Coker
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 805 (#416) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 744 (#535) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 864 (#561) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.7 (#276) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.5 (#367) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.415 (#385) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.915 (#188) | NetEff +20.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.613 (#352) | AdjNet +4.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.576 (#376) | AdjNet +2.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.568 (#359) | AdjO 92.4 | AdjD 89.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.390 (#467) | AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 78.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.327 (#440) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.330 (#448) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 792 (#454) | RD 118 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Ferrum | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Converse | L | 57 - 92 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Fayetteville St. | L | 79 - 86 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Tusculum | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Mount Olive | L | 80 - 89 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Carson-Newman | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Newberry | L | 54 - 67 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Mars Hill | L | 81 - 86 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Catawba | L | 66 - 91 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Young Harris | L | 69 - 88 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | UVA Wise | L | 84 - 102 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Anderson (SC) | L | 55 - 88 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Emory & Henry | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 79 - 105 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | L | 72 - 84 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Wingate | L | 67 - 87 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Tusculum | L | 75 - 89 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Newberry | L | 75 - 84 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Carson-Newman | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Catawba | W | 92 - 85 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 75 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isayah Owens | - | 15 | 32.9 | 18.7 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 14.0 | 10.3 | -113 | -8.1 | -68.6 | 45.7 | 35.8 | 83.3 | -1.46 | 58.1 | 52.6 |
| Zundra Jackson | - | 21 | 31.1 | 15.1 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 12.1 | 10.0 | -131 | -6.5 | -24.0 | 42.0 | 27.6 | 65.6 | -1.48 | 51.5 | 46.7 |
| Aaron Hall | - | 21 | 29.9 | 13.1 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 10.0 | 9.0 | -123 | -6.2 | -28.7 | 50.0 | 20.0 | 81.7 | -0.56 | 57.2 | 51.9 |
| Predrag Panisic | - | 22 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 6.9 | -29 | -1.3 | -7.4 | 39.6 | 29.0 | 59.1 | 1.63 | 47.3 | 46.1 |
| Jonah Vaysbakh | - | 21 | 20.2 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 3.5 | -49 | -2.3 | -10.4 | 43.1 | 44.0 | 100.0 | 1.52 | 62.5 | 61.5 |
| Xavier Moultrie | - | 21 | 20.1 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 4.9 | -49 | -2.3 | -13.6 | 45.0 | 39.3 | 72.2 | 1.5 | 56.8 | 55.0 |
| Adonis Thomas | - | 11 | 13.9 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.7 | 2.0 | -37 | -3.4 | -94.1 | 34.6 | 30.0 | 83.3 | -2.23 | 45.8 | 43.3 |
| Ryan Webster | - | 21 | 15.2 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 | -90 | -4.3 | -43.4 | 36.2 | 29.2 | 81.8 | -4.7 | 47.7 | 45.0 |
| Iason Binis | - | 18 | 8.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2.2 | -37 | -2.1 | -45.8 | 52.4 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.6 | 52.6 | 52.4 |
| Matthew Knafelz | - | 21 | 16.9 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 5.0 | -70 | -3.5 | -22.3 | 62.2 | 0 | 52.9 | -3.52 | 61.8 | 62.2 |
| Brady Franz | - | 6 | 9.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 0.7 | -33 | -6.6 | -85.3 | 35.3 | 12.5 | 0.0 | -1.79 | 37.3 | 38.2 |
| Rodney Brown | - | 7 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | -3 | -0.1 | -1.6 | 38.5 | 36.4 | 0 | -0.57 | 53.8 | 53.8 |
| Cyncier Harrison | - | 4 | 17.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 1.5 | -21 | -7.0 | -67.9 | 23.1 | 16.7 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 26.0 | 26.9 |
| Austin Glasscho | - | 6 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.92 | 73.5 | 70.0 |
| Jacarey Ballard | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Yamar'e Bell | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gilbert Brown | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Hugo Chamero | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Caden Edmund | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Avantae Hood | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Dorian Janvier | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG