Colgate
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1035 (#125) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1016 (#141) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1084 (#61) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -3.7 (#178) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -0.5 (#156) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.479 (#161) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.344 (#180) | AdjNet -5.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.337 (#184) | AdjNet -5.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.414 (#185) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 77.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.526 (#129) | AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 74.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.497 (#156) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.519 (#143) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1046 (#122) | RD 118 | GP 30 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-11-25 | @ | Stanford | L | 70 - 82 |
| 1994-11-26 | N | Butler | L | 74 - 84 |
| 1994-11-29 | @ | Syracuse | L | 53 - 88 |
| 1994-12-02 | N | Mississippi State | L | 76 - 80 |
| 1994-12-03 | N | Texas Southern | L | 87 - 91 |
| 1994-12-08 | @ | Maryland | L | 53 - 113 |
| 1994-12-16 | vs | Harvard | W | 66 - 56 |
| 1994-12-27 | N | Pennsylvania | L | 58 - 93 |
| 1994-12-28 | N | Manhattan | L | 51 - 54 |
| 1995-01-05 | vs | Vermont | W | 95 - 91 |
| 1995-01-07 | vs | Fordham | W | 85 - 78 |
| 1995-01-09 | vs | Canisius | L | 76 - 80 |
| 1995-01-11 | @ | Holy Cross | L | 65 - 81 |
| 1995-01-14 | vs | Lehigh | W | 93 - 85 |
| 1995-01-18 | vs | Navy | W | 81 - 67 |
| 1995-01-21 | @ | Bucknell | L | 68 - 70 |
| 1995-01-23 | vs | Cornell | W | 78 - 61 |
| 1995-01-25 | vs | Army | W | 94 - 93 |
| 1995-01-28 | @ | Lafayette | W | 86 - 62 |
| 1995-02-01 | @ | Fordham | W | 85 - 69 |
| 1995-02-04 | vs | Holy Cross | W | 88 - 74 |
| 1995-02-08 | @ | Lehigh | W | 93 - 78 |
| 1995-02-11 | @ | Navy | L | 51 - 93 |
| 1995-02-15 | vs | Bucknell | W | 76 - 59 |
| 1995-02-18 | @ | Army | W | 92 - 80 |
| 1995-02-25 | vs | Lafayette | W | 104 - 71 |
| 1995-03-04 | N | Lafayette | W | 87 - 67 |
| 1995-03-05 | N | Fordham | W | 75 - 68 |
| 1995-03-10 | vs | Navy | W | 68 - 63 |
| 1995-03-16 | N | Kansas | L | 68 - 82 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.