Colgate Raiders
Model Outputs
2004-2005
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 989 (#162) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 894 (#225) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 995 (#171) | HCA +92 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.3 (#234) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.0 (#237) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.387 (#194) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.191 (#231) | AdjNet -12.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.186 (#231) | AdjNet -12.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.342 (#228) | AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 71.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.441 (#190) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 68.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.334 (#222) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.353 (#216) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 913 (#216) | RD 138 | GP 30 |
2005 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-11-20 | @ | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2004-11-21 | @ | St. John's Red Storm | L | 59 - 78 |
| 2004-11-24 | @ | Hofstra Pride | L | 70 - 71 |
| 2004-11-27 | vs | Canisius Golden Griffins | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2004-11-30 | @ | LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2004-12-02 | vs | Vermont Catamounts | L | 63 - 80 |
| 2004-12-05 | @ | Wagner Seahawks | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2004-12-11 | vs | UAlbany Great Danes | W | 83 - 77 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ | UCF Knights | L | 69 - 83 |
| 2004-12-19 | vs | Marshall Thundering Herd | L | 68 - 86 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ | Niagara Purple Eagles | L | 76 - 99 |
| 2004-12-31 | @ | Florida State Seminoles | L | 43 - 64 |
| 2005-01-03 | vs | Quinnipiac Bobcats | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2005-01-08 | @ | Army Black Knights | L | 53 - 68 |
| 2005-01-12 | @ | Bucknell Bison | L | 65 - 67 |
| 2005-01-15 | vs | Holy Cross Crusaders | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2005-01-21 | @ | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2005-01-23 | @ | Lafayette Leopards | W | 76 - 75 |
| 2005-01-28 | vs | Navy Midshipmen | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2005-01-30 | vs | American University Eagles | W | 67 - 45 |
| 2005-02-04 | vs | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | W | 83 - 72 |
| 2005-02-06 | vs | Lafayette Leopards | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2005-02-11 | @ | Navy Midshipmen | L | 73 - 78 |
| 2005-02-13 | @ | American University Eagles | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2005-02-19 | @ | Holy Cross Crusaders | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2005-02-23 | vs | Army Black Knights | L | 69 - 71 |
| 2005-02-26 | vs | Bucknell Bison | W | 84 - 66 |
| 2005-03-03 | @ | Army Black Knights | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | W | 65 - 60 |
| 2005-03-09 | @ | Holy Cross Crusaders | L | 70 - 79 |
2005 Roster
No roster data available for this season.