Colgate
Model Outputs
1990-1991
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 662 (#278) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 716 (#276) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 837 (#284) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -13.7 (#265) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -12.0 (#262) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.161 (#268) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.112 (#265) | AdjNet -18.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.109 (#268) | AdjNet -18.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.234 (#267) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 82.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.312 (#266) | AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 80.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.179 (#274) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.191 (#274) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 701 (#279) | RD 155 | GP 28 |
1991 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990-11-24 | @ | Oklahoma State | L | 47 - 111 |
| 1990-11-30 | @ | Iowa | L | 59 - 80 |
| 1990-12-01 | N | UTSA | L | 59 - 99 |
| 1990-12-03 | @ | Drake | L | 64 - 69 |
| 1990-12-22 | vs | Harvard | W | 76 - 75 |
| 1990-12-29 | @ | Mount St. Mary's | L | 80 - 92 |
| 1991-01-02 | @ | Rider | W | 71 - 69 |
| 1991-01-05 | vs | Yale | L | 49 - 61 |
| 1991-01-08 | vs | Pennsylvania | L | 86 - 89 |
| 1991-01-10 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn | L | 76 - 91 |
| 1991-01-12 | vs | Fordham | L | 81 - 92 |
| 1991-01-14 | @ | Manhattan | L | 68 - 90 |
| 1991-01-17 | vs | Vermont | L | 72 - 75 |
| 1991-01-19 | @ | Lehigh | L | 84 - 85 |
| 1991-01-21 | @ | Cornell | L | 65 - 79 |
| 1991-01-23 | vs | Lafayette | W | 75 - 65 |
| 1991-01-26 | @ | Bucknell | L | 76 - 96 |
| 1991-01-28 | vs | Rider | W | 77 - 74 |
| 1991-01-31 | @ | Holy Cross | L | 76 - 89 |
| 1991-02-02 | vs | Army | W | 73 - 64 |
| 1991-02-06 | @ | Fordham | L | 73 - 85 |
| 1991-02-11 | @ | Saint Francis (PA) | L | 78 - 90 |
| 1991-02-13 | vs | Lehigh | L | 81 - 100 |
| 1991-02-16 | @ | Lafayette | L | 78 - 86 |
| 1991-02-20 | vs | Bucknell | L | 67 - 70 |
| 1991-02-23 | vs | Holy Cross | L | 68 - 73 |
| 1991-02-25 | @ | Army | L | 72 - 74 |
| 1991-02-28 | @ | Holy Cross | L | 74 - 92 |
1991 Roster
No roster data available for this season.