Colby
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 978 (#283) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 994 (#245) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.0 (#59) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.746 (#332) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.835 (#106) | NetEff +12.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.905 (#208) | AdjNet +19.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.907 (#207) | AdjNet +19.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.733 (#216) | AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 56.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Plymouth St. | W | 67 - 24 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | Westfield St. | W | 85 - 49 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Maine Maritime | L | 54 - 60 |
| 2024-11-24 | @ | NYU | L | 56 - 90 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | U New England | L | 56 - 58 |
| 2024-12-03 | @ | Bates | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Bowdoin | L | 52 - 61 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Lake Forest | W | 69 - 39 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Scranton | L | 48 - 77 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | MIT | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2025-01-05 | @ | Wellesley | W | 62 - 59 |
| 2025-01-10 | vs | Connecticut Col. | W | 67 - 46 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Tufts | W | 83 - 59 |
| 2025-01-14 | vs | Husson | W | 88 - 67 |
| 2025-01-19 | vs | Bates | W | 58 - 55 |
| 2025-01-21 | vs | Thomas (ME) | W | 92 - 29 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Bowdoin | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2025-01-31 | @ | Amherst | W | 65 - 60 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Hamilton | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2025-02-07 | vs | Williams | L | 46 - 58 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Middlebury | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2025-02-14 | @ | Trinity (CT) | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | W | 65 - 49 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Middlebury | W | 100 - 97 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Trinity (CT) | W | 90 - 69 |
| 2025-03-02 | @ | Bowdoin | L | 59 - 62 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Olenik | - | 25 | 34.7 | 19.6 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 14.5 | 13.4 | 66 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 48.3 | 39.3 | 74.0 | 0.92 | 58.6 | 54.7 |
| Lydia Mordarski | - | 26 | 34.0 | 11.2 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 8.7 | 8.1 | 99 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 35.7 | 30.9 | 80.0 | 0.74 | 52.2 | 43.2 |
| Amelia Hanscom | - | 26 | 25.4 | 10.2 | 6.9 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 8.3 | 10.0 | 32 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 49.3 | 21.1 | 71.6 | 0.27 | 54.0 | 50.2 |
| Ana Von Rumohr | - | 7 | 26.4 | 8.6 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 51 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 29.0 | 20.6 | 89.5 | 0.33 | 42.6 | 34.7 |
| Chelsea Ibenegbu | - | 20 | 26.8 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 39 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 37.7 | 33.3 | 71.4 | 0.62 | 46.4 | 40.1 |
| Lili Nagy | - | 26 | 19.7 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 138 | 5.3 | 8.8 | 30.7 | 26.9 | 68.4 | 1.27 | 40.7 | 37.6 |
| Caroline Hartley | - | 25 | 14.8 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 116 | 3.7 | 9.6 | 35.9 | 16.7 | 66.7 | 0.69 | 41.0 | 38.0 |
| Defne Pekinbas | - | 25 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 66 | 2.5 | 7.8 | 43.3 | 0 | 78.1 | 0.51 | 51.2 | 43.3 |
| Lauren Cho | - | 15 | 8.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.9 | -0.1 | 9 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0.36 | 30.9 | 28.6 |
| Talia Thompson | - | 21 | 14.0 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 23 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 55.6 | 0.33 | 48.0 | 45.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG