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Colby-Sawyer

Also known as: Colby-Sawyer
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 947 (#338) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 861 (#498) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 907 (#603) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -21.8 (#365) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -17.6 (#582) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.090 (#637) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -12.6 More → 0.142 (#472) NetEff -12.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -36.5 More → 0.014 (#655) AdjNet -36.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -37.3 More → 0.012 (#656) AdjNet -37.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 50.6 | AdjD 73.8 More → 0.108 (#650) AdjO 50.6 | AdjD 73.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 66.8 More → 0.294 (#606) AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 66.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.177 (#613) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.194 (#606) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 22 More → 859 (#452) RD 105 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Keene St. L 65 - 89
2025-11-09 vs Lesley W 81 - 44
2025-11-12 @ Dartmouth L 33 - 98
2025-11-15 vs Nichols L 67 - 76
2025-11-19 vs VTSU-Johnson W 74 - 48
2025-11-22 @ Fitchburg St. W 73 - 61
2025-11-24 @ Thomas (ME) L 52 - 66
2025-11-29 @ NYU L 42 - 115
2025-11-30 @ Medgar Evers W 76 - 59
2025-12-03 @ Plymouth St. L 64 - 74
2025-12-10 @ Amherst L 42 - 78
2026-01-10 @ Emmanuel (MA) L 53 - 79
2026-01-17 vs Dean W 77 - 52
2026-01-20 @ New England Col. L 57 - 76
2026-01-24 vs Elms L 77 - 83
2026-01-28 vs Rivier W 58 - 41
2026-01-31 vs Mitchell W 88 - 60
2026-02-03 @ Norwich L 50 - 66
2026-02-07 @ Saint Joseph (CT) W 69 - 59

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lauren MacDonald - 19 26.3 11.3 5.5 1.6 1.3 0.4 2.2 10.2 7.8 -102 -5.1 -29.3 43.8 26.0 66.7 0.69 50.0 47.2
Elyza Mitchell - 15 30.8 10.9 8.4 1.7 1.9 0.2 2.5 8.7 11.9 -2 -0.1 -0.5 53.1 12.5 48.0 0.92 53.6 53.5
Tanner Drury - 19 29.3 10.7 3.0 2.8 1.1 0.0 4.2 10.1 3.3 -101 -5.3 -21.4 32.3 29.8 77.8 -2.35 47.0 41.9
Emily Leonard - 19 23.1 10.6 3.7 1.4 0.6 0.0 1.5 7.3 7.5 -95 -5.0 -32.8 50.0 42.9 77.4 -0.69 66.3 64.1
Makenna Grillone - 19 25.8 7.0 3.0 2.1 0.9 0.1 2.3 7.6 3.3 -77 -3.9 -19.9 32.6 27.1 57.1 -1.43 41.7 39.2
Catherine Chick - 19 21.0 6.1 4.9 1.1 1.2 0.4 2.8 5.6 5.2 -57 -3.0 -20.0 41.5 30.0 42.1 0.07 43.9 42.9
Taylor Fellows - 19 16.8 3.4 1.8 1.7 1.4 0.1 1.9 4.4 2.1 -61 -3.2 -22.5 28.9 22.7 31.8 1.91 35.1 34.9
Delaney Raymond - 13 12.0 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.1 2.8 0.8 -14 -0.9 -8.9 32.4 29.6 50.0 -1.08 43.6 43.2
Emma Greenan - 11 13.1 2.5 3.0 0.9 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.8 3.4 -30 -3.8 -50.6 35.5 0 42.9 -0.57 37.7 35.5
Larissa Daigle - 4 4.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.2 5 1.7 12.4 75.0 0.0 100.0 0.34 82.0 75.0
Molly Denis - 18 14.5 1.4 1.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.8 2.5 0.9 -106 -5.9 -59.2 15.6 9.1 81.8 -0.93 25.1 17.8
Aryanna Sheehan - 3 3.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 -6 -0.8 -31.4 0.0 0 100.0 0.12 53.2 0.0
Sierra Derby - 4 7.8 1.2 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 2.2 1.2 0.2 -5 -1.7 -32.5 40.0 0 25.0 0.01 37.0 40.0
Sophie Desrochers - 3 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Emma Trimper - 1 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kaylee Manzella - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG