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Coker

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Coker
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1143 (#61) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1217 (#34) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1114 (#60) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +8.4 (#92) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +2.0 (#329) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.789 (#252) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.8 More → 0.871 (#152) NetEff +13.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.7 More → 0.860 (#244) AdjNet +15.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.7 More → 0.865 (#243) AdjNet +15.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 58.3 More → 0.713 (#246) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 58.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 59.7 More → 0.534 (#283) AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 59.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.668 (#216) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.656 (#224) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 22 More → 1186 (#52) RD 106 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Francis Marion W 76 - 69
2025-11-15 @ UNC Pembroke W 76 - 60
2025-11-19 vs Barton W 74 - 52
2025-11-22 @ Fayetteville St. W 58 - 49
2025-11-25 vs Augusta L 69 - 72
2025-11-29 @ Tusculum W 72 - 45
2025-12-06 vs Carson-Newman W 64 - 56
2025-12-13 @ Mars Hill W 76 - 56
2025-12-17 @ Catawba W 71 - 55
2025-12-20 vs Converse W 103 - 52
2026-01-03 vs UVA Wise W 65 - 49
2026-01-10 vs Emory & Henry W 64 - 56
2026-01-14 vs Lenoir-Rhyne L 57 - 83
2026-01-17 @ Lincoln Memorial L 58 - 72
2026-01-21 @ Wingate W 68 - 52
2026-01-24 vs Tusculum W 95 - 55
2026-01-28 @ Newberry W 65 - 51
2026-01-30 @ Carson-Newman L 60 - 87
2026-02-04 vs Catawba W 56 - 51
2026-02-07 vs Mars Hill W 70 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Shawntenna Tillman - 2 29.2 31.0 5.5 3.5 4.5 0.0 2.0 22.0 20.5 10 3.3 5.0 45.5 39.1 86.7 1.33 61.3 55.7
Shawnteanna Tillman - 18 29.5 18.6 4.7 2.8 2.5 0.1 3.2 17.1 8.3 67 3.4 19.7 34.5 31.6 76.6 -0.68 46.9 40.6
Yasmine Cook - 20 22.3 8.9 4.0 1.2 1.6 0.1 2.3 7.9 5.7 104 4.7 22.8 41.1 17.8 71.9 2.06 48.9 43.7
Kamari Thompson - 12 26.2 8.5 11.2 1.0 1.3 2.3 2.3 7.0 15.0 42 2.8 25.8 53.6 0 29.3 -0.24 50.0 53.6
Kristynn Knight - 20 30.6 8.2 3.5 2.8 1.1 0.2 2.4 6.8 6.7 156 6.8 30.0 43.1 36.4 75.6 2.93 53.2 48.9
Janay Legagneur - 20 20.0 7.5 6.9 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.1 5.8 10.2 67 3.0 18.3 51.7 0 63.0 3.82 54.7 51.7
Dasia Ferguson - 15 18.8 7.5 2.8 0.5 0.7 0.5 1.1 6.9 3.9 32 1.9 12.1 38.5 26.3 77.1 -4.94 46.9 40.9
Ja'Kea Brunson - 20 17.0 3.9 2.4 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.8 4.5 2.2 65 3.0 19.3 33.3 18.6 58.8 0.58 40.0 37.8
Yannah Seaberry - 1 4.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Lynda Young - 4 8.2 3.0 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.8 1.8 14 2.8 21.8 40.0 0.0 0 1.14 40.0 40.0
Cayanna Stanley - 18 11.9 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.7 2.8 1.8 16 0.8 13.6 36.0 28.6 75.0 0.08 47.9 44.0
Kadence Walker-Lee - 16 7.5 2.3 3.4 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.7 2.5 3.2 48 2.8 41.8 27.5 0.0 60.0 -0.33 36.3 27.5
Courtney Taylor - 19 18.4 2.1 1.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 1.2 3.1 1.5 73 3.3 20.5 23.7 16.0 61.5 2.55 30.9 27.1
Samantha Meyers - 4 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.0 0 0.0 0.0 33.3 50.0 50.0 0.01 51.5 50.0
McKaylee Allen - 10 6.0 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.6 1.3 11 0.9 165.0 37.5 37.5 100.0 -0.91 50.4 46.9
Morgan Champion - 11 6.6 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.9 38 2.9 45.9 27.8 16.7 77.8 -0.8 41.0 30.6
Shyrique Parker - 14 6.8 1.5 2.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.4 18 1.2 18.8 33.3 20.0 50.0 -1.68 41.3 38.1
Samaria Smith - 2 4.1 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 22 1.2 4.9 33.3 50.0 0 0.11 50.0 50.0
Taelor Hiller - 4 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.2 - - - 25.0 0 28.6 -0.89 28.2 25.0
Kah'Liyah Geddis - 2 3.9 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 3 1.0 32.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.11 0.0 0.0
Te'Ericka Dowling - 2 4.1 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.5 2 1.0 21.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.11 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG