbert | L | 99 - 111 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Spalding | L | 83 - 86 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Sewanee | W | 110 - 109 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Berry | L | 88 - 97 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Centre | L | 108 - 112 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Oglethorpe | L | 91 - 108 |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | East Tex. Baptist | L | 78 - 87 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | JWU Charlotte | L | 98 - 107 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Sewanee | W | 98 - 88 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | LaGrange | L | 93 - 128 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Huntingdon | L | 80 - 98 |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Asbury | W | 94 - 83 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Welch | W | 102 - 87 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Belhaven | L | 78 - 87 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Piedmont | W | 94 - 80 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Maryville (TN) | L | 84 - 96 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Bob Jones | W | 96 - 90 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Warren Wilson | W | 96 - 69 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Asbury | L | 88 - 91 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Huntingdon | W | 96 - 90 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Maryville (TN) | L | 73 - 98 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.