Col. of Idaho
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 957 (#323) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 989 (#345) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.0 (#427) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.278 (#449) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.644 (#337) | AdjNet +5.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.652 (#335) | AdjNet +5.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.568 (#358) | AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.471 (#361) | AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 76.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.391 (#408) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.403 (#399) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 927 (#318) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Northwest Nazarene | L | 74 - 91 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Germer | - | 1 | 25.9 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 70.0 | 83.3 | 50.0 | - | 89.3 | 95.0 |
| Samaje Morgan | - | 1 | 27.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 40.0 | 42.9 | - | 57.3 | 60.0 |
| Dougie Peoples | - | 1 | 26.3 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 37.6 | 12.5 |
| Johnny Radford | - | 1 | 16.3 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 40.0 | 33.3 | - | 55.4 | 60.0 |
| Chance Winter | - | 1 | 11.9 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Utrillo Morris | - | 1 | 19.4 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 43.4 | 25.0 |
| Straton Rogers | - | 1 | 16.9 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | - | 68.7 | 0.0 |
| Caden Handran | - | 1 | 18.4 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Drew Wyman | - | 1 | 20.6 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG