Colo. Christian
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1008 (#176) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 961 (#308) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1030 (#169) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.0 (#233) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.2 (#309) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.292 (#442) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.465 (#430) | AdjNet -1.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.465 (#433) | AdjNet -1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.487 (#431) | AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 73.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.500 (#297) | AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 70.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.464 (#344) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.477 (#333) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 983 (#238) | RD 93 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Northern Colo. | L | 65 - 101 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | St. Edward's | L | 52 - 80 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | DBU | L | 51 - 90 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | North American | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Kansas Christian | W | 104 - 68 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Western N.M. | L | 79 - 85 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Chadron St. | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Western Colo. | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Colorado Mesa | L | 43 - 57 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Denver | L | 59 - 95 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | South Dakota Mines | L | 66 - 72 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Black Hills St. | L | 76 - 96 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | N.M. Highlands | W | 80 - 63 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Northern N.M. | W | 99 - 74 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | UCCS | W | 88 - 87 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | CSU Pueblo | L | 49 - 70 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | MSU Denver | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 56 - 69 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Fort Lewis | L | 56 - 73 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Adams St. | L | 80 - 94 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Westminster (UT) | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Western Colo. | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Chadron St. | W | 86 - 80 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | South Dakota Mines | W | 86 - 58 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Bazil | - | 24 | 30.7 | 17.5 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 11.9 | 9.7 | -69 | -3.1 | -13.9 | 44.9 | 37.1 | 73.3 | -2.96 | 58.7 | 52.5 |
| Porter Bazil | - | 24 | 27.1 | 11.0 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 8.5 | 8.5 | -47 | -2.1 | -9.9 | 44.8 | 38.4 | 69.7 | -1.57 | 55.6 | 51.7 |
| Joshua Reid | - | 24 | 19.5 | 9.5 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 8.5 | -15 | -0.7 | -4.9 | 50.6 | 36.5 | 80.0 | 0.9 | 59.2 | 56.0 |
| Andrew Reichart | - | 24 | 16.9 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 6.8 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.4 | 55.3 | 33.3 | 61.7 | 0.92 | 58.8 | 56.1 |
| Schafer Reichart | - | 19 | 29.9 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 7.6 | -104 | -5.2 | -23.2 | 43.6 | 25.0 | 63.6 | 1.81 | 51.1 | 47.0 |
| Zachary Reed | - | 23 | 13.9 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 2.7 | -55 | -2.6 | -15.7 | 32.5 | 32.1 | 90.3 | 1.83 | 53.0 | 44.2 |
| Lincoln Cantrall | - | 24 | 14.3 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 6 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 38.0 | 40.6 | 91.7 | -1.53 | 57.5 | 54.4 |
| Jimmy House | - | 20 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 49 | 2.7 | 22.2 | 38.0 | 31.6 | 66.7 | 1.68 | 52.0 | 50.7 |
| Breckten Wilson | - | 9 | 11.2 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 97 | 3.5 | 38.5 | 41.9 | 27.3 | 50.0 | 2.59 | 48.0 | 46.8 |
| Jared Lloyd Jr. | - | 21 | 8.6 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 12 | 0.6 | 11.8 | 44.2 | 30.8 | 85.0 | 2.11 | 56.9 | 48.8 |
| Bobby McWard | - | 15 | 9.9 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.3 | -73 | -5.2 | -82.2 | 35.1 | 32.3 | 75.0 | -0.99 | 50.3 | 48.6 |
| Ezra Guest | - | 24 | 15.8 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 18 | 0.8 | 9.7 | 43.2 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -1.15 | 55.5 | 55.4 |
| PJ Chambers | - | 16 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | -0.2 | -19 | -1.4 | -21.2 | 29.6 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -1.17 | 35.4 | 29.6 |
| Garrett Poelman | - | 22 | 7.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 57.9 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 0.87 | 52.0 | 57.9 |
| Ethan Johnson | - | 7 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -0.1 | -2 | -0.3 | -114.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG