Colgate
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 920 (#211) | HCA +127 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 924 (#215) | HCA +127 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.9 (#276) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.2 (#280) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.366 (#229) | - |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.327 (#273) | AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.323 (#274) | AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 70.9 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 910 (#218) | RD 147 | GP 27 |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2003-2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-21 | @ | Princeton | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2003-11-25 | @ | Cornell | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2003-11-29 | vs | Drexel | L | 84 - 89 |
| 2003-12-02 | vs | Albany (NY) | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2003-12-05 | @ | New Hampshire | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2003-12-09 | vs | Buffalo | L | 49 - 72 |
| 2003-12-12 | @ | Harvard | W | 78 - 60 |
| 2003-12-22 | @ | Syracuse | L | 63 - 101 |
| 2003-12-30 | @ | Long Beach State | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2004-01-02 | @ | Loyola Marymount | L | 54 - 78 |
| 2004-01-10 | @ | Lafayette | L | 86 - 97 |
| 2004-01-14 | vs | Holy Cross | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2004-01-17 | @ | Army | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2004-01-19 | vs | Dartmouth | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2004-01-23 | vs | American | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2004-01-25 | vs | Navy | W | 91 - 84 |
| 2004-01-30 | @ | Bucknell | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2004-02-01 | @ | Lehigh | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2004-02-06 | vs | Lafayette | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2004-02-11 | @ | Holy Cross | L | 49 - 60 |
| 2004-02-14 | vs | Army | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2004-02-20 | @ | Navy | W | 60 - 59 |
| 2004-02-22 | @ | American | L | 62 - 65 |
| 2004-02-27 | vs | Lehigh | W | 54 - 48 |
| 2004-02-29 | vs | Bucknell | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2004-03-06 | N | Lafayette | W | 67 - 66 |
| 2004-03-07 | N | American | L | 55 - 65 |
2003-2004 Roster
No roster data available for this season.