Colorado Col.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1185 (#63) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1235 (#49) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1175 (#38) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.8 (#76) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.4 (#329) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.912 (#233) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.744 (#258) | NetEff +7.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.917 (#196) | AdjNet +20.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.917 (#199) | AdjNet +20.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.746 (#208) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 54.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.646 (#182) | AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 53.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.663 (#248) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.678 (#236) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1165 (#96) | RD 83 | GP 37 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Purchase | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Lehman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Penn St.-Hazleton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Hope | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Clarkson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Calvin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | SUNY Poly | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | @ | Aurora | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Puget Sound | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Pacific (OR) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Keystone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Saint Benedict | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Whitman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Cairn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Lancaster Bible | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | St. Thomas (TX) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Wartburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Moravian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Mary Washington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Gallaudet | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Yeshiva | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Wilson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Valley Forge | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Dallas | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Keystone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Hendrix | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Penn St.-Berks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | Ozarks (AR) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | McMurry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-25 | vs | Schreiner | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Concordia (TX) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-01 | @ | Texas Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | McMurry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Schreiner | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Mackel | - | 13 | 28.8 | 15.5 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 13.0 | 8.5 | 80 | 4.7 | 22.1 | 42.6 | 31.6 | 82.5 | 4.79 | 53.9 | 49.7 |
| Ella Bincarosky | - | 17 | 31.7 | 14.6 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 12.8 | 8.6 | 61 | 2.9 | 13.3 | 37.8 | 35.2 | 82.4 | 0.79 | 53.5 | 50.7 |
| Samora Merchant | - | 17 | 25.5 | 13.1 | 9.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 11.5 | 11.2 | 41 | 2.0 | 10.3 | 46.7 | 0 | 51.3 | 2.42 | 48.4 | 46.7 |
| Analyse Rios | - | 17 | 27.6 | 12.5 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 4.4 | 12.9 | 6.7 | 12 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 35.9 | 16.7 | 59.5 | -1.77 | 42.2 | 38.4 |
| Rayna Welsch | - | 17 | 22.7 | 12.1 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 7.9 | 10.4 | 92 | 4.6 | 39.4 | 56.7 | 0.0 | 77.1 | 4.16 | 62.5 | 56.7 |
| Weronika Swojak | - | 7 | 26.5 | 8.9 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 9.4 | 9.1 | 38 | 3.8 | 10.4 | 43.9 | 0.0 | 36.4 | 1.39 | 43.8 | 43.9 |
| Isa Nelson | - | 17 | 28.9 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 8.1 | 4.2 | 39 | 1.9 | 12.4 | 37.0 | 30.1 | 83.9 | -0.44 | 49.5 | 44.9 |
| Andie Will | - | 17 | 24.0 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 7.1 | 13 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 39.3 | 25.0 | 59.3 | -0.66 | 46.3 | 44.3 |
| Ginger Kerdock | - | 16 | 31.0 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 7.7 | 8.8 | 49 | 2.5 | 11.0 | 39.0 | 30.2 | 30.4 | 0.93 | 43.6 | 44.3 |
| JuJu Garcia | - | 17 | 20.1 | 6.1 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 96 | 4.6 | 51.5 | 31.8 | 27.8 | 93.3 | 5.37 | 45.8 | 42.1 |
| Jillian York | - | 3 | 8.4 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 11 | 3.7 | 22.9 | 57.1 | 75.0 | 100.0 | - | 88.2 | 78.6 |
| Naiya Kurnik | - | 17 | 22.1 | 4.8 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 7.7 | -65 | -3.2 | -25.6 | 31.9 | 25.6 | 58.3 | 1.2 | 40.4 | 37.4 |
| Gabrielle Moore | - | 17 | 23.3 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 5.6 | 3.6 | -31 | -1.5 | -13.4 | 27.4 | 28.8 | 35.7 | -3.21 | 36.6 | 36.3 |
| Illiana Greene | - | 17 | 11.6 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 14 | 0.7 | 9.6 | 40.0 | 46.4 | 100.0 | 0.21 | 53.9 | 50.8 |
| Brooke Leonardi | - | 17 | 15.2 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 0.9 | -43 | -2.3 | -64.1 | 26.5 | 18.9 | 50.0 | -4.37 | 34.2 | 31.6 |
| Payton Gates | - | 15 | 10.5 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 13 | 0.8 | 12.5 | 34.6 | 26.7 | 63.6 | -0.0 | 41.3 | 38.5 |
| Avery Johnson | - | 17 | 25.9 | 2.9 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 25 | 1.2 | 8.6 | 38.5 | 14.3 | 50.0 | -2.26 | 42.8 | 41.3 |
| Addie Meyer | - | 17 | 10.1 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3.9 | -11 | -0.6 | -10.6 | 53.1 | 50.0 | 60.0 | -0.77 | 57.0 | 54.7 |
| Megan Perrine | - | 17 | 17.7 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 4.0 | -15 | -0.8 | -15.4 | 32.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -3.08 | 33.8 | 32.0 |
| Bel Martinez | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | -153 | -7.3 | -54.4 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.37 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Lynnashia Brooks | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -125 | -6.0 | -36.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Hailey Wolbeck | - | 17 | 17.3 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3.4 | -8 | -0.4 | -7.1 | 37.8 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -3.77 | 41.6 | 40.5 |
| Ellie Stearn | - | 5 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 10 | 1.7 | 42.1 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| Willa McLaughlin | - | 2 | 7.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Natalie Maldonado | - | 13 | 4.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -0.7 | -21 | -1.5 | -64.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.4 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
| Alyxa Martinez | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37 | 2.2 | 71.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.64 | 0 | 0 |
| Riley McClaugherty | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -7 | -1.0 | -25.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Addison Kemp | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 4.5 | 108.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sierra Schaefer | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -36 | -1.9 | -16.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nevaeh Gray | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alyssa Cantu | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -31 | -4.4 | -41.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.72 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaydee Zamora | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -127 | -5.5 | -36.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.81 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jordin Johns | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 1.8 | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Kiarabel Garza | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aylene Ortega | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -0.4 | -6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brie Sosa | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -96 | -5.1 | -19.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.45 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jasmine Culpepper | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -11 | -1.4 | -41.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Madison Parham | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -131 | -7.7 | -49.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ava Knipstein | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -106 | -5.3 | -32.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -4.86 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Madelyn Kincaide | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -120 | -6.3 | -27.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.67 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG