Connecticut Col.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1025 (#189) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1081 (#126) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.1 (#152) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.351 (#520) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.613 (#197) | NetEff +3.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.630 (#334) | AdjNet +4.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.629 (#331) | AdjNet +4.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.552 (#330) | AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 59.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Mitchell | W | 95 - 47 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Hartford | W | 68 - 41 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | UMass Boston | W | 72 - 42 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Coast Guard | L | 74 - 84 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Salve Regina | W | 59 - 49 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2024-12-01 | vs | Middlebury | L | 51 - 62 |
| 2024-12-05 | vs | Framingham St. | W | 63 - 56 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | L | 52 - 75 |
| 2024-12-09 | @ | JWU (Providence) | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Babson | L | 53 - 57 |
| 2025-01-03 | vs | UMSV | W | 90 - 51 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Arcadia | W | 64 - 54 |
| 2025-01-10 | @ | Colby | L | 46 - 67 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Bowdoin | L | 48 - 65 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Clark (MA) | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2025-01-17 | vs | Middlebury | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Williams | L | 52 - 65 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Tufts | L | 43 - 59 |
| 2025-01-31 | vs | Trinity (CT) | L | 50 - 75 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2025-02-07 | @ | Hamilton | L | 69 - 81 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Amherst | L | 43 - 66 |
| 2025-02-14 | @ | Bates | L | 54 - 68 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valeria santiago Ded | - | 2 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 38.9 | 33.3 | 60.0 | -0.05 | 49.5 | 47.2 |
| Addi Hunter | - | 20 | 25.4 | 9.6 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 8.9 | 9.1 | -47 | -2.4 | -3.6 | 39.9 | 20.0 | 75.4 | -0.07 | 46.5 | 40.2 |
| Catie Donadio | - | 24 | 27.0 | 8.1 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 6.7 | -98 | -5.2 | -6.8 | 39.7 | 23.3 | 72.2 | -0.27 | 45.1 | 42.2 |
| Mia Xerras | - | 24 | 31.1 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 4.2 | -66 | -2.4 | -3.3 | 36.1 | 37.5 | 82.1 | -0.07 | 51.6 | 48.5 |
| Hayle Thompson | - | 24 | 19.7 | 7.1 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 7.7 | -39 | -1.4 | -2.3 | 53.6 | 0.0 | 69.0 | 0.51 | 55.6 | 53.6 |
| Avery Burns | - | 23 | 18.9 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 2.1 | -121 | -5.0 | -9.4 | 35.2 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.71 | 50.2 | 46.7 |
| Catherine Cole | - | 24 | 17.4 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 6.6 | 0.8 | -62 | -2.2 | -3.6 | 27.8 | 24.4 | 66.7 | -0.55 | 36.5 | 34.2 |
| Valeria Santiago Dedós | - | 5 | 11.4 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 2.4 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 42.9 | 25.0 | - | 54.9 | 57.1 |
| Sydney Marshall | - | 24 | 13.3 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 5.5 | -51 | -1.8 | -3.2 | 51.2 | 0 | 44.9 | 0.14 | 51.2 | 51.2 |
| Valeria Santiago dedós | - | 6 | 11.2 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 4.2 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 36.0 | 37.5 | 25.0 | - | 46.7 | 48.0 |
| Valeria santiago Dedos | - | 14 | 9.3 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 0.9 | -22 | -0.9 | -2.8 | 32.8 | 27.3 | 71.4 | -0.1 | 44.4 | 40.5 |
| Hallie O'Toole | - | 5 | 10.8 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 43.8 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.35 | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Catie Hurley | - | 21 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 4.4 | -12 | -0.5 | -1.2 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 52.8 | -0.27 | 44.9 | 41.0 |
| Coco Rourke | - | 13 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 4 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 70.8 | -0.03 | 65.7 | 50.0 |
| Charlotte Head | - | 20 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 2.0 | -21 | -0.9 | -3.8 | 30.8 | 0 | 45.5 | 0.06 | 32.5 | 30.8 |
| Lily Funk | - | 13 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 6 | 0.5 | 6.8 | 31.8 | 41.7 | 100.0 | 0.07 | 45.9 | 43.2 |
| Sydney Feeney | - | 17 | 7.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | -14 | -0.8 | -4.8 | 30.8 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 35.5 | 36.5 |
| Paige Raynor | - | 15 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 12 | 0.9 | 7.8 | 31.2 | 28.6 | 0 | 0.11 | 43.8 | 43.8 |
| Anique St. Laurent | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG