Colgate
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 807 (#250) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 869 (#246) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 946 (#220) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.9 (#253) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.7 (#284) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.353 (#219) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.181 (#253) | AdjNet -13.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.176 (#253) | AdjNet -13.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.329 (#251) | AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.347 (#272) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 68.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.282 (#257) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.285 (#260) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 864 (#242) | RD 148 | GP 27 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | Legacy estimate | Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast. |
1999-2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | N | Dartmouth | L | 65 - 68 |
| 1999-11-20 | N | Albany (NY) | W | 79 - 69 |
| 1999-11-23 | vs | Canisius | W | 76 - 59 |
| 1999-11-29 | @ | Syracuse | L | 49 - 83 |
| 1999-12-02 | @ | Delaware | L | 56 - 65 |
| 1999-12-06 | vs | Long Island University | L | 58 - 62 |
| 1999-12-08 | @ | Siena | L | 71 - 82 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | Harvard | W | 76 - 49 |
| 1999-12-23 | @ | Manhattan | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2000-01-04 | @ | Cornell | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2000-01-08 | @ | Niagara | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2000-01-12 | vs | Holy Cross | L | 51 - 68 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | Army | L | 55 - 58 |
| 2000-01-19 | vs | Lehigh | W | 77 - 61 |
| 2000-01-22 | vs | Dartmouth | W | 60 - 53 |
| 2000-01-26 | @ | Bucknell | L | 45 - 62 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | Lafayette | L | 58 - 64 |
| 2000-02-02 | vs | Navy | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Holy Cross | W | 57 - 54 |
| 2000-02-09 | vs | Army | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Lehigh | W | 65 - 43 |
| 2000-02-14 | @ | Navy | L | 47 - 81 |
| 2000-02-20 | vs | Bucknell | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2000-02-23 | @ | Lafayette | L | 51 - 92 |
| 2000-02-29 | vs | Albany (NY) | L | 70 - 86 |
| 2000-03-04 | N | Holy Cross | W | 58 - 49 |
| 2000-03-05 | N | Navy | L | 56 - 82 |
1999-2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.