Cortland
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1037 (#154) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1062 (#157) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.0 (#151) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.722 (#336) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.547 (#265) | NetEff +1.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.446 (#378) | AdjNet -1.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.439 (#380) | AdjNet -2.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.456 (#388) | AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 67.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Rensselaer | L | 49 - 55 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | SUNY Potsdam | W | 94 - 83 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Ithaca | L | 58 - 64 |
| 2024-11-18 | vs | Rochester (NY) | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | SUNY Potsdam | L | 69 - 71 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Plattsburgh St. | W | 64 - 63 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Hamilton | L | 51 - 73 |
| 2025-01-03 | vs | St. Joseph's (ME) | L | 69 - 83 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Vassar | L | 75 - 89 |
| 2025-01-07 | @ | Fredonia | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2025-01-10 | vs | SUNY Canton | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Oswego St. | W | 81 - 65 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Buffalo St. | W | 78 - 59 |
| 2025-01-17 | @ | SUNY New Paltz | L | 76 - 82 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | SUNY Oneonta | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2025-01-24 | @ | SUNY Morrisville | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | Buffalo St. | W | 71 - 53 |
| 2025-01-31 | @ | Plattsburgh St. | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | SUNY Potsdam | W | 59 - 54 |
| 2025-02-04 | vs | Fredonia | W | 90 - 66 |
| 2025-02-07 | vs | SUNY Morrisville | W | 65 - 54 |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | SUNY Oneonta | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | SUNY New Paltz | L | 39 - 54 |
| 2025-02-21 | @ | Oswego St. | L | 45 - 79 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | SUNY Canton | W | 67 - 52 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | SUNY Oneonta | W | 73 - 55 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Oswego St. | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | SUNY New Paltz | W | 61 - 52 |
| 2025-03-07 | @ | NYU | L | 36 - 72 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Welch | - | 1 | 24.0 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 37 | 3.7 | 7.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.05 | 50.6 | 50.0 |
| Kendall Arcuri | - | 28 | 32.9 | 14.3 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 11.8 | 10.3 | -86 | -3.7 | -7.9 | 42.6 | 30.0 | 78.7 | -1.3 | 53.8 | 49.4 |
| Aaron Coston | - | 28 | 28.4 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 10.4 | 10.0 | -25 | -1.1 | -2.8 | 45.9 | 30.9 | 77.4 | -0.19 | 55.8 | 51.7 |
| Franklin Infante | - | 1 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 41 | 3.7 | 5.8 | 57.1 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.21 | 62.2 | 57.1 |
| Joel Davis | - | 26 | 28.2 | 10.1 | 9.7 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 9.0 | 13.0 | -55 | -2.5 | -6.8 | 47.0 | 34.3 | 50.0 | 0.27 | 52.4 | 52.1 |
| Nate Pondexter Jr. | - | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -11 | -0.8 | -3.0 | 57.1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Kevin Tabb | - | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 39 | 3.9 | 8.9 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.86 | 45.7 | 28.6 |
| Irwayne Connell Jr. | - | 1 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | -7 | -7.0 | -20.3 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.49 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Isaiah Austin | - | 16 | 21.4 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 3.8 | -9 | -0.4 | -1.4 | 35.4 | 30.9 | 76.9 | 0.27 | 48.2 | 46.0 |
| Jeremiah Smith | - | 1 | 29.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | -38 | -5.4 | -13.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.06 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Kendrick Wilson | - | 17 | 16.8 | 5.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 2.8 | -47 | -2.9 | -26.6 | 33.0 | 30.0 | 69.7 | -0.03 | 46.1 | 41.0 |
| Gerrad Beaubrun | - | 17 | 19.2 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 33.8 | 33.3 | 75.9 | 0.16 | 47.8 | 40.8 |
| Jaylen Warmack | - | 17 | 13.6 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 2.5 | -25 | -1.8 | -5.2 | 32.0 | 22.6 | 60.0 | 0.13 | 39.2 | 36.7 |
| Gaige Armbrewster | - | 27 | 25.2 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 3.7 | -40 | -2.2 | -7.3 | 38.0 | 27.0 | 36.4 | -0.36 | 46.0 | 46.5 |
| Damari Johnson | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 17 | 2.4 | 10.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Pierre Hajjar | - | 17 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | -18 | -2.2 | -40.2 | 41.4 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.09 | 52.8 | 51.7 |
| Chris McDonald | - | 24 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.3 | -12 | -2.0 | -10.5 | 57.1 | 40.0 | 66.7 | -0.02 | 67.7 | 66.7 |
| Gavyn Pacheco | - | 22 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 14 | 2.0 | 145.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.95 | 50.8 | 50.0 |
| Isaiah Warmack | - | 10 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 25.0 | 37.5 | - | 47.5 | 50.0 |
| Federico Chiappa | - | 22 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -1.02 | 51.5 | 50.0 |
| Frank DeStefano | - | 17 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -1 | -0.2 | -13.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.06 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Orlando Dawkins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ikechukwu Ezike | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 30 | 3.0 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaiden Gladney | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -29 | -2.9 | -121.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.61 | 0 | 0 |
| Ladan Graves | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -8 | -0.7 | -2.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Colin Hartig | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jeremy Jolly | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Kone-Bradshaw | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -1.8 | -19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.38 | 0 | 0 |
| Wol Machteng | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 0.8 | 22.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Aidan McGuire | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sasha Vidrini | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 10 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| AJ Williams Jr. | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 2.0 | 41.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.95 | 0 | 0 |
| TayShaun Hawkins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG