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Concordia-St. Paul

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Concordia-St. Paul
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 981 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 974 (#216) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +15.6 (#27) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.485 (#346) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +6.3 More → 0.658 (#138) NetEff +6.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.9 More → 0.875 (#167) AdjNet +16.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.2 More → 0.881 (#162) AdjNet +17.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 90.2 | AdjD 77.2 More → 0.765 (#157) AdjO 90.2 | AdjD 77.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 @ Wyoming L 85 - 108
2024-11-08 vs Neb.-Kearney W 95 - 93
2024-11-09 vs Fort Hays St. W 82 - 68
2024-11-14 @ St. Cloud St. W 115 - 104
2024-11-17 vs Michigan Tech W 83 - 67
2024-11-23 @ Upper Iowa L 88 - 96
2024-11-24 vs Northwest Mo. St. W 73 - 58
2024-11-26 vs Winona St. L 73 - 83
2024-12-06 @ Sioux Falls W 97 - 69
2024-12-07 @ Southwest Minn. St. W 92 - 85
2024-12-13 vs Wayne St. (NE) W 85 - 79
2024-12-14 vs Augustana (SD) W 99 - 97
2024-12-19 @ Minnesota St. L 80 - 84
2024-12-21 vs Minn. Duluth W 93 - 89
2025-01-03 @ MSU Moorhead W 93 - 87
2025-01-04 @ Northern St. W 78 - 75
2025-01-08 vs St. Cloud St. L 89 - 93
2025-01-17 vs Minn.-Crookston W 93 - 68
2025-01-18 vs Bemidji St. W 70 - 68
2025-01-24 @ Minot St. L 78 - 92
2025-01-25 @ Mary W 71 - 65
2025-01-30 vs Minnesota St. W 93 - 71
2025-02-01 @ Minn. Duluth L 87 - 88
2025-02-06 vs Sioux Falls W 108 - 106
2025-02-08 @ Wayne St. (NE) W 77 - 60
2025-02-14 vs Northern St. W 87 - 66
2025-02-15 vs MSU Moorhead L 85 - 92
2025-02-21 @ Bemidji St. W 100 - 86
2025-02-22 @ Minn.-Crookston W 88 - 73
2025-03-01 vs Minot St. L 85 - 94
2025-03-15 @ Minot St. W 83 - 71
2025-03-16 @ Washburn L 78 - 94

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Antwan Kimmons - 32 33.8 25.0 6.5 5.6 0.8 0.3 3.3 16.2 18.6 16 0.5 1.1 53.9 39.8 74.0 1.25 63.0 58.3
Marcus Skeete - 31 29.0 14.8 7.4 1.9 1.1 0.3 1.2 11.1 13.2 -2 -0.1 -0.2 46.7 42.8 83.3 0.11 59.7 55.7
Ben Kopetzki - 32 31.8 13.8 3.4 3.5 0.9 0.1 1.8 10.6 9.3 30 0.7 2.0 45.6 41.7 85.7 2.29 58.7 54.4
Cade Meyer - 32 26.2 13.2 6.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.4 9.3 10.7 -11 -0.4 -0.8 58.6 0 49.7 1.06 58.2 58.6
Reid Patterson - 32 17.8 5.8 3.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 4.9 4.3 18 0.7 3.4 38.9 35.1 77.4 0.67 54.5 51.6
Ian Sluice - 31 20.4 4.6 1.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 4.6 2.4 31 1.2 3.1 33.8 34.4 80.0 1.83 49.9 49.3
Japannah Kellogg - 29 15.7 4.5 3.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.1 6.4 -48 -3.2 -8.5 57.3 0 77.8 0.4 62.0 57.3
Sean Mathieu - 21 9.6 2.5 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.8 2.2 - - - 44.7 40.0 70.6 - 57.2 52.6
Chet Kloss - 32 9.5 2.4 2.8 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 1.7 3.9 53 2.0 27.2 55.6 33.3 32.6 0.41 51.9 57.4
Will Boser - 32 7.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.5 15 1.2 9.0 29.8 27.9 0 0.04 42.6 42.6
Owen Carlson - 31 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 1 0.1 6.6 27.3 0.0 100.0 -1.06 33.7 27.3
Cal Greene - 28 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 6 2.0 114.3 50.0 0.0 66.7 -1.46 60.2 50.0
Hudson Vaith - 31 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 18 1.1 847.1 50.0 0.0 50.0 -1.8 50.7 50.0
Brayden Dailey - 29 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 50.0 100.0 50.0 - 69.4 75.0
Isaiah Deitz - 32 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 19 1.5 894.1 100.0 0 0 -1.8 100.0 100.0
Malik Spearman - 31 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 14.5 0.0
Ryan Johnson - 17 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -21 -3.5 -11.5 0 0 0 -0.08 0 0
Owen Waldoch - 17 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG