🐻⬇️🏀

Coe

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Coe
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1125 (#45) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1211 (#45) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1164 (#49) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +20.4 (#27) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +17.8 (#133) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.890 (#252) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +23.2 More → 0.958 (#125) NetEff +23.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.8 More → 0.925 (#193) AdjNet +21.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.6 More → 0.928 (#192) AdjNet +21.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 57.1 More → 0.763 (#195) AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 57.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 51.3 More → 0.839 (#38) AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 51.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.874 (#85) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.875 (#73) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 22 More → 1222 (#56) RD 104 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Cornell College W 59 - 40
2025-11-11 @ Westminster (MO) W 56 - 29
2025-11-18 @ Grinnell W 75 - 54
2025-11-22 @ Monmouth (IL) W 81 - 37
2025-11-25 @ Carthage L 51 - 60
2025-12-03 @ Buena Vista W 55 - 47
2025-12-13 @ Neb. Wesleyan W 64 - 53
2025-12-16 vs Augustana (IL) W 62 - 39
2025-12-20 @ Bethel (MN) L 84 - 88
2025-12-30 vs Principia W 81 - 54
2026-01-10 @ Simpson W 68 - 65
2026-01-14 vs Dubuque W 77 - 37
2026-01-21 vs Central (IA) W 74 - 50
2026-01-24 @ Wartburg L 46 - 52
2026-01-28 vs Buena Vista W 90 - 40
2026-01-31 vs Neb. Wesleyan W 81 - 60
2026-02-04 @ Luther W 89 - 56
2026-02-07 vs Loras W 73 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Caydee Kirkham - 18 33.5 20.3 5.6 5.4 1.6 0.0 3.1 15.7 14.2 240 10.9 38.8 48.9 37.0 86.8 1.1 58.5 54.3
Audrie Helmrichs - 18 29.1 16.2 7.7 1.2 0.7 0.4 1.6 10.0 14.7 211 9.6 40.4 69.4 0.0 75.9 3.71 71.4 69.4
Taryn Kravig - 18 29.4 10.7 3.2 2.7 0.8 0.2 2.1 8.2 7.3 210 9.5 40.0 45.6 41.5 77.4 2.72 59.8 57.1
Kelly Knight - 18 28.5 5.6 4.1 2.1 0.8 0.0 1.4 6.1 5.1 194 8.8 40.9 32.1 31.8 66.7 0.84 45.2 44.5
Averiel Brady - 18 24.5 4.3 4.2 0.9 0.9 0.3 1.3 4.5 4.8 151 6.9 39.2 33.3 31.0 62.5 3.6 43.7 41.4
Laiken Haas - 18 14.5 3.3 3.2 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.4 2.3 5.9 95 4.3 31.2 50.0 51.9 66.7 -1.89 67.2 66.7
Quinn Grubbs - 18 15.7 3.1 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.8 4.0 2.0 136 6.2 57.9 29.2 19.5 45.5 2.68 35.8 34.7
Erin Danner - 12 7.7 2.1 1.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.6 2.2 32 2.1 30.0 52.6 0 62.5 1.2 55.5 52.6
Maddie Ehlenbach - 1 2.9 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3 3.0 41.6 100.0 0 0 0.15 100.0 100.0
Josie Gehrke - 18 8.0 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.8 2.0 1.2 63 2.9 35.8 41.7 37.5 33.3 1.86 45.3 45.8
Grace Linder - 13 4.5 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.5 2.2 31 2.1 61.5 47.4 37.5 50.0 -0.59 55.4 55.3
Carly Langenberg - 8 5.8 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.1 56 6.2 70.6 60.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 55.1 60.0
Katie Smith - 13 6.7 1.0 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.5 0.7 44 3.1 40.9 21.1 0.0 62.5 1.17 28.9 21.1
Peyton Simpson - 6 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -4 -0.6 -32.1 16.7 25.0 100.0 -0.94 36.3 25.0
Katie Keeney - 5 2.4 0.8 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.2 8 1.3 46.7 33.3 0 100.0 0.56 51.5 33.3
Morgan Wallin - 3 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 -1 -0.2 -27.0 100.0 0 0 -0.46 100.0 100.0
Gianna Wurth - 3 2.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 5 1.7 63.2 50.0 0 0 0.61 50.0 50.0
Hannah Thierer - 4 3.7 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 -0.8 13 2.6 140.5 33.3 0 0 0.8 33.3 33.3
Ava Erger - 3 3.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.7 -0.7 1 0.2 10.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.28 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG