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Colgate

Also known as: Colgate Raiders
Program History

Model Outputs

1990-1991
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 662 (#278) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 716 (#276) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More โ†’ 837 (#284) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ -13.7 (#265) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -12.0 (#262) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.161 (#268) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.0 More โ†’ 0.112 (#265) AdjNet -18.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.2 More โ†’ 0.109 (#268) AdjNet -18.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 82.5 More โ†’ 0.234 (#267) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 82.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 80.5 More โ†’ 0.312 (#266) AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 80.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.179 (#274) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.191 (#274) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 | GP 28 More โ†’ 701 (#279) RD 155 | GP 28

1991 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1990-11-24 @ Oklahoma State L 47 - 111
1990-11-30 @ Iowa L 59 - 80
1990-12-01 N UTSA L 59 - 99
1990-12-03 @ Drake L 64 - 69
1990-12-22 vs Harvard W 76 - 75
1990-12-29 @ Mount St. Mary's L 80 - 92
1991-01-02 @ Rider W 71 - 69
1991-01-05 vs Yale L 49 - 61
1991-01-08 vs Pennsylvania L 86 - 89
1991-01-10 vs St. Francis Brooklyn L 76 - 91
1991-01-12 vs Fordham L 81 - 92
1991-01-14 @ Manhattan L 68 - 90
1991-01-17 vs Vermont L 72 - 75
1991-01-19 @ Lehigh L 84 - 85
1991-01-21 @ Cornell L 65 - 79
1991-01-23 vs Lafayette W 75 - 65
1991-01-26 @ Bucknell L 76 - 96
1991-01-28 vs Rider W 77 - 74
1991-01-31 @ Holy Cross L 76 - 89
1991-02-02 vs Army W 73 - 64
1991-02-06 @ Fordham L 73 - 85
1991-02-11 @ Saint Francis (PA) L 78 - 90
1991-02-13 vs Lehigh L 81 - 100
1991-02-16 @ Lafayette L 78 - 86
1991-02-20 vs Bucknell L 67 - 70
1991-02-23 vs Holy Cross L 68 - 73
1991-02-25 @ Army L 72 - 74
1991-02-28 @ Holy Cross L 74 - 92

1991 Roster

No roster data available for this season.