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Concordia-St. Paul

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Concordia-St. Paul
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 981 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1145 (#72) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1092 (#81) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +11.1 (#89) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +15.4 (#96) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.485 (#346) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +44.8 More → 0.993 (#81) NetEff +44.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.9 More → 0.875 (#167) AdjNet +16.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.2 More → 0.881 (#162) AdjNet +17.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 90.2 | AdjD 77.2 More → 0.765 (#157) AdjO 90.2 | AdjD 77.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.706 (#66) AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 74.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.764 (#92) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.758 (#86) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 24 More → 1108 (#109) RD 95 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 @ Neb.-Kearney W 98 - 92
2025-11-16 @ Fort Hays St. W 79 - 68
2025-11-19 vs Winona St. W 83 - 58
2025-11-25 @ Drury W 94 - 83
2025-11-26 vs McKendree L 66 - 80
2025-11-29 vs Jamestown W 73 - 71
2025-11-30 vs MSU Moorhead W 111 - 108
2025-12-03 vs St. Cloud St. L 87 - 93
2025-12-06 @ Minnesota St. W 89 - 77
2025-12-13 vs Southwest Minn. St. L 71 - 80
2025-12-14 vs Sioux Falls W 95 - 92
2025-12-18 @ Wayne St. (NE) L 65 - 79
2025-12-20 @ Augustana (SD) L 69 - 82
2026-01-03 @ Winona St. L 67 - 85
2026-01-09 vs MSU Moorhead W 102 - 89
2026-01-10 vs Minn.-Crookston W 89 - 78
2026-01-16 @ Jamestown W 71 - 69
2026-01-17 @ Northern St. W 78 - 73
2026-01-23 @ Bemidji St. W 99 - 95
2026-01-24 @ Minn. Duluth L 61 - 71
2026-01-30 vs Minot St. W 91 - 88
2026-01-31 vs Mary W 92 - 79
2026-02-05 vs Augustana (SD) L 81 - 88
2026-02-07 vs Wayne St. (NE) W 95 - 59

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ben Kopetzki - 24 32.9 21.3 3.6 3.4 1.2 0.0 2.2 15.7 11.6 -9 -0.4 -1.4 43.6 38.3 88.4 0.89 58.6 51.9
Owen Carlson - 22 23.6 13.4 3.9 0.9 1.1 0.4 1.7 8.5 9.4 24 1.1 4.8 51.3 46.2 84.1 -2.86 68.5 64.4
Sam West - 19 31.2 11.4 5.5 5.0 2.7 0.6 3.3 10.1 11.9 30 1.6 4.8 43.8 31.6 62.0 2.04 50.7 48.4
Reid Patterson - 20 19.8 10.3 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.8 7.2 5.7 11 0.6 4.1 46.5 38.5 92.5 1.34 63.7 58.7
Jaden Wysocki - 24 23.8 8.8 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 6.0 7.9 -21 -0.9 -5.3 52.4 38.3 71.4 1.35 65.3 63.3
Ryan Johnson - 24 23.9 6.3 3.7 2.3 1.7 0.1 2.8 3.8 7.5 26 1.1 5.7 41.8 36.8 72.9 -2.46 59.2 49.5
Chet Kloss - 24 22.1 6.0 5.4 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.6 4.4 8.9 35 1.5 7.1 50.0 25.8 52.7 2.6 54.9 53.8
Jaxon Young - 2 8.3 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 9 4.5 128.6 50.0 66.7 100.0 0.18 72.7 66.7
Marcus Burks - 24 15.6 4.3 2.2 1.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 4.0 3.5 68 2.8 22.7 35.1 25.9 59.6 1.79 43.8 38.7
Hudson Vaith - 23 10.4 3.6 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.5 3.3 2.5 26 1.1 22.0 44.0 22.2 66.7 0.52 50.2 48.0
Patrick Bath - 21 7.8 2.9 3.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.3 3.9 5 0.2 4.5 47.9 0 60.9 -1.56 51.6 47.9
Alex Kopetzki - 1 3.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Isaiah Deitz - 15 4.5 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.8 29 1.9 46.7 44.4 100.0 75.0 0.66 65.1 61.1
Jackson Driessen - 1 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 -0.16 0.0 0.0
Allan Lankfard Jr. - 1 2.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 208 9.5 41.3 0.0 0 0 0.18 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG