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Concord

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Concord
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1096 (#89) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1104 (#88) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1045 (#149) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +0.3 (#172) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +0.4 (#359) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.474 (#371) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.8 More → 0.557 (#261) NetEff +1.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.1 More → 0.498 (#407) AdjNet -0.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.0 More → 0.500 (#409) AdjNet +0.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 71.1 More → 0.501 (#407) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 71.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.477 (#419) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.520 (#338) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.523 (#332) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 22 More → 1080 (#165) RD 103 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Seton Hill L 87 - 91
2025-11-15 vs Lock Haven W 77 - 68
2025-11-19 vs Bluefield St. W 79 - 77
2025-11-22 @ UVA Wise W 91 - 78
2025-11-25 vs Winston-Salem L 63 - 89
2025-12-01 @ Ferrum L 59 - 75
2025-12-03 @ West Virginia St. W 80 - 74
2025-12-06 vs Charleston (WV) W 68 - 61
2025-12-15 @ Radford L 48 - 100
2025-12-17 @ Point Park W 78 - 64
2025-12-20 @ Fairmont St. L 70 - 76
2026-01-03 vs Salem (WV) W 81 - 59
2026-01-10 vs Davis & Elkins W 85 - 64
2026-01-14 @ Wheeling W 66 - 54
2026-01-17 vs West Liberty W 93 - 77
2026-01-21 @ Charleston (WV) W 73 - 71
2026-01-23 vs Glenville St. L 86 - 91
2026-01-31 @ Frostburg St. L 69 - 80
2026-02-04 @ Salem (WV) W 68 - 51
2026-02-07 vs Point Park W 71 - 56

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Abbie Smith - 20 27.7 17.4 10.4 1.1 0.8 1.2 1.9 11.4 17.6 50 2.4 10.1 55.3 30.8 86.7 1.83 63.3 56.1
Kenyah Stubbs - 20 25.2 15.3 4.7 3.2 1.8 0.1 4.2 13.2 7.7 157 7.5 39.2 40.4 17.6 71.1 3.19 48.1 41.5
Olivia Ziolkowski - 20 23.3 9.5 5.6 0.9 1.1 1.3 2.2 8.8 7.3 72 3.1 17.8 41.8 29.3 71.4 -0.45 48.6 45.2
Kennedy Scales - 20 26.1 8.4 2.9 1.9 0.6 0.1 1.8 7.2 5.0 37 1.8 8.9 43.4 35.7 80.6 -0.0 52.9 48.6
Alexis Frazee - 17 21.8 7.6 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 1.1 5.5 4.6 42 2.3 16.8 47.9 46.3 81.8 -0.26 65.8 64.4
Kiley Smich - 20 24.8 5.8 4.2 2.1 1.6 0.1 1.8 4.5 7.6 100 4.8 26.2 44.9 40.0 69.0 2.76 53.5 48.3
Lacee Smith - 19 12.7 3.3 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.7 3.2 1.1 38 1.9 22.7 34.4 34.6 75.0 -3.15 50.2 49.2
Nasiya Smith - 19 11.4 3.2 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.8 3.6 2.4 38 1.9 38.3 29.4 26.5 80.0 0.51 42.1 39.0
Cadence Blackburn - 20 15.7 2.9 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.9 3.5 1.5 -9 -0.4 -3.2 33.3 20.0 50.0 0.17 41.0 40.6
Jamecia Huntley - 6 11.2 2.3 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.2 1.3 1.5 3.2 - - - 33.3 0.0 72.7 - 50.6 33.3
Jewell Dixon - 9 4.1 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.4 -39 -4.9 -114.6 18.8 22.2 100.0 -2.53 29.6 25.0
Trinity Henderson - 18 7.8 1.1 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.2 1.4 0.9 -62 -4.1 -60.9 30.8 18.2 25.0 -1.55 33.9 34.6
Amarrah Carter-Bennett - 3 5.5 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Cara Brown - 10 3.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 -0.4 -31 -3.4 -127.0 22.2 0.0 0 -2.77 22.2 22.2
Sadie Robinson - 7 3.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 -0.1 -20 -3.3 -150.5 50.0 50.0 0 -0.82 75.0 75.0
McKayah Stubbs - 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Graclyn Dodson - 1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Alyssa Lagasse - 1 0.9 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG