🐻⬇️🏀

Converse

Also known as: Converse
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 729 (#531) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 697 (#530) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 880 (#632) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -23.2 (#291) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -14.4 (#550) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.130 (#520) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -28.9 More → 0.022 (#440) NetEff -28.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.4 More → 0.131 (#572) AdjNet -16.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -16.1 More → 0.129 (#573) AdjNet -16.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.258 (#587) AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 70.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.251 (#642) AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 73.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.141 (#634) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.157 (#633) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 120 | GP 22 More → 756 (#484) RD 120 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Wofford L 65 - 126
2025-11-14 @ Middle Georgia L 61 - 66
2025-11-15 @ Lincoln Memorial L 41 - 86
2025-11-19 @ Winston-Salem L 67 - 101
2025-11-22 @ Emmanuel (GA) L 72 - 81
2025-11-25 vs Claflin L 42 - 76
2025-11-29 @ Elizabeth City St. L 59 - 89
2025-12-03 @ North Greenville L 66 - 84
2025-12-06 vs Southern Wesleyan L 72 - 78
2025-12-13 vs Belmont Abbey L 59 - 72
2025-12-16 @ King (TN) L 51 - 82
2025-12-20 @ Coker L 52 - 103
2025-12-31 @ Augusta L 69 - 91
2026-01-03 @ Ferrum L 59 - 77
2026-01-17 vs Barton L 62 - 90
2026-01-19 @ UNC Pembroke L 50 - 68
2026-01-29 vs North Greenville W 67 - 61
2026-02-04 @ Belmont Abbey L 64 - 79
2026-02-07 @ Mount Olive W 69 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tatiana Brown - 16 25.0 14.9 6.8 1.1 0.7 0.2 2.3 11.9 9.4 -110 -5.8 -42.3 45.3 27.3 74.1 -1.22 52.7 46.8
Andrea Gutierrez Ciordia - 14 34.9 13.1 6.6 2.1 1.9 0.1 3.8 11.5 8.6 -161 -10.1 -114.0 44.7 28.9 71.1 -0.07 51.8 48.8
Mazie Helpman - 19 31.8 12.6 4.8 1.0 1.2 0.4 2.8 13.1 4.0 -154 -7.3 -46.4 35.3 20.4 79.2 -1.95 43.9 39.6
Madison Fileen - 19 33.3 8.3 2.8 3.2 0.6 0.2 3.3 9.0 2.7 -171 -8.1 -83.6 31.0 24.7 81.8 0.22 42.3 38.0
Janiyah Hagood - 15 16.9 6.4 3.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.6 5.9 3.5 -77 -4.3 -37.7 33.7 32.6 70.0 1.08 47.0 42.1
Emma Kanz - 9 12.3 5.4 1.9 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.7 5.4 2.2 -19 -1.7 -12.9 46.9 0 37.5 1.29 46.6 46.9
Skyler Ellison - 13 9.6 2.9 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.0 3.1 0.8 -78 -5.6 -94.3 35.0 34.5 0 -3.23 47.5 47.5
London Vaughn - 15 12.9 2.4 1.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 1.6 2.3 1.3 -26 -1.9 -10.8 32.4 25.0 83.3 0.66 45.8 38.2
Jaclyn Wright-Thompson - 17 9.3 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 3.2 0.4 -87 -4.8 -163.3 21.8 23.5 50.0 -0.19 33.5 32.7
Rayanna Evans - 15 16.1 2.1 2.3 0.9 1.1 0.1 1.3 3.1 1.9 -63 -3.7 -43.9 25.5 17.4 75.0 -0.23 31.8 29.8
JoLesa Birkhead - 11 6.4 1.5 1.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.9 2.6 -0.6 -4 -0.3 -8.6 20.7 15.8 100.0 -0.55 28.4 25.9
Lisa Lorenz Conrotto - 17 12.1 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.6 1.6 -0.1 -32 -1.7 -17.7 17.9 5.6 46.2 1.97 25.2 19.6
Keke Wright - 17 11.7 0.2 1.7 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.2 -40 -2.1 -96.4 7.1 11.1 0 2.25 10.7 10.7
Lauren Clute - 16 7.4 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 -60 -3.8 -68.1 7.7 7.7 50.0 -1.45 14.4 11.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG