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Cleveland State

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Cleveland State Vikings
Program History
Coach: Bob Dunn

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

68.7
PPG
71.3
Opp
-2.7
Margin
37.9%
FG%
27.7%
3P%
72.1%
FT%
34.0
RPG
11.0
APG
13.7
TO
74.6
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
62.1
Adj Opp PPG
#161
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 915 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1058, returning -90, transfers -52, freshmen +0 More → 920 (#220) Preseason prior 915 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1058, returning -90, transfers -52, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +185 elo More → 954 (#211) HCA +185 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +185 elo More → 980 (#189) HCA +185 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -7.4 (#236) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → -7.3 (#237) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.346 (#190) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.3 More → 0.394 (#207) AdjNet -4.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.5 More → 0.390 (#208) AdjNet -4.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 62.1 More → 0.495 (#161) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 62.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 62.2 More → 0.510 (#152) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 62.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.410 (#199) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.413 (#199) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 176 | GP 3 More → 933 (#212) RD 176 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.370 (#203) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Penn State Lady Lions W 62 - 61
2026-11-05 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 73 - 77
2026-11-10 @ Drake Bulldogs L 71 - 76
2026-11-16 @ Xavier Musketeers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Macie Taylor Macie Taylor G 3 31.7 18.3 3.0 2.3 1.3 0.3 2.0 11.0 12.3 6 3 2.0 2.5 51.5 41.2 73.7 -0.91 66.5 62.1
Silvia Gonzalez Silvia Gonzalez F 3 18.7 11.7 4.0 0.7 1.0 0.7 1.3 10.0 6.7 -13 3 -4.3 -9.3 40.0 37.5 71.4 -3.29 52.9 50.0
Chloe Oliver Chloe Oliver G 3 33.3 11.3 5.3 3.7 1.7 0.0 4.0 7.7 10.3 12 3 4.0 4.8 47.8 33.3 83.3 1.33 60.1 52.2
Paula Pique Paula Pique G 3 35.3 9.7 7.3 1.0 2.0 0.7 2.3 10.3 8.0 -18 3 -6.0 -6.8 38.7 12.5 100.0 -0.3 44.3 40.3
Alexa Hocevar Alexa Hocevar G 3 28.0 8.0 8.7 1.7 0.7 0.0 1.7 7.3 10.0 -3 3 -1.0 -1.4 31.8 0.0 71.4 -2.07 42.6 31.8
Sarah Hurley Sarah Hurley G 3 32.0 5.3 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 7.7 1.3 -13 3 -4.3 -5.5 21.7 22.7 50.0 -1.48 33.5 32.6
Annika Corcoran Annika Corcoran G 3 18.7 3.7 0.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.3 4.3 0.7 -15 3 -5.0 -10.8 15.4 22.2 55.6 -1.4 32.4 23.1
Hanna Medina Kajevic Hanna Medina Kajevic G 1 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1 1 1.0 14.5 100.0 0 0.0 0.32 69.4 100.0
Sur Lozano Sur Lozano G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 1 -1.0 -43.6 0 0 0 -1.47 0 0
Brianna Barr-Buday Brianna Barr-Buday F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Queen Ruffin Queen Ruffin G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 -6 1 -6.0 -68.9 0.0 0.0 0 -1.42 0.0 0.0
Fatou Sane Fatou Sane G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Tiyahna Trottier Tiyahna Trottier F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

177 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Taylor28% Oliver26% Pique50% Corcoran100% Hurley43% Taylor43% Taylor50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Hocevar36% Pique33% Corcoran25% Pique100% Hurley50% Hurley67% Taylor25% Gonzalez50% Taylor23%
Misses: who misses most here

Macie TaylorSilvia GonzalezPaula PiqueChloe OliverSarah HurleyAlexa HocevarAnnika Corcoran

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 25-36 69.4 50 Macie Taylor 28% (14 pts) Paula Pique 24% (12 pts) Alexa Hocevar 36% (4 misses) Chloe Oliver 36% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 19-49 38.8 38 Chloe Oliver 26% (10 pts) Paula Pique 26% (10 pts) Paula Pique 33% (10 misses) Alexa Hocevar 20% (6 misses)
Mid-range left 0-8 0.0 0 - - Annika Corcoran 25% (2 misses) Silvia Gonzalez 25% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 0-1 0.0 0 - - Paula Pique 100% (1 misses) -
Left corner 3 2-12 16.7 6 Paula Pique 50% (3 pts) Sarah Hurley 50% (3 pts) Sarah Hurley 50% (5 misses) Annika Corcoran 20% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 1-4 25.0 3 Annika Corcoran 100% (3 pts) - Sarah Hurley 67% (2 misses) Macie Taylor 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 7-27 25.9 21 Sarah Hurley 43% (9 pts) Silvia Gonzalez 29% (6 pts) Macie Taylor 25% (5 misses) Sarah Hurley 25% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 center 7-21 33.3 21 Macie Taylor 43% (9 pts) Silvia Gonzalez 29% (6 pts) Silvia Gonzalez 50% (7 misses) Sarah Hurley 21% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 right 6-19 31.6 18 Macie Taylor 50% (9 pts) Silvia Gonzalez 33% (6 pts) Macie Taylor 23% (3 misses) Paula Pique 23% (3 misses)