Colorado Mesa
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1152 (#68) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1152 (#70) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1140 (#42) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.9 (#129) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.4 (#239) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.727 (#198) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.387 (#258) | NetEff -4.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.864 (#182) | AdjNet +16.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.867 (#184) | AdjNet +16.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.750 (#179) | AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 70.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.589 (#163) | AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.681 (#158) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.679 (#149) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1134 (#91) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | DBU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | St. Edward's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Lubbock Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Western N.M. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | UCCS | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Colo. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Western Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Simon Fraser | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Regis (CO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | N.M. Highlands | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Adams St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Western Colo. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Westminster (UT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Chadron St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | CSU Pueblo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | UCCS | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | MSU Denver | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Regis (CO) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Allred | - | 22 | 34.5 | 18.5 | 8.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 12.4 | 15.2 | 72 | 3.3 | 11.6 | 50.7 | 40.4 | 84.1 | 1.62 | 63.6 | 58.1 |
| Clayton Jewell | - | 22 | 25.5 | 11.3 | 7.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 8.1 | 12.1 | 84 | 3.8 | 16.4 | 53.9 | 35.7 | 85.0 | -0.16 | 60.7 | 55.3 |
| Cohen Gonzales | - | 21 | 26.7 | 11.1 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 8.6 | 6.2 | -28 | -2.0 | -5.2 | 42.2 | 40.6 | 93.3 | -0.35 | 58.3 | 53.1 |
| Mason Honeyman | - | 11 | 21.8 | 10.7 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 7.8 | 5.7 | -20 | -1.8 | -20.9 | 44.2 | 31.0 | 80.5 | -0.92 | 56.7 | 49.4 |
| Harvey White | - | 22 | 25.9 | 10.5 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 8.4 | 6.9 | 44 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 50.3 | 32.8 | 78.1 | 1.41 | 58.0 | 55.7 |
| Ben Henderson | - | 22 | 30.5 | 9.3 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 9.3 | 122 | 5.5 | 21.3 | 48.3 | 38.1 | 79.6 | 3.64 | 60.8 | 56.5 |
| Wes Ball | - | 22 | 18.1 | 6.5 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 6.6 | -36 | -1.6 | -9.6 | 54.3 | 75.0 | 68.8 | -3.94 | 59.6 | 57.1 |
| Jaylen Pitman | - | 12 | 15.9 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 9 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 83.3 | -0.73 | 57.8 | 52.6 |
| Tevin Riehl | - | 14 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 15 | 1.1 | 13.7 | 51.6 | 46.2 | 50.0 | 0.72 | 70.6 | 71.0 |
| Kapalisok Laila | - | 21 | 14.6 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2.9 | -9 | -0.6 | -5.0 | 32.7 | 18.2 | 83.3 | 2.1 | 39.7 | 36.7 |
| Ben Kaye | - | 16 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | -12 | -0.8 | -22.3 | 41.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.68 | 42.7 | 41.7 |
| Mason Farr | - | 4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -10 | -2.5 | -110.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Yanis Mahoundo | - | 1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -2.0 | -71.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG