Colorado Mesa
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1174 (#15) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1221 (#18) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +23.3 (#12) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.942 (#160) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.983 (#22) | NetEff +32.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.981 (#98) | AdjNet +33.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.983 (#100) | AdjNet +34.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.873 (#107) | AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 52.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Reed | - | 32 | 33.3 | 21.9 | 11.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 15.6 | 19.8 | 113 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 56.8 | 23.3 | 80.6 | 1.91 | 61.6 | 57.5 |
| Macie Mays | - | 1 | 35.0 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 156 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 69.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.98 | 75.6 | 73.1 |
| Grace Pyle | - | 1 | 34.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 113 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 46.2 | 40.0 | 75.0 | 0.51 | 57.6 | 53.8 |
| Hannah Simental | - | 1 | 24.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 75.0 | 100.0 | - | 94.8 | 93.8 |
| Karenna Gerber | - | 1 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 144 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 62.5 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.82 | 69.4 | 62.5 |
| Sydney Holmes | - | 1 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 137 | 3.7 | 5.1 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 1.01 | 96.6 | 91.7 |
| Riley Hayes | - | 31 | 34.1 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 11.7 | 4.3 | 136 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 33.0 | 33.1 | 84.4 | 0.52 | 47.6 | 43.8 |
| Kloe Froebe | - | 1 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 67.1 | 50.0 |
| Kylie Kravig | - | 31 | 36.4 | 10.5 | 3.9 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 8.3 | 10.5 | 118 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 39.7 | 38.8 | 80.4 | 0.15 | 53.4 | 46.1 |
| Savannah Campbell | - | 1 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 31 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 83.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Maycee James | - | 1 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 113 | 3.9 | 5.1 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.86 | 39.1 | 31.2 |
| Hallie Clark | - | 1 | 24.7 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 119 | 9.2 | 11.8 | 42.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.45 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Brooklyn Palmer | - | 31 | 31.0 | 7.8 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 5.7 | 10.5 | 96 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 48.0 | 37.8 | 81.4 | 0.16 | 61.8 | 58.5 |
| Mykaela Moore | - | 32 | 23.7 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 7.5 | 207 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 47.4 | 33.3 | 76.8 | 0.69 | 59.2 | 51.3 |
| Kaylee Headrick | - | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Harper Schreiner | - | 1 | 31.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 148 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.14 | 71.7 | 87.5 |
| Mason Rowland | - | 9 | 12.8 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 159 | 10.6 | 10.6 | 37.5 | 21.4 | 91.7 | 0.92 | 52.1 | 40.6 |
| Jadyn Fife | - | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.25 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Macy Larsen | - | 32 | 14.6 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 5.6 | 2.7 | 78 | 2.4 | 4.2 | 38.0 | 31.6 | 72.0 | 0.38 | 48.7 | 46.6 |
| Brooke Carlson | - | 1 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.49 | 25.9 | 14.3 |
| Joseana Vaz | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 51.5 | 66.7 |
| Emma Ronsiek | - | 1 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 21.8 | 16.7 |
| Sanna Strom | - | 1 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Sheridan Liggett | - | 1 | 9.1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Marta Leimane | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Hannah Ronsiek | - | 1 | 29.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.48 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Sophie Hadad | - | 14 | 9.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 18.8 | 15.8 | 0.0 | - | 23.1 | 23.4 |
| Lauryn Deede | - | 31 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 40.7 | 33.3 | 76.9 | -0.08 | 50.4 | 42.6 |
| Claire Heitschmidt | - | 30 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 24.2 | 6.7 | 66.7 | -0.14 | 31.1 | 25.8 |
| Tamryn Blom | - | 6 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 44 | 3.4 | 5.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.4 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Joslyn Spires | - | 8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -0.4 | -5 | -0.6 | -5.6 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.28 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Sedonia Isenbart | - | 27 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -13 | -0.7 | -5.7 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -0.15 | 51.2 | 43.8 |
| Jenna Krise | - | 22 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 32 | 4.0 | 7.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.16 | 93.1 | 75.0 |
| Cayden King | - | 6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 39 | 3.2 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.27 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Brooke Eyre | - | 31 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 100 | 3.7 | 11.9 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.27 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Serena Ileleji | - | 29 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 6 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 28.6 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.04 | 34.2 | 28.6 |
| Kailey Page | - | 30 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 19 | 1.2 | 20.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.01 | 61.5 | 62.5 |
| Ann Zachariah | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brooke Mansanares | - | 30 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -21 | -1.0 | -15.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tia Slade | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kinsey Trujillo | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sophia Sabus | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -1.4 | -8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Sienna Pillsbury | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Hannah Miller | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -106 | -2.4 | -7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Destiny Buerge | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Clara Swearingen | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 84 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 |
| Ja'Miya Brown | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Hannah Nilges | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Alba Lozano Davila | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Evan Hamey | - | 1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG