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Colo. Christian

Also known as: Colo. Christian
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1008 (#176) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 961 (#308) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1030 (#169) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +0.0 (#233) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +1.2 (#309) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.292 (#442) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.2 More → 0.465 (#430) AdjNet -1.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.2 More → 0.465 (#433) AdjNet -1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 73.0 More → 0.487 (#431) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 73.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.500 (#297) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 70.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.464 (#344) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.477 (#333) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 24 More → 983 (#238) RD 93 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Northern Colo. L 65 - 101
2025-11-14 @ St. Edward's L 52 - 80
2025-11-15 @ DBU L 51 - 90
2025-11-21 vs North American W 69 - 64
2025-11-22 vs Kansas Christian W 104 - 68
2025-11-26 vs Western N.M. L 79 - 85
2025-11-30 @ Chadron St. W 61 - 57
2025-12-04 vs Western Colo. L 56 - 64
2025-12-06 vs Colorado Mesa L 43 - 57
2025-12-09 @ Denver L 59 - 95
2025-12-11 @ South Dakota Mines L 66 - 72
2025-12-13 @ Black Hills St. L 76 - 96
2025-12-20 @ N.M. Highlands W 80 - 63
2026-01-02 vs Northern N.M. W 99 - 74
2026-01-06 vs UCCS W 88 - 87
2026-01-10 @ CSU Pueblo L 49 - 70
2026-01-15 vs MSU Denver W 79 - 70
2026-01-17 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines L 56 - 69
2026-01-22 @ Fort Lewis L 56 - 73
2026-01-24 @ Adams St. L 80 - 94
2026-01-29 @ Westminster (UT) W 74 - 65
2026-01-31 @ Western Colo. W 79 - 68
2026-02-05 vs Chadron St. W 86 - 80
2026-02-07 vs South Dakota Mines W 86 - 58

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Pierce Bazil - 24 30.7 17.5 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.1 2.4 11.9 9.7 -69 -3.1 -13.9 44.9 37.1 73.3 -2.96 58.7 52.5
Porter Bazil - 24 27.1 11.0 4.8 2.0 0.5 1.0 2.3 8.5 8.5 -47 -2.1 -9.9 44.8 38.4 69.7 -1.57 55.6 51.7
Joshua Reid - 24 19.5 9.5 5.7 1.0 0.3 0.2 1.0 7.2 8.5 -15 -0.7 -4.9 50.6 36.5 80.0 0.9 59.2 56.0
Andrew Reichart - 24 16.9 6.9 4.2 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.1 4.8 6.8 -4 -0.2 -1.4 55.3 33.3 61.7 0.92 58.8 56.1
Schafer Reichart - 19 29.9 6.5 4.5 2.3 1.1 0.1 1.6 5.3 7.6 -104 -5.2 -23.2 43.6 25.0 63.6 1.81 51.1 47.0
Zachary Reed - 23 13.9 4.2 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.6 3.3 2.7 -55 -2.6 -15.7 32.5 32.1 90.3 1.83 53.0 44.2
Lincoln Cantrall - 24 14.3 4.0 1.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 3.3 2.8 6 0.3 3.5 38.0 40.6 91.7 -1.53 57.5 54.4
Jimmy House - 20 10.8 3.9 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 3.5 1.6 49 2.7 22.2 38.0 31.6 66.7 1.68 52.0 50.7
Breckten Wilson - 9 11.2 3.8 0.8 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 3.4 1.1 97 3.5 38.5 41.9 27.3 50.0 2.59 48.0 46.8
Jared Lloyd Jr. - 21 8.6 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.6 12 0.6 11.8 44.2 30.8 85.0 2.11 56.9 48.8
Bobby McWard - 15 9.9 2.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.3 -73 -5.2 -82.2 35.1 32.3 75.0 -0.99 50.3 48.6
Ezra Guest - 24 15.8 1.8 1.5 1.6 0.5 0.0 1.3 1.5 2.5 18 0.8 9.7 43.2 33.3 50.0 -1.15 55.5 55.4
PJ Chambers - 16 6.2 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.7 -0.2 -19 -1.4 -21.2 29.6 0.0 83.3 -1.17 35.4 29.6
Garrett Poelman - 22 7.8 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.9 1.9 3 0.1 3.0 57.9 0.0 33.3 0.87 52.0 57.9
Ethan Johnson - 7 2.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 -0.1 -2 -0.3 -114.3 0.0 0.0 0 0.25 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG