Concord
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1078 (#107) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1096 (#107) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1045 (#149) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.1 (#225) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.4 (#359) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.474 (#371) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.557 (#261) | NetEff +1.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.498 (#407) | AdjNet -0.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.500 (#409) | AdjNet +0.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.501 (#407) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 71.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.477 (#419) | AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.520 (#338) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.523 (#332) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1075 (#170) | RD 103 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Seton Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Lock Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Bluefield St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | UVA Wise | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Winston-Salem | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | West Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Charleston (WV) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Radford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Point Park | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Fairmont St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Salem (WV) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Davis & Elkins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Wheeling | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | West Liberty | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Charleston (WV) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Glenville St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Frostburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Salem (WV) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Point Park | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie Smith | - | 19 | 28.6 | 18.0 | 10.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 11.7 | 18.4 | 50 | 2.4 | 10.1 | 55.6 | 33.3 | 86.5 | 1.4 | 63.6 | 56.5 |
| Kenyah Stubbs | - | 19 | 25.9 | 15.8 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 4.2 | 13.6 | 8.2 | 157 | 7.5 | 39.2 | 40.5 | 17.6 | 70.6 | 6.1 | 48.2 | 41.7 |
| Olivia Ziolkowski | - | 19 | 24.0 | 9.9 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 9.1 | 7.8 | 72 | 3.1 | 17.8 | 42.2 | 30.8 | 71.4 | 0.22 | 49.1 | 45.7 |
| Kennedy Scales | - | 19 | 26.8 | 8.8 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 5.4 | 37 | 1.8 | 8.9 | 43.4 | 35.7 | 80.6 | -1.98 | 52.9 | 48.6 |
| Alexis Frazee | - | 16 | 21.9 | 7.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 4.6 | 42 | 2.3 | 16.8 | 48.4 | 46.2 | 77.8 | 0.7 | 65.8 | 64.8 |
| Kiley Smich | - | 19 | 25.5 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 7.8 | 100 | 4.8 | 26.2 | 43.5 | 40.0 | 67.5 | 2.07 | 52.1 | 47.1 |
| Lacee Smith | - | 18 | 12.1 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 38 | 1.9 | 22.7 | 35.7 | 34.7 | 75.0 | 0.13 | 51.9 | 50.9 |
| Nasiya Smith | - | 18 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 38 | 1.9 | 38.3 | 30.2 | 26.1 | 80.0 | -1.2 | 43.0 | 39.7 |
| Cadence Blackburn | - | 19 | 15.7 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 1.6 | -9 | -0.4 | -3.2 | 32.8 | 21.3 | 50.0 | -1.12 | 41.4 | 41.0 |
| Jamecia Huntley | - | 5 | 9.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.6 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0 | 85.7 | -2.1 | 49.6 | 28.6 |
| Trinity Henderson | - | 17 | 7.3 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | -62 | -4.1 | -60.9 | 33.3 | 22.2 | 25.0 | -5.9 | 36.3 | 37.5 |
| Jewell Dixon | - | 8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | -39 | -4.9 | -114.6 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -5.03 | 38.8 | 33.3 |
| Cara Brown | - | 9 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | -0.2 | -31 | -3.4 | -127.0 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | -4.59 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Sadie Robinson | - | 6 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -20 | -3.3 | -150.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.41 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| McKayah Stubbs | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Amarrah Carter-Bennett | - | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Graclyn Dodson | - | 1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alyssa Lagasse | - | 1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG