🐻⬇️🏀

Coker

Also known as: Coker
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 805 (#416) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 744 (#535) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 864 (#561) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -7.7 (#276) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -2.5 (#367) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.415 (#385) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +20.6 More → 0.915 (#188) NetEff +20.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.0 More → 0.613 (#352) AdjNet +4.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.7 More → 0.576 (#376) AdjNet +2.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 92.4 | AdjD 89.4 More → 0.568 (#359) AdjO 92.4 | AdjD 89.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 78.8 More → 0.390 (#467) AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 78.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.327 (#440) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.330 (#448) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 22 More → 792 (#454) RD 118 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Ferrum W 81 - 73
2025-11-15 vs Converse L 57 - 92
2025-11-25 @ Fayetteville St. L 79 - 86
2025-11-29 @ Tusculum L 68 - 70
2025-12-03 @ Mount Olive L 80 - 89
2025-12-06 vs Carson-Newman L 72 - 78
2025-12-10 vs Newberry L 54 - 67
2025-12-13 @ Mars Hill L 81 - 86
2025-12-17 @ Catawba L 66 - 91
2025-12-20 @ Emmanuel (GA) L 65 - 68
2025-12-21 vs Young Harris L 69 - 88
2026-01-03 vs UVA Wise L 84 - 102
2026-01-07 @ Anderson (SC) L 55 - 88
2026-01-10 vs Emory & Henry L 58 - 69
2026-01-14 vs Lenoir-Rhyne L 79 - 105
2026-01-17 @ Lincoln Memorial L 72 - 84
2026-01-21 @ Wingate L 67 - 87
2026-01-24 vs Tusculum L 75 - 89
2026-01-28 @ Newberry L 75 - 84
2026-01-30 @ Carson-Newman L 74 - 80
2026-02-04 vs Catawba W 92 - 85
2026-02-07 vs Mars Hill W 75 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Isayah Owens - 15 32.9 18.7 2.6 4.2 1.6 0.0 2.8 14.0 10.3 -113 -8.1 -68.6 45.7 35.8 83.3 -1.46 58.1 52.6
Zundra Jackson - 21 31.1 15.1 4.8 2.1 1.9 0.3 2.0 12.1 10.0 -131 -6.5 -24.0 42.0 27.6 65.6 -1.48 51.5 46.7
Aaron Hall - 21 29.9 13.1 5.8 1.8 0.5 0.2 2.4 10.0 9.0 -123 -6.2 -28.7 50.0 20.0 81.7 -0.56 57.2 51.9
Predrag Panisic - 22 27.0 7.0 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.5 1.5 7.0 6.9 -29 -1.3 -7.4 39.6 29.0 59.1 1.63 47.3 46.1
Jonah Vaysbakh - 21 20.2 6.6 1.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 5.2 3.5 -49 -2.3 -10.4 43.1 44.0 100.0 1.52 62.5 61.5
Xavier Moultrie - 21 20.1 6.4 2.3 2.2 1.2 0.0 2.0 5.3 4.9 -49 -2.3 -13.6 45.0 39.3 72.2 1.5 56.8 55.0
Adonis Thomas - 11 13.9 4.5 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.5 4.7 2.0 -37 -3.4 -94.1 34.6 30.0 83.3 -2.23 45.8 43.3
Ryan Webster - 21 15.2 3.9 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.9 3.8 1.9 -90 -4.3 -43.4 36.2 29.2 81.8 -4.7 47.7 45.0
Iason Binis - 18 8.3 2.6 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 2.3 2.2 -37 -2.1 -45.8 52.4 0 50.0 -0.6 52.6 52.4
Matthew Knafelz - 21 16.9 2.6 3.6 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.2 1.8 5.0 -70 -3.5 -22.3 62.2 0 52.9 -3.52 61.8 62.2
Brady Franz - 6 9.1 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.3 2.8 0.7 -33 -6.6 -85.3 35.3 12.5 0.0 -1.79 37.3 38.2
Rodney Brown - 7 5.3 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 0.9 -3 -0.1 -1.6 38.5 36.4 0 -0.57 53.8 53.8
Cyncier Harrison - 4 17.0 1.8 1.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 3.2 1.5 -21 -7.0 -67.9 23.1 16.7 0.0 -0.7 26.0 26.9
Austin Glasscho - 6 7.3 1.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.8 1.3 5 1.0 7.4 60.0 100.0 100.0 0.92 73.5 70.0
Jacarey Ballard - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Yamar'e Bell - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Gilbert Brown - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Hugo Chamero - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Caden Edmund - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Avantae Hood - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Dorian Janvier - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG