Colorado State Rams
Model Outputs
2004-2005
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1135 (#108) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1146 (#92) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +24.2 (#102) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.508 (#187) | - |
2005 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-11-19 | vs | San Francisco Dons | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2004-11-22 | @ | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L | 47 - 69 |
| 2004-11-26 | vs | Iona Gaels | W | 108 - 59 |
| 2004-11-27 | vs | UAB Blazers | W | 82 - 57 |
| 2004-11-30 | vs | Pepperdine Waves | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2004-12-04 | vs | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | W | 77 - 36 |
| 2004-12-08 | @ | Colorado Buffaloes | L | 77 - 83 |
| 2004-12-12 | vs | Oregon Ducks | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2004-12-21 | vs | UT Martin Skyhawks | W | 95 - 49 |
| 2004-12-23 | vs | UConn Huskies | L | 44 - 63 |
| 2005-01-02 | @ | Northern Colorado Bears | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2005-01-04 | vs | Denver Pioneers | W | 67 - 47 |
| 2005-01-08 | @ | Montana Lady Griz | W | 65 - 53 |
| 2005-01-13 | @ | Utah Utes | L | 50 - 68 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ | BYU Cougars | L | 54 - 74 |
| 2005-01-20 | vs | San Diego State Aztecs | W | 63 - 50 |
| 2005-01-22 | vs | UNLV Lady Rebels | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2005-01-28 | vs | Wyoming Cowgirls | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2005-02-03 | @ | Air Force Falcons | W | 63 - 42 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ | New Mexico Lobos | L | 49 - 75 |
| 2005-02-10 | vs | BYU Cougars | L | 47 - 59 |
| 2005-02-17 | @ | UNLV Lady Rebels | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2005-02-19 | @ | San Diego State Aztecs | W | 56 - 49 |
| 2005-02-24 | @ | Wyoming Cowgirls | L | 45 - 68 |
| 2005-02-26 | vs | Utah Utes | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2005-03-03 | vs | New Mexico Lobos | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2005-03-05 | vs | Air Force Falcons | W | 75 - 40 |
| 2005-03-09 | @ | BYU Cougars | L | 65 - 70 |
2005 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Nelson
|
- | 2 | 32.5 | 20.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 11.5 | 16.5 | - | - | - | 69.6 | 0 | 90.0 | - | 74.8 | 69.6 |
M. Williams
|
- | 2 | 34.5 | 20.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 10.0 | 19.0 | - | - | - | 55.0 | 0 | 82.6 | - | 68.1 | 55.0 |
S. Morris
|
- | 1 | 31.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | - | 63.8 | 60.0 |
S. Arthur-Williams
|
- | 1 | 30.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 73.2 | 75.0 |
J. Smith
|
- | 2 | 19.0 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 0.0 | 87.5 | - | 72.3 | 63.6 |
J. Rakiecki
|
- | 2 | 24.5 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 36.4 | 57.1 | - | 52.4 | 50.0 |
M. Morris
|
- | 2 | 33.5 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 80.0 | - | 57.4 | 50.0 |
P. Thomasson
|
F | 1 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
S. Verwers
|
- | 2 | 10.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
S. Creason
|
C | 1 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
J. Missouri
|
G | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
A. Patterson
|
- | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG