Colo. Christian
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 839 (#486) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 839 (#477) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 857 (#643) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.3 (#229) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.3 (#311) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.416 (#392) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.216 (#360) | NetEff -9.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.742 (#300) | AdjNet +9.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.760 (#298) | AdjNet +9.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.630 (#306) | AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 64.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.507 (#348) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 61.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.429 (#421) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.427 (#421) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 774 (#482) | RD 97 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Lubbock Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | UT Tyler | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Tampa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Fla. Southern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | St. Edward's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Western Colo. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Colorado Mesa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Denver | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Northern N.M. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Nelson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | CSU Pueblo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | MSU Denver | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Fort Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Adams St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Westminster (UT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Western Colo. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Chadron St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordon Heckert | - | 21 | 24.3 | 12.3 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 11.7 | 7.3 | 36 | 1.6 | 6.2 | 39.0 | 33.0 | 80.0 | 3.63 | 48.9 | 45.9 |
| Ja'Shelle Johnson | - | 18 | 32.8 | 8.8 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 8.2 | 5.4 | 29 | 1.5 | 7.3 | 37.4 | 15.0 | 75.0 | 1.39 | 45.6 | 38.4 |
| Hayley Luther | - | 21 | 21.7 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.9 | 1.9 | -79 | -3.3 | -15.9 | 36.0 | 36.7 | 61.5 | -3.81 | 45.6 | 44.9 |
| Elise Grosdidier | - | 20 | 25.7 | 8.2 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 6.2 | -42 | -2.0 | -9.8 | 46.7 | 28.6 | 75.6 | 0.36 | 53.3 | 48.9 |
| Josie Grosdidier | - | 21 | 19.6 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 5.0 | -11 | -0.5 | -3.5 | 45.3 | 40.0 | 84.1 | 0.85 | 56.4 | 48.4 |
| Ezra Simonich | - | 17 | 17.9 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 40 | 2.2 | 10.8 | 35.2 | 21.2 | 72.7 | 1.87 | 45.4 | 39.2 |
| Amaya Felix | - | 19 | 17.9 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 1.8 | -43 | -2.1 | -14.0 | 33.3 | 27.8 | 79.3 | -0.92 | 45.3 | 38.9 |
| Samantha Wattawa | - | 21 | 18.8 | 4.0 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 5.6 | -52 | -2.3 | -11.2 | 32.9 | 7.1 | 76.2 | -2.03 | 43.6 | 33.5 |
| Maley Wilhelm | - | 15 | 19.5 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 28 | 1.8 | 8.3 | 29.6 | 19.5 | 33.3 | 1.37 | 34.7 | 34.6 |
| Addison Wragge | - | 17 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 | -14 | -0.8 | -11.7 | 31.2 | 0 | 62.5 | -1.24 | 35.2 | 31.2 |
| Nicole Burns | - | 18 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | -39 | -2.1 | -43.3 | 28.6 | 27.3 | 50.0 | -5.45 | 35.9 | 33.9 |
| Angelina Kohlwaies | - | 13 | 7.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 2.2 | -11 | -0.8 | -8.2 | 30.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | -0.14 | 29.9 | 32.5 |
| Faith Ramsey | - | 8 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 6.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 45.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG