🐻⬇️🏀

Covenant College Scots

Also known as: Covenant College Scots
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 854 (#994) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 829 (#1052) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 998 (#236) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -19.8 (#915) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -10.8 (#473) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 65.5 More → 0.479 (#309) AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 65.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.220 (#506) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.260 (#503) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 899 (#405) RD 350 | GP 1

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 39 - 77

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. McGriff C. McGriff - 1 28.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 14.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Sears C. Sears - 1 27.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Danek J. Danek - 1 21.0 4.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Mutcherson R. Mutcherson - 1 20.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Frierson N. Frierson - 1 26.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG