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Colgate

Also known as: Colgate Raiders
Program History

Model Outputs

1994-1995
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1035 (#125) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1016 (#141) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1084 (#61) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.5 More โ†’ -3.7 (#178) HCA +3.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -0.5 (#156) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.479 (#161) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.6 More โ†’ 0.344 (#180) AdjNet -5.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.8 More โ†’ 0.337 (#184) AdjNet -5.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 77.1 More โ†’ 0.414 (#185) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 77.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 74.1 More โ†’ 0.526 (#129) AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 74.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.497 (#156) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.519 (#143) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1046 (#122) RD 118 | GP 30

1995 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1994-11-25 @ Stanford L 70 - 82
1994-11-26 N Butler L 74 - 84
1994-11-29 @ Syracuse L 53 - 88
1994-12-02 N Mississippi State L 76 - 80
1994-12-03 N Texas Southern L 87 - 91
1994-12-08 @ Maryland L 53 - 113
1994-12-16 vs Harvard W 66 - 56
1994-12-27 N Pennsylvania L 58 - 93
1994-12-28 N Manhattan L 51 - 54
1995-01-05 vs Vermont W 95 - 91
1995-01-07 vs Fordham W 85 - 78
1995-01-09 vs Canisius L 76 - 80
1995-01-11 @ Holy Cross L 65 - 81
1995-01-14 vs Lehigh W 93 - 85
1995-01-18 vs Navy W 81 - 67
1995-01-21 @ Bucknell L 68 - 70
1995-01-23 vs Cornell W 78 - 61
1995-01-25 vs Army W 94 - 93
1995-01-28 @ Lafayette W 86 - 62
1995-02-01 @ Fordham W 85 - 69
1995-02-04 vs Holy Cross W 88 - 74
1995-02-08 @ Lehigh W 93 - 78
1995-02-11 @ Navy L 51 - 93
1995-02-15 vs Bucknell W 76 - 59
1995-02-18 @ Army W 92 - 80
1995-02-25 vs Lafayette W 104 - 71
1995-03-04 N Lafayette W 87 - 67
1995-03-05 N Fordham W 75 - 68
1995-03-10 vs Navy W 68 - 63
1995-03-16 N Kansas L 68 - 82

1995 Roster

No roster data available for this season.