Colby-Sawyer
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 947 (#338) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 879 (#392) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -24.2 (#372) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.090 (#637) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.137 (#343) | NetEff -12.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.014 (#655) | AdjNet -36.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.012 (#656) | AdjNet -37.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.108 (#650) | AdjO 50.6 | AdjD 73.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | W | 77 - 46 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Thomas (ME) | W | 63 - 52 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Wellesley | W | 56 - 51 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Plymouth St. | W | 51 - 44 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Fitchburg St. | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2024-11-25 | @ | Nichols | L | 68 - 105 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Amherst | L | 28 - 67 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Coast Guard | L | 50 - 79 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Keene St. | L | 56 - 62 |
| 2025-01-01 | @ | Dartmouth | L | 46 - 94 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Albertus Magnus | L | 51 - 70 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | Lasell | L | 40 - 61 |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | Mount Holyoke | L | 59 - 66 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | St. Joseph's (ME) | L | 49 - 62 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Elms | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Dean | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2025-01-21 | vs | New England Col. | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | JWU (Providence) | L | 74 - 86 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Norwich | L | 40 - 84 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Mitchell | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Anna Maria | L | 37 - 75 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Rivier | L | 61 - 84 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Emmanuel (MA) | L | 47 - 64 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Regis (MA) | L | 64 - 87 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 61 - 97 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elyza Mitchell | - | 21 | 30.3 | 10.7 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 8.7 | 10.3 | -117 | -4.7 | -4.7 | 41.0 | 16.0 | 72.0 | -0.51 | 50.2 | 43.2 |
| Courtney Brewster | - | 14 | 23.3 | 10.5 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 7.1 | 9.6 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 61.9 | 0.08 | 57.5 | 54.0 |
| Marissa Holt | - | 24 | 24.7 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 9.0 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 30.6 | 27.1 | 56.4 | -0.28 | 39.2 | 37.3 |
| Lauren MacDonald | - | 13 | 23.9 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 8.2 | 4.7 | -206 | -9.0 | -10.0 | 35.5 | 25.0 | 48.1 | -0.61 | 41.2 | 39.7 |
| Catherine Chick | - | 24 | 22.3 | 7.3 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 6.5 | 6.9 | -201 | -6.5 | -7.7 | 43.2 | 21.9 | 55.6 | -0.71 | 48.2 | 45.5 |
| Makenna Grillone | - | 25 | 23.0 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 6.8 | 2.6 | -227 | -6.9 | -7.8 | 35.5 | 32.3 | 64.3 | -0.65 | 47.5 | 44.7 |
| Hayden Wilkins | - | 20 | 24.6 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 7.3 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 26.0 | 16.4 | 68.9 | -0.36 | 35.6 | 29.8 |
| Tanner Drury | - | 10 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 0.2 | -122 | -7.2 | -11.2 | 31.0 | 32.0 | 66.7 | -0.4 | 43.5 | 40.5 |
| Emma Felker | - | 26 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 27.2 | 24.7 | 75.0 | 0.11 | 38.3 | 35.9 |
| Tanner Durry | - | 10 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 45.5 | 80.0 | - | 74.7 | 68.2 |
| Sierra Derby | - | 25 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 56.2 | 0.0 | 56.5 | 0.08 | 58.2 | 56.2 |
| Delaney Raymond | - | 25 | 7.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 | -51 | -2.2 | -8.3 | 33.3 | 29.0 | 50.0 | -0.05 | 43.7 | 42.7 |
| Molly Denis | - | 26 | 13.7 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.5 | -22 | -0.8 | -2.0 | 22.2 | 12.2 | 54.5 | 0.12 | 31.0 | 26.2 |
| Larissa Daigle | - | 23 | 7.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 25.7 | 15.8 | 66.7 | 0.13 | 33.2 | 30.0 |
| Emma Greenan | - | 24 | 9.7 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 32.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 34.6 | 32.4 |
| Kaylee Manzella | - | 14 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Sophie Desrochers | - | 15 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lauren McKee | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG