Colorado State
Model Outputs
1992-1993
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1026 (#132) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1040 (#127) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 984 (#160) | HCA +108 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.1 (#107) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.2 (#128) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.545 (#127) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.623 (#106) | AdjNet +4.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.624 (#106) | AdjNet +4.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.552 (#114) | AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 69.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.484 (#157) | AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 72.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.542 (#128) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.528 (#131) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1042 (#120) | RD 135 | GP 26 |
1993 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-12-01 | @ | Colorado | L | 63 - 72 |
| 1992-12-07 | vs | Creighton | W | 77 - 59 |
| 1992-12-10 | vs | Drake | W | 96 - 86 |
| 1992-12-12 | @ | Texas Tech | L | 62 - 72 |
| 1992-12-19 | @ | Idaho State | W | 68 - 62 |
| 1992-12-22 | vs | East Carolina | W | 78 - 66 |
| 1992-12-30 | vs | Rice | W | 79 - 75 |
| 1993-01-02 | @ | Air Force | L | 58 - 69 |
| 1993-01-04 | @ | Fresno State | L | 55 - 62 |
| 1993-01-07 | vs | Hawaii | W | 82 - 66 |
| 1993-01-09 | vs | San Diego State | W | 82 - 67 |
| 1993-01-16 | vs | Wyoming | W | 92 - 77 |
| 1993-01-21 | @ | New Mexico | W | 67 - 65 |
| 1993-01-23 | @ | UTEP | L | 61 - 63 |
| 1993-01-28 | vs | Brigham Young | L | 63 - 70 |
| 1993-01-30 | vs | Utah | W | 78 - 69 |
| 1993-02-04 | @ | Brigham Young | L | 57 - 81 |
| 1993-02-06 | @ | Utah | L | 71 - 84 |
| 1993-02-11 | vs | New Mexico | W | 67 - 50 |
| 1993-02-13 | vs | UTEP | W | 82 - 77 |
| 1993-02-20 | @ | Wyoming | L | 66 - 77 |
| 1993-02-25 | @ | Hawaii | L | 72 - 86 |
| 1993-02-27 | @ | San Diego State | W | 79 - 78 |
| 1993-03-04 | vs | Air Force | W | 72 - 55 |
| 1993-03-06 | vs | Fresno State | L | 78 - 83 |
| 1993-03-11 | N | UTEP | L | 65 - 70 |
1993 Roster
No roster data available for this season.