Cornell
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 850 (#258) | Preseason prior 841 (returning production + recruiting): last season 908, returning -10, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 904 (#250) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 907 (#248) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -12.0 (#280) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -11.9 (#279) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.039 (#324) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.213 (#304) | AdjNet -16.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.186 (#316) | AdjNet -18.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.268 (#305) | AdjO 55.5 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.271 (#304) | AdjO 55.6 | AdjD 67.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.259 (#290) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.260 (#290) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 902 (#245) | RD 187 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.241 (#277) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | UConn Huskies | L | 35 - 100 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | SUNY Fredonia Blue Devils | W | 106 - 37 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | Syracuse Orange | L | 48 - 80 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Canisius Golden Griffins | W | 64 - 61 |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Mercyhurst Lakers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | UAlbany Great Danes | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Katie Leonard
|
G | 4 | 21.0 | 11.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 4.2 | -49 | 4 | -12.2 | -23.8 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -5.01 | 64.5 | 64.7 |
Clarke Jackson
|
G | 4 | 23.5 | 9.0 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 6.8 | -20 | 4 | -5.0 | -9.2 | 48.3 | 50.0 | 71.4 | -0.79 | 56.1 | 53.4 |
Rachel Kaus
|
G | 4 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 6.0 | -17 | 4 | -4.2 | -9.1 | 34.6 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 1.02 | 48.4 | 38.5 |
Ally Pape
|
G | 4 | 16.0 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 4.2 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 35.3 | 100.0 | - | 56.1 | 52.0 |
Audrey Chen
|
G | 4 | 20.0 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.5 | 3.2 | -16 | 4 | -4.0 | -8.4 | 36.7 | 22.2 | 100.0 | -0.42 | 46.3 | 43.3 |
Ashley Childers
|
F | 4 | 14.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | -36 | 4 | -9.0 | -24.7 | 22.2 | 16.7 | 75.0 | -2.17 | 34.9 | 25.0 |
Rhylin Fehrenbach
|
G | 3 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3.7 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -14.9 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -2.3 | 82.8 | 87.5 |
Brooke Nunnally-Gardner
|
F | 4 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 15 | 4 | 3.8 | 15.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.87 | 54.3 | 50.0 |
Simone Richmond
|
G | 4 | 14.2 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 6.5 | -2.2 | -5 | 4 | -1.2 | -3.7 | 15.4 | 7.1 | 100.0 | -1.25 | 23.4 | 17.3 |
Grace Renners
|
F | 3 | 10.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | -17 | 3 | -5.7 | -25.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.89 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
Alana Andrews
|
G | 2 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 24 | 2 | 12.0 | 70.8 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.03 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
Paige Engels
|
G | 4 | 17.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1 | 4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 22.2 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -1.36 | 32.5 | 27.8 |
Willa Chinn
|
G | 3 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 25 | 3 | 8.3 | 50.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.46 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Kelsey Langston
|
G | 4 | 21.8 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 | -40 | 4 | -10.0 | -19.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2.63 | 19.2 | 20.0 |
Trinity Jones
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Emma O'Brien
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
246 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Katie LeonardClarke JacksonAlly PapeAudrey ChenRachel KausBrooke Nunnally-GardnerAshley ChildersSimone Richmond
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 10-16 | 62.5 | 20 | Brooke Nunnally-Gardner 40% (8 pts) | Clarke Jackson 20% (4 pts) | Ashley Childers 50% (3 misses) | Ally Pape 17% (1 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 35-80 | 43.8 | 70 | Katie Leonard 14% (10 pts) | Audrey Chen 11% (8 pts) | Rachel Kaus 20% (9 misses) | Simone Richmond 13% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 7-15 | 46.7 | 14 | Audrey Chen 29% (4 pts) | Clarke Jackson 29% (4 pts) | Clarke Jackson 62% (5 misses) | Audrey Chen 12% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-7 | 42.9 | 6 | Katie Leonard 67% (4 pts) | Clarke Jackson 33% (2 pts) | Clarke Jackson 50% (2 misses) | Audrey Chen 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 6-18 | 33.3 | 12 | Clarke Jackson 33% (4 pts) | Rachel Kaus 33% (4 pts) | Ashley Childers 17% (2 misses) | Clarke Jackson 17% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 6-8 | 75.0 | 18 | Clarke Jackson 33% (6 pts) | Katie Leonard 33% (6 pts) | Katie Leonard 50% (1 misses) | Paige Engels 50% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Katie Leonard 40% (2 misses) | Audrey Chen 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-41 | 19.5 | 24 | Katie Leonard 50% (12 pts) | Ally Pape 25% (6 pts) | Audrey Chen 24% (8 misses) | Katie Leonard 18% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 7-25 | 28.0 | 21 | Ally Pape 29% (6 pts) | Rachel Kaus 29% (6 pts) | Simone Richmond 28% (5 misses) | Rachel Kaus 22% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 8-31 | 25.8 | 24 | Audrey Chen 38% (9 pts) | Katie Leonard 38% (9 pts) | Ally Pape 35% (8 misses) | Audrey Chen 17% (4 misses) |