Coppin State
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 675 (#350) | Preseason prior 679 (returning production + recruiting): last season 766, returning +0, transfers -75, freshmen -13 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 824 (#350) | HCA +232 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 907 (#345) | HCA +232 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -9.0 (#282) | HCA +1.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -8.7 (#279) | HCA +1.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.078 (#348) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.257 (#329) | AdjNet -12.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.254 (#329) | AdjNet -12.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.324 (#314) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.374 (#299) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.271 (#323) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.280 (#322) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 790 (#352) | RD 200 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.154 (#344) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | Virginia Tech Hokies | L | 54 - 88 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | George Mason Patriots | L | 51 - 68 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Cheyney (PA) Wolves | W | 90 - 53 |
| 2026-11-12 | vs | Bradley Braves | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | South Florida Bulls | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | La Salle Explorers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brendan Johnson
|
G | 3 | 26.0 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 3.7 | -12 | 2 | -6.0 | -10.8 | 51.9 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.56 | 53.7 | 53.7 |
Malik Shackleford
|
G | 3 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 20 | 2 | 10.0 | 24.5 | 52.9 | 60.0 | 75.0 | 0.34 | 72.0 | 70.6 |
Baasil Saunders
|
G | 3 | 20.0 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 7.7 | 13 | 2 | 6.5 | 11.9 | 57.9 | 0.0 | 57.1 | -1.66 | 58.9 | 57.9 |
Daveyon Lydner
|
G | 3 | 14.0 | 6.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 15 | 2 | 7.5 | 21.3 | 58.3 | 50.0 | 55.6 | 0.33 | 62.7 | 62.5 |
Hussain Williams
|
G | 3 | 19.0 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 83.3 | -1.31 | 46.0 | 38.9 |
Jamari Piercy
|
G | 3 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 6.3 | 2.0 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -2.3 | 31.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.31 | 43.4 | 36.8 |
C. Sparrrow
|
G | 3 | 20.0 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 5.0 | -13 | 2 | -6.5 | -14.2 | 46.2 | 33.3 | 80.0 | -0.43 | 55.9 | 50.0 |
Tafara Gapare
|
F | 3 | 17.0 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 3.0 | -3 | 2 | -1.5 | -4.2 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.83 | 50.4 | 46.7 |
Sven Djopmo
|
G | 2 | 16.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | -8 | 1 | -8.0 | -17.4 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.55 | 41.0 | 37.5 |
Josiah Brown
|
G | 3 | 18.7 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 19 | 2 | 9.5 | 17.1 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 62.5 | 0.42 | 35.9 | 22.2 |
Favour Aire
|
C | 3 | 18.7 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.7 | -16 | 2 | -8.0 | -14.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 44.4 | -1.47 | 37.7 | 25.0 |
Tyler Koenig
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Nelson Lamizana
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Levi Lawal
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Allen Myers
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Elijah Taylor
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
161 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Brendan JohnsonMalik ShacklefordBaasil SaundersDaveyon LydnerJamari PiercyTafara GapareC. Sparrrow
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 19-29 | 65.5 | 38 | Brendan Johnson 21% (8 pts) | Baasil Saunders 16% (6 pts) | Daveyon Lydner 20% (2 misses) | Hussain Williams 20% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 20-41 | 48.8 | 40 | Baasil Saunders 30% (12 pts) | C. Sparrrow 15% (6 pts) | Jamari Piercy 19% (4 misses) | Josiah Brown 14% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-10 | 20.0 | 4 | Brendan Johnson 50% (2 pts) | C. Sparrrow 50% (2 pts) | Jamari Piercy 38% (3 misses) | Brendan Johnson 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 4-8 | 50.0 | 8 | Brendan Johnson 75% (6 pts) | Malik Shackleford 25% (2 pts) | Baasil Saunders 25% (1 misses) | Brendan Johnson 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 11-21 | 52.4 | 22 | Brendan Johnson 36% (8 pts) | Baasil Saunders 18% (4 pts) | C. Sparrrow 40% (4 misses) | Brendan Johnson 30% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-3 | 66.7 | 6 | Malik Shackleford 100% (6 pts) | - | Brendan Johnson 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 1-3 | 33.3 | 3 | Malik Shackleford 100% (3 pts) | - | Baasil Saunders 50% (1 misses) | C. Sparrrow 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-13 | 38.5 | 15 | Jamari Piercy 40% (6 pts) | C. Sparrrow 20% (3 pts) | Malik Shackleford 38% (3 misses) | Hussain Williams 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-11 | 9.1 | 3 | Tafara Gapare 100% (3 pts) | - | Baasil Saunders 20% (2 misses) | Hussain Williams 20% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 6-22 | 27.3 | 18 | Malik Shackleford 50% (9 pts) | Brendan Johnson 17% (3 pts) | Brendan Johnson 19% (3 misses) | Jamari Piercy 19% (3 misses) |