Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1125 (#45) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1170 (#46) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.8 (#41) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.890 (#252) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.920 (#62) | NetEff +20.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.925 (#193) | AdjNet +21.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.928 (#192) | AdjNet +21.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.763 (#195) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 57.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Wis.-Oshkosh | L | 55 - 64 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Knox | W | 88 - 75 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Wis.-Platteville | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | Saint Mary's (MN) | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Cornell College | W | 58 - 39 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Augustana (IL) | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Loras | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Simpson | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2024-12-13 | vs | Grinnell | W | 80 - 61 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 74 - 58 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | W | 91 - 50 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 81 - 39 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Luther | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Dubuque | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 97 - 43 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Wartburg | L | 49 - 55 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Loras | W | 72 - 54 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Central (IA) | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Simpson | W | 82 - 68 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Luther | L | 68 - 81 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 66 - 46 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Dubuque | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Wartburg | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Wartburg | L | 55 - 61 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Brunson | - | 27 | 31.1 | 20.4 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 16.7 | 11.9 | 54 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 49.6 | 25.4 | 78.9 | -0.22 | 55.2 | 51.6 |
| Caydee Kirkham | - | 27 | 33.6 | 14.6 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 11.7 | 11.4 | 120 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 44.6 | 36.3 | 80.0 | 1.12 | 55.5 | 51.1 |
| Ellie Wisner | - | 27 | 22.8 | 11.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 9.1 | 6.1 | 29 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 41.2 | 35.9 | 86.3 | -0.11 | 55.5 | 51.6 |
| Audrie Helmrichs | - | 27 | 26.3 | 6.3 | 8.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 11.6 | 113 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 59.7 | 0 | 68.3 | 0.77 | 62.0 | 59.7 |
| Taryn Kravig | - | 27 | 22.1 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 95 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 38.1 | 37.6 | 85.7 | 0.34 | 50.9 | 49.0 |
| Kelly Knight | - | 27 | 24.6 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.9 | 90 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 36.0 | 35.7 | 75.0 | 0.17 | 51.6 | 50.7 |
| Quinn Grubbs | - | 27 | 7.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 35.2 | 26.5 | 60.0 | 0.25 | 45.4 | 43.5 |
| Josie Gehrke | - | 27 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 12 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 36.4 | 22.2 | 81.8 | 0.16 | 46.1 | 40.9 |
| Averiel Brady | - | 27 | 9.1 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 36 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 41.0 | 35.3 | 66.7 | 0.33 | 49.6 | 48.7 |
| Carly Langenberg | - | 27 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 17 | 1.3 | 12.7 | 40.0 | 16.7 | 66.7 | 0.27 | 48.6 | 45.0 |
| Katie Smith | - | 27 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 35 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 40.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0.33 | 42.5 | 45.0 |
| Katie Keeney | - | 27 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.1 | 65.4 | 66.7 |
| Erin Danner | - | 27 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -32 | -1.7 | -10.8 | 20.0 | 0 | 37.5 | -0.13 | 29.3 | 20.0 |
| Molly Chmelicek | - | 27 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 15 | 0.8 | 7.2 | 20.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.1 | 37.0 | 20.0 |
| Kennedy Gordon | - | 26 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Raina Penttila | - | 27 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Sam Cooley | - | 27 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Reganne French | - | 25 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Maddie Ehlenbach | - | 26 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Peyton Simpson | - | 26 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gianna Wurth | - | 26 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mariah Thompson | - | 18 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30 | 5.0 | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG