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Connecticut Col.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Connecticut Col.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1025 (#189) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1110 (#122) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1060 (#157) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +2.4 (#171) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +1.2 (#352) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.351 (#520) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.9 More → 0.600 (#322) NetEff +2.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.6 More → 0.630 (#334) AdjNet +4.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.5 More → 0.629 (#331) AdjNet +4.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 59.2 More → 0.552 (#330) AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 59.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 55.5 More → 0.564 (#278) AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 55.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.623 (#279) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.616 (#281) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 1112 (#142) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Mitchell W 85 - 41
2025-11-15 vs Roger Williams L 49 - 60
2025-11-18 @ WPI L 51 - 61
2025-11-21 @ St. Lawrence W 62 - 48
2025-11-22 @ Western New Eng. L 62 - 65
2025-11-25 @ Eastern Conn. St. W 65 - 46
2025-11-30 vs Wheaton (MA) W 60 - 59
2025-12-03 @ Framingham St. W 73 - 72
2026-01-10 vs Bowdoin L 43 - 67
2026-01-13 vs Rhode Island Col. W 54 - 53
2026-01-16 @ Middlebury W 57 - 48
2026-01-17 @ Williams L 37 - 55
2026-01-24 @ Tufts W 55 - 38
2026-01-30 @ Trinity (CT) L 62 - 77
2026-01-31 @ Wesleyan (CT) W 70 - 55
2026-02-06 vs Hamilton W 75 - 68
2026-02-07 vs Amherst L 38 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sofia Tavarez - 17 25.1 15.6 2.9 2.1 1.5 0.1 2.6 12.6 6.9 92 5.4 82.4 46.0 17.2 61.4 1.58 51.1 47.2
Mia Xerras - 17 31.5 10.9 2.5 1.5 0.8 0.0 1.6 8.4 5.8 72 5.1 62.2 42.3 42.6 84.6 -0.5 60.3 57.4
Valeria Santiago Dedos - 7 18.4 6.7 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 7.3 1.7 13 0.9 63.9 35.3 37.0 50.0 -0.26 45.3 45.1
Catherine Cole - 17 23.0 5.9 3.3 1.8 0.9 0.0 1.9 7.3 2.7 35 2.3 40.3 29.8 31.0 64.3 1.67 38.8 37.1
Hayle Thompson - 17 22.0 5.2 6.2 1.1 0.4 1.2 1.4 4.8 8.1 26 1.7 33.4 49.4 0 81.8 0.73 51.8 49.4
Valeria Santiago Dedós - 9 18.8 4.8 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.2 1.0 7.0 0.2 31 2.1 112.4 23.8 25.6 100.0 -0.33 33.7 32.5
Sydney Marshall - 17 25.5 4.6 6.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.4 4.4 8.8 53 3.5 51.3 37.8 0 52.3 0.36 42.3 37.8
Valeria Santiago Ded - 1 16.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 50.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Hallie O'Toole - 13 8.6 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.4 0.1 16 1.5 62.0 29.5 25.8 0 -0.09 38.6 38.6
Avery Burns - 8 9.8 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 2.2 1.1 0 0.0 0.0 33.3 42.9 100.0 -1.02 53.0 50.0
Lily Funk - 5 4.2 2.4 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.4 1.4 5 1.0 134.8 41.7 28.6 0 -0.45 50.0 50.0
Sydney Feeney - 9 7.8 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.8 2.2 0.7 28 3.5 277.7 35.0 12.5 75.0 0.38 41.4 37.5
Lusine Hagopian - 8 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.6 3 0.4 80.9 66.7 60.0 0 -0.45 83.3 83.3
Charlotte Head - 14 6.8 1.4 1.5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.5 2.2 17 1.3 105.7 47.6 0 0 -1.16 47.6 47.6
Catie Hurley - 17 12.4 1.4 3.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.4 3.9 50 3.3 58.7 26.1 0 54.5 2.27 36.7 26.1
Addi Hunter - 13 9.3 1.3 1.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.5 2.2 34 2.8 151.1 31.6 23.1 100.0 1.12 42.8 39.5
Coco Rourke - 6 5.6 1.0 2.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.8 2.5 2 0.4 53.9 60.0 0 0.0 -0.45 51.0 60.0
Paige Raynor - 8 4.4 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.2 14 1.8 377.5 37.5 33.3 0 -0.45 50.0 50.0
Anique St. Laurent - 15 5.4 0.8 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.8 0.5 - - - 14.8 7.1 75.0 - 20.9 16.7
Keaton Arangua-Egbert - 5 4.1 0.0 0.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.2 1.4 -12 -2.0 -400.0 0.0 0 0 -0.46 0.0 0.0
Keaton Arangua-Egber - 1 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG