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Concordia-St. Paul

Also known as: Concordia-St. Paul
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1075 (#81) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1055 (#122) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +26.9 (#6) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.858 (#206) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +20.0 More → 0.924 (#55) NetEff +20.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +35.9 More → 0.985 (#86) AdjNet +35.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +36.5 More → 0.987 (#85) AdjNet +36.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 53.6 More → 0.894 (#81) AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 53.6

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Mo. Southern St. W 72 - 69
2024-11-09 @ Central Mo. W 83 - 61
2024-11-15 vs Truman St. W 68 - 57
2024-11-16 vs Maryville (MO) W 83 - 80
2024-11-20 vs Missouri Western W 77 - 60
2024-11-26 vs Winona St. W 78 - 48
2024-11-30 @ Michigan Tech W 63 - 60
2024-12-06 @ Sioux Falls W 79 - 63
2024-12-07 @ Southwest Minn. St. W 72 - 58
2024-12-13 vs Wayne St. (NE) W 75 - 62
2024-12-14 vs Augustana (SD) W 80 - 58
2024-12-19 @ Minnesota St. L 66 - 85
2024-12-21 vs Minn. Duluth W 82 - 38
2025-01-03 @ MSU Moorhead W 78 - 54
2025-01-04 @ Northern St. L 60 - 66
2025-01-08 vs St. Cloud St. W 72 - 55
2025-01-17 vs Minn.-Crookston W 81 - 69
2025-01-18 vs Bemidji St. W 71 - 51
2025-01-24 @ Minot St. W 93 - 40
2025-01-25 @ Mary W 73 - 48
2025-01-30 vs Minnesota St. W 64 - 56
2025-02-01 @ Minn. Duluth W 86 - 61
2025-02-06 vs Sioux Falls W 82 - 74
2025-02-08 @ Wayne St. (NE) W 69 - 58
2025-02-14 vs Northern St. W 75 - 69
2025-02-15 vs MSU Moorhead W 62 - 53
2025-02-21 @ Bemidji St. W 70 - 39
2025-02-22 @ Minn.-Crookston W 87 - 60
2025-03-01 vs St. Cloud St. W 76 - 60
2025-03-03 vs Northern St. W 66 - 44
2025-03-04 vs Minnesota St. W 92 - 73
2025-03-14 vs Southwest Minn. St. L 64 - 77

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lydia Haack - 32 29.8 16.8 4.8 4.6 1.7 0.2 2.4 13.2 12.6 90 2.1 2.2 45.1 36.7 83.6 0.85 55.4 49.4
Lindsey Becher - 32 24.7 13.2 7.5 1.8 1.2 3.0 1.6 10.8 14.4 - - - 47.6 0.0 77.7 - 53.0 47.6
Leah Dengerud - 32 27.5 9.5 3.1 2.0 1.2 0.2 1.6 7.5 7.0 44 1.0 1.3 41.8 39.7 83.3 0.08 57.7 54.0
Julia Bengtson - 32 24.6 9.1 2.7 1.6 1.6 0.2 1.8 7.8 5.4 - - - 43.0 36.5 74.5 -0.01 53.1 50.0
Ashley Schuelke - 30 21.6 7.5 2.5 1.0 0.9 0.4 1.2 6.6 4.5 65 1.6 2.1 43.9 35.6 82.4 0.98 54.7 53.3
Lauren Wilson - 32 13.2 5.5 3.3 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.9 4.9 5.3 47 1.1 1.6 38.2 27.1 69.8 0.92 48.8 44.3
Megan Gamble - 32 22.5 5.2 7.2 1.8 0.9 0.5 1.2 4.3 10.0 - - - 43.1 36.4 70.5 - 52.8 48.9
Mikayla Kanenwisher - 32 12.7 4.2 1.1 1.8 1.0 0.1 1.3 3.0 3.8 - - - 42.7 44.7 78.9 - 59.0 53.6
Emma Mommsen - 32 12.8 3.5 3.3 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.8 3.0 4.5 28 0.7 1.3 51.6 0.0 58.3 0.27 53.1 51.6
Lauren Feddema - 32 3.9 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.4 -21 -0.7 -2.8 11.1 0.0 50.0 0.47 19.6 11.1
Ella Campbell - 32 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 -49 -0.9 -2.9 30.8 0.0 75.0 0.05 37.3 30.8
Raegan Alexander - 31 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 -0.2 - - - 25.0 25.0 0 - 29.2 29.2
Kierstin Kriewaldt - 32 1.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 - - - 9.1 0.0 0 - 9.1 9.1
Ayana Bousum - 21 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cassidy Pitzl - 22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ava Thompson - 18 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9 -1.5 -3.8 0 0 0 0.37 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG