Connecticut Col.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1151 (#19) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1161 (#37) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.8 (#85) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.761 (#311) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.696 (#179) | NetEff +7.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.698 (#279) | AdjNet +7.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.697 (#274) | AdjNet +7.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.602 (#291) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 66.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Albright | W | 73 - 50 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | TCNJ | L | 65 - 82 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Coast Guard | L | 54 - 59 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Hartford | W | 90 - 54 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2024-12-01 | vs | Roger Williams | W | 81 - 68 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Emmanuel (MA) | W | 82 - 68 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | NYU | L | 46 - 88 |
| 2024-12-09 | vs | Mitchell | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | WestConn | W | 80 - 64 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Farmingdale St. | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Keene St. | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | Emerson | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2025-01-10 | vs | Colby | L | 56 - 69 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Bowdoin | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2025-01-17 | @ | Middlebury | W | 74 - 55 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Williams | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Tufts | L | 42 - 71 |
| 2025-01-31 | @ | Trinity (CT) | L | 53 - 60 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 54 - 74 |
| 2025-02-07 | vs | Hamilton | L | 57 - 69 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Amherst | W | 62 - 47 |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | Bates | W | 56 - 46 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Hamilton | L | 61 - 70 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Miller | - | 1 | 30.0 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 99 | 4.5 | 9.7 | 85.7 | 100.0 | 66.7 | 1.21 | 86.7 | 92.9 |
| Elias Espinosa | - | 22 | 29.8 | 15.0 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 13.4 | 8.7 | 10 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 37.1 | 37.0 | 78.2 | 1.91 | 51.7 | 48.6 |
| Mac Annus | - | 1 | 33.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 124 | 7.8 | 11.1 | 38.9 | 25.0 | 0 | 1.38 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Cameron Brown | - | 1 | 28.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | -5 | -0.4 | -1.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 55.6 | 0.74 | 65.3 | 66.7 |
| Nate Lopes | - | 1 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 111 | 6.9 | 11.0 | 57.1 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 0.98 | 74.2 | 71.4 |
| Trevor Parks | - | 1 | 37.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | -94 | -4.1 | -13.6 | 30.8 | 30.8 | 0 | 0.98 | 46.2 | 46.2 |
| Cam Schainfeld | - | 13 | 29.5 | 11.1 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 9.8 | 5.8 | -14 | -1.1 | -2.0 | 38.6 | 27.3 | 69.4 | -0.76 | 48.5 | 43.3 |
| Garrett Clar | - | 23 | 27.5 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 7.0 | 8.5 | 8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 46.0 | 33.3 | 88.9 | 1.57 | 57.6 | 54.3 |
| Bryce VanderWiere | - | 1 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -10 | -1.4 | -11.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.11 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Dylan Watson | - | 23 | 28.6 | 7.8 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 31 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 37.9 | 26.2 | 81.1 | 1.99 | 47.0 | 42.8 |
| Andrew Hartel | - | 23 | 22.7 | 7.6 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 6.4 | 7.1 | -8 | -0.4 | -1.0 | 46.9 | 0 | 68.5 | 0.51 | 51.2 | 46.9 |
| Sean Gogolin | - | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -8 | -1.1 | -11.5 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.2 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Luke Farrell | - | 1 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -182 | -7.0 | -20.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.25 | 33.8 | 25.0 |
| Ben Yagey | - | 1 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -89 | -5.2 | -10.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.18 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Ty Higgins | - | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 91 | 6.1 | 8.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.42 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| RJ Casey | - | 13 | 15.5 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 1.5 | -16 | -1.2 | -4.8 | 32.7 | 39.4 | 87.5 | 0.42 | 47.8 | 44.5 |
| Edward Harrison | - | 16 | 10.2 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 1.4 | -11 | -1.8 | -7.1 | 38.7 | 31.6 | 50.0 | 0.04 | 48.6 | 48.4 |
| Aiden Dabbondanza | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -119 | -9.9 | -207.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.27 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Philip Sughrue | - | 1 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 145 | 6.3 | 14.5 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.01 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Quron Zene | - | 7 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 52 | 7.4 | 26.1 | 41.2 | 42.9 | 0 | 0.56 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Alden Doran | - | 22 | 13.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 | -26 | -1.6 | -6.2 | 30.8 | 20.0 | 53.8 | 0.5 | 39.0 | 36.5 |
| Matt Leaver | - | 12 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | -14 | -4.7 | -50.4 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 71.4 | -0.59 | 58.5 | 53.6 |
| Jay Royal | - | 14 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 7 | 7.0 | 33.4 | 54.5 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.61 | 69.6 | 68.2 |
| Tom Harrison | - | 13 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 45.5 | 0 | - | 68.2 | 68.2 |
| Alex Mitchell | - | 21 | 8.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | -34 | -4.9 | -38.7 | 20.0 | 21.4 | 50.0 | -0.18 | 31.5 | 30.0 |
| Cameron Lewis | - | 13 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.7 | 12.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.72 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Bo Moody | - | 14 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | -5 | -1.7 | -17.1 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.52 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Martin Wilson | - | 14 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 5 | 1.7 | 25.5 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.65 | 25.5 | 20.0 |
| Julius Powell | - | 14 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | 4.0 | 39.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.91 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Will MacDonald | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10 | 1.7 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| PJ Johnson Jr. | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG