Concordia Wisconsin
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 929 (#366) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 899 (#373) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.3 (#187) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.340 (#523) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.567 (#216) | NetEff +2.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.308 (#447) | AdjNet -7.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.293 (#449) | AdjNet -7.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.406 (#431) | AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 60.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 50 - 72 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Wis.-Whitewater | L | 37 - 80 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | L | 36 - 58 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | St. Norbert | L | 44 - 54 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 68 - 37 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Concordia Chicago | W | 70 - 42 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Williams | L | 48 - 59 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Emerson | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2025-01-24 | @ | Concordia (MI) | L | 28 - 54 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Concordia Chicago | W | 64 - 46 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arianna Gerig | - | 1 | 35.0 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 13.0 | -123 | -5.6 | -6.2 | 65.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.69 | 65.0 | 65.0 |
| Aubrey DeBauch | - | 7 | 25.7 | 14.1 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 11.3 | 9.3 | 25 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 44.3 | 0.0 | 80.6 | 0.11 | 52.2 | 44.3 |
| Micah Walton | - | 1 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | -15 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.6 | 46.6 | 41.7 |
| Ava Booth | - | 10 | 27.7 | 8.9 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 10.9 | 2.3 | 36 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 26.6 | 26.5 | 66.7 | 0.48 | 36.0 | 30.7 |
| Andrea Butterbrodt | - | 10 | 23.8 | 7.0 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 5.9 | 7.2 | 15 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 45.8 | 55.6 | 84.6 | -0.0 | 54.1 | 50.0 |
| Ellie Tounkara | - | 1 | 35.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | -79 | -3.6 | -4.1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.66 | 28.7 | 20.0 |
| Cortland McBarron | - | 1 | 36.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | -79 | -3.6 | -4.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.52 | 45.1 | 33.3 |
| Gracie McNabb | - | 8 | 27.2 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 1.2 | 57 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 21.4 | 20.0 | 83.3 | 0.33 | 31.7 | 29.3 |
| Deidre Lassiter | - | 8 | 18.6 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 17 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 45.2 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.34 | 46.9 | 45.2 |
| Mairi Smith | - | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | -37 | -1.5 | -2.8 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Jayden Ross | - | 10 | 24.5 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 6.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 23.1 | 0.0 | 81.0 | -0.05 | 36.3 | 23.1 |
| Tatum Leuenberger | - | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -25 | -1.0 | -1.5 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.07 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Liliana Guerra | - | 8 | 21.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.9 | 0.1 | 37 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 15.4 | 22.7 | 50.0 | 0.31 | 24.0 | 21.8 |
| Lindsey Lonigro | - | 9 | 13.9 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 | -22 | -1.0 | -2.0 | 24.0 | 9.1 | 83.3 | -0.3 | 32.6 | 26.0 |
| Kristin Wentling | - | 8 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 0.0 | -22 | -1.1 | -1.8 | 26.1 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.41 | 29.3 | 28.3 |
| Kaitlyn Carothers | - | 10 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | -17 | -1.0 | -4.9 | 54.5 | 0 | 80.0 | -0.2 | 60.6 | 54.5 |
| Alexa Schwartz | - | 10 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 24 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.66 | 42.1 | 36.4 |
| Abby Hafemann | - | 10 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | -10 | -0.5 | -1.2 | 27.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.24 | 33.7 | 31.8 |
| Bella Zeck | - | 9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Blayne Gacke | - | 8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Darya Gunderman | - | 7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Courtney Morse | - | 9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sierra Ertman | - | 9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Hannah Moesch | - | 7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Madi Ruble | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Hanorah Murphy | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 |
| Kate Keenan | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Izzy Sullivan | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.4 | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Hannah Surrette | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -1.3 | -12.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.35 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Coster | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 27 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.76 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kathleen Smith | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 47 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.84 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Skylar Chui | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Sarah Pettegrove | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.69 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG