Columbus St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1105 (#47) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1188 (#46) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1136 (#44) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.5 (#130) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.1 (#187) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.733 (#195) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.645 (#242) | NetEff +5.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.822 (#221) | AdjNet +13.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.824 (#221) | AdjNet +13.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.720 (#214) | AdjO 80.5 | AdjD 70.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.664 (#89) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 67.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.730 (#114) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.725 (#112) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1206 (#46) | RD 97 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Valdosta St. | W | 98 - 94 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | North Greenville | L | 57 - 58 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Catawba | L | 72 - 97 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | West Florida | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Francis Marion | W | 84 - 75 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Chowan | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Abraham Baldwin | W | 103 - 64 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Lander | W | 64 - 60 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Flagler | L | 74 - 75 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | North Georgia | L | 76 - 87 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Clayton St. | W | 97 - 87 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Thomas (GA) | W | 78 - 59 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Augusta | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | USC Aiken | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | USC Beaufort | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Georgia College | W | 79 - 58 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Ga. Southwestern | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Middle Georgia | W | 76 - 58 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Lander | L | 60 - 68 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | North Georgia | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Flagler | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Augusta | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Clayton St. | W | 93 - 87 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Lawrence | - | 1 | 38.0 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | -32 | -2.0 | -40.2 | 45.5 | 60.0 | 72.7 | 0.34 | 66.3 | 59.1 |
| Mccaskill Rivers | - | 1 | 39.0 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | -42 | -3.0 | -46.3 | 36.8 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.66 | 45.8 | 39.5 |
| Marlon Smith | - | 21 | 32.3 | 17.7 | 7.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 12.3 | 14.6 | 34 | 1.6 | 7.3 | 45.6 | 33.7 | 72.5 | 0.2 | 58.0 | 52.3 |
| Rahdir Hicks | - | 1 | 33.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | -40 | -2.5 | -11.1 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 80.0 | -0.46 | 69.7 | 65.0 |
| Hoku Fisher | - | 1 | 25.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | -90 | -5.0 | -39.3 | 54.5 | 57.1 | 0 | -0.27 | 72.7 | 72.7 |
| Jordan Mitchell | - | 22 | 33.3 | 13.6 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 10.1 | 12.8 | -59 | -1.6 | -17.0 | 53.2 | 42.3 | 70.8 | 1.28 | 61.7 | 59.9 |
| Lee Langstaff II | - | 20 | 24.5 | 10.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 7.7 | 6.8 | 68 | 3.4 | 17.0 | 47.1 | 36.2 | 79.6 | 0.0 | 57.7 | 52.6 |
| Jydon Hall | - | 17 | 24.6 | 10.1 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 7.8 | 7.3 | -19 | -1.2 | -4.5 | 43.2 | 32.0 | 72.4 | -0.56 | 54.6 | 49.2 |
| Melvin Teal Jr | - | 1 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 67.8 | 37.5 |
| Pascal Volz | - | 22 | 25.7 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 7.7 | 5.8 | 5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 41.8 | 32.0 | 70.8 | 0.15 | 50.7 | 48.8 |
| Ahmed-Sory Soumahoro | - | 15 | 17.0 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 24 | 1.6 | 10.7 | 50.7 | 33.3 | 63.0 | 0.32 | 56.7 | 52.7 |
| Jaylen Harris | - | 22 | 14.0 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 5.1 | 3.6 | -40 | -1.7 | -19.7 | 38.9 | 40.3 | 67.7 | 0.02 | 53.7 | 50.9 |
| Masiah Jones | - | 21 | 23.4 | 6.2 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 100 | 4.5 | 33.8 | 47.5 | 41.4 | 56.4 | -0.49 | 55.0 | 53.5 |
| Tymoteusz Pszczola | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -52 | -2.9 | -22.9 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.74 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Aaron Smith | - | 22 | 10.8 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.9 | -66 | -3.1 | -43.0 | 51.0 | 36.4 | 57.1 | -0.17 | 55.5 | 54.9 |
| Delexcrius Morton | - | 5 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 42.9 | 0 | - | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| Chedlet Delva | - | 1 | 29.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | -51 | -3.6 | -72.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.43 | 21.0 | 0.0 |
| Boom Reeves | - | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.62 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Nathan Eroh | - | 18 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.6 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.76 | 55.8 | 55.6 |
| Jackson Harris | - | 8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | -0.2 | 48 | 2.4 | 24.3 | 30.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.02 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Davis Byrnes | - | 7 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Robert Moore | - | 7 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | -0.6 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Demetrius Gibson | - | 4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jackson Roberts | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -26 | -1.9 | -74.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aidan Harris | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -0.9 | -12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.25 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG