Colgate
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1181 (#265) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 994 (#164) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +20.0 (#283) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.1 (#282) | HCA +3.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.394 (#259) | AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 67.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.312 (#260) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.324 (#257) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 899 (#231) | RD 147 | GP 27 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-21 | @ | Princeton | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2003-11-25 | @ | Cornell | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2003-11-29 | vs | Drexel | L | 84 - 89 |
| 2003-12-02 | vs | Albany (NY) | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2003-12-05 | @ | New Hampshire | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2003-12-09 | vs | Buffalo | L | 49 - 72 |
| 2003-12-12 | @ | Harvard | W | 78 - 60 |
| 2003-12-22 | @ | Syracuse | L | 63 - 101 |
| 2003-12-30 | @ | Long Beach State | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2004-01-02 | @ | Loyola Marymount | L | 54 - 78 |
| 2004-01-10 | @ | Lafayette | L | 86 - 97 |
| 2004-01-14 | vs | Holy Cross | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2004-01-17 | @ | Army | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2004-01-19 | vs | Dartmouth | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2004-01-23 | vs | American | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2004-01-25 | vs | Navy | W | 91 - 84 |
| 2004-01-30 | @ | Bucknell | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2004-02-01 | @ | Lehigh | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2004-02-06 | vs | Lafayette | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2004-02-11 | @ | Holy Cross | L | 49 - 60 |
| 2004-02-14 | vs | Army | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2004-02-20 | @ | Navy | W | 60 - 59 |
| 2004-02-22 | @ | American | L | 62 - 65 |
| 2004-02-27 | vs | Lehigh | W | 54 - 48 |
| 2004-02-29 | vs | Bucknell | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2004-03-06 | N | Lafayette | W | 67 - 66 |
| 2004-03-07 | N | American | L | 55 - 65 |
2004 Roster
No roster data available for this season.