🐻⬇️🏀

Colgate

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Colgate Raiders
Program History
Coach: Matt Langel

2011-2012 Team Stats (25 games)

62.0
PPG
74.2
Opp
-12.2
Margin
42.2%
FG%
37.8%
3P%
69.2%
FT%
31.8
RPG
12.0
APG
14.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.5
Adj PPG
74.3
Adj Opp PPG
#322
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 639 (#325) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 769 (#311) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 875 (#315) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -13.6 (#322) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -13.0 (#325) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.136 (#319) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.3 More → 0.087 (#319) AdjNet -20.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.5 More → 0.086 (#319) AdjNet -20.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 74.3 More → 0.239 (#322) AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 74.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 70.8 More → 0.296 (#327) AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 70.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.184 (#322) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.193 (#322) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 160 | GP 28 More → 766 (#309) RD 160 | GP 28
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast. More → Legacy estimate Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast.

2011-2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 @ Binghamton Bearcats W 78 - 74
2011-11-16 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 41 - 68
2011-11-19 @ Syracuse Orange L 47 - 92
2011-11-23 vs Saint Francis Red Wolves W 74 - 66
2011-11-26 @ Marist Red Foxes L 73 - 81
2011-11-29 @ Fordham Rams L 69 - 79
2011-12-01 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 74 - 70
2011-12-07 @ UAlbany Great Danes L 63 - 87
2011-12-10 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 65 - 63
2011-12-19 vs Dartmouth Big Green W 61 - 55
2011-12-22 @ Hofstra Pride L 59 - 82
2011-12-28 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats L 70 - 80
2011-12-31 @ New Hampshire Wildcats L 64 - 71
2012-01-04 vs Columbia Lions L 59 - 66
2012-01-07 @ American University Eagles L 54 - 82
2012-01-11 @ Bucknell Bison L 57 - 70
2012-01-14 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 56 - 78
2012-01-18 @ Army Black Knights L 75 - 91
2012-01-21 vs Navy Midshipmen W 65 - 54
2012-01-25 vs Lafayette Leopards L 76 - 82
2012-01-28 @ Holy Cross Crusaders L 60 - 76
2012-02-01 @ NJIT Highlanders W 76 - 73
2012-02-04 vs American University Eagles L 58 - 59
2012-02-08 vs Bucknell Bison L 50 - 66
2012-02-11 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 69 - 89
2012-02-15 vs Army Black Knights L 59 - 79
2012-02-18 @ Navy Midshipmen W 59 - 57
2012-02-22 @ Lafayette Leopards L 67 - 84
2012-02-25 vs Holy Cross Crusaders L 58 - 65
2012-02-29 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 57 - 70

2011-2012 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Pat Moore Pat Moore G 28 26.0 9.6 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.9 7.1 5.3 -138 20 -6.9 -11.0 44.5 40.7 81.8 -0.26 60.0 56.0
Mike Venezia Mike Venezia G 28 33.2 9.3 2.8 1.8 0.6 0.1 1.1 8.1 5.2 -216 20 -10.8 -13.9 37.4 40.0 80.8 -1.63 52.0 48.0
Mitch Rolls Mitch Rolls G 28 29.4 8.7 2.1 2.4 0.7 0.1 2.0 6.9 5.1 -168 20 -8.4 -11.7 40.7 43.9 73.6 -0.85 56.1 52.8
Sterling Melville Sterling Melville F 28 22.4 8.4 3.0 1.4 0.7 0.3 1.8 6.9 5.1 -149 20 -7.5 -14.3 43.0 27.9 56.3 -2.15 49.5 46.1
Nick Pascale Nick Pascale F-C 28 19.2 6.6 4.9 1.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 5.1 6.6 -153 20 -7.7 -15.9 48.6 0 62.0 -2.72 52.5 48.6
Yaw Gyawu Yaw Gyawu F 19 15.1 5.9 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.2 5.0 2.4 -43 11 -3.9 -9.9 51.6 0 53.6 -0.57 52.6 51.6
John Brandenburg John Brandenburg C 28 14.8 5.1 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.7 1.5 3.8 4.0 -115 20 -5.8 -16.1 50.5 0 71.7 -2.53 56.1 50.5
Brandon James Brandon James F 28 14.7 4.9 3.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.4 4.3 4.4 -77 20 -3.9 -11.4 39.7 35.5 69.2 -1.27 51.3 48.8
Luke Roh Luke Roh G 28 18.5 3.2 3.4 1.5 0.2 0.1 1.2 2.8 4.5 -157 20 -7.8 -18.0 36.7 0.0 76.2 -2.92 46.2 36.7
Matt McMullen Matt McMullen F 28 9.9 1.7 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.6 2.0 2.0 -83 20 -4.2 -18.2 30.4 20.8 69.2 -2.39 38.9 34.8
Chad Johnson Chad Johnson G 15 4.3 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.3 -29 12 -2.4 -22.5 38.5 14.3 80.0 -1.74 49.3 42.3
Clayton Graham Clayton Graham F 6 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 -4 5 -0.8 -27.7 100.0 0 50.0 -0.66 86.8 100.0
Lazar Bogdanovic Lazar Bogdanovic F-C 8 2.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 -5 6 -0.8 -19.2 100.0 0 0 -2.39 100.0 100.0
Jared Accettura Jared Accettura G 4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 -3 4 -0.8 -47.4 0.0 0 0 -0.5 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG