🐻⬇️🏀

Clayton St.

Also known as: Clayton St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 981 (#312) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 999 (#283) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 943 (#565) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -6.6 (#230) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -2.4 (#399) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.257 (#459) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.7 More → 0.175 (#373) NetEff -10.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.7 More → 0.422 (#438) AdjNet -2.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.6 More → 0.424 (#438) AdjNet -2.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.447 (#446) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 64.1 More → 0.447 (#472) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 64.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.398 (#449) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.409 (#443) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 22 More → 932 (#327) RD 94 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Shorter W 77 - 75
2025-11-15 @ Anderson (SC) L 66 - 88
2025-11-21 @ Carson-Newman L 58 - 96
2025-11-22 @ Lincoln Memorial L 60 - 73
2025-11-25 vs Palm Beach Atl. W 56 - 55
2025-11-29 @ Fayetteville St. L 59 - 77
2025-12-03 @ Georgia College W 63 - 48
2025-12-06 vs North Georgia L 62 - 81
2025-12-13 vs Columbus St. L 47 - 78
2025-12-17 @ Ga. Southwestern L 60 - 66
2026-01-03 vs USC Beaufort W 51 - 46
2026-01-10 vs Middle Georgia L 50 - 62
2026-01-14 vs Clark Atlanta W 84 - 82
2026-01-17 @ USC Aiken L 58 - 65
2026-01-20 vs Flagler W 57 - 49
2026-01-23 vs Georgia College W 61 - 32
2026-01-28 vs Lander L 87 - 89
2026-02-02 @ North Georgia L 80 - 86
2026-02-04 vs Ga. Southwestern W 62 - 61
2026-02-07 @ Columbus St. L 53 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mackenna Nix - 1 29.0 16.0 11.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 19.0 -82 -4.8 -29.3 38.5 100.0 50.0 -0.88 46.0 42.3
Morgan McDermott - 1 37.0 15.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 11.0 5.0 -70 -4.1 -26.9 45.5 50.0 75.0 -2.85 58.8 54.5
Monique Emelifeonwu - 1 36.0 13.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 10.0 10.0 -133 -7.8 -35.9 60.0 50.0 0 -1.28 65.0 65.0
Jasmyn Burts - 19 31.6 12.8 3.2 3.2 3.5 0.3 3.2 11.6 8.2 8 0.4 2.7 40.3 18.0 68.7 -1.35 47.4 42.3
Mahkayla Premo - 1 31.0 12.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 6.0 -90 -6.0 -31.6 40.0 66.7 100.0 -1.13 55.1 50.0
Kyla Greene - 19 27.5 11.0 2.5 1.4 1.8 0.1 2.4 9.8 4.5 14 0.7 6.3 36.9 34.6 64.2 -0.47 48.3 44.4
Tianna Dismuke - 19 24.4 7.8 6.5 1.0 1.1 0.6 2.5 5.9 8.5 90 4.5 41.7 46.9 0.0 52.5 1.31 49.9 46.9
Nya Young - 17 22.5 7.2 1.6 1.9 1.4 0.1 2.8 7.2 2.3 34 2.1 19.7 38.2 22.7 70.6 1.61 44.6 40.2
Destiny Harman - 1 21.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 -55 -3.2 -32.0 75.0 100.0 0 -1.21 87.5 87.5
Dazjanae Greene - 19 22.6 5.9 2.5 1.2 1.2 0.2 2.1 6.7 2.2 39 2.1 17.2 28.9 13.5 72.3 1.47 38.0 30.9
Etaria Gibbons - 19 20.5 5.4 4.7 0.4 1.0 1.2 1.5 4.4 6.8 10 0.5 4.2 41.0 33.3 55.0 -0.66 46.6 41.6
Paige McDonald - 19 16.7 5.1 4.3 0.5 0.4 1.1 1.5 4.9 4.9 66 3.5 34.5 43.0 15.4 73.7 -0.74 47.4 44.1
Amanda Eziukwu - 6 14.0 4.5 1.5 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.5 4.0 2.7 - - - 45.8 0.0 71.4 - 49.9 45.8
Armani Shaw - 12 10.2 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.3 2.5 0.2 -23 -1.6 -22.9 33.3 33.3 90.0 0.16 48.0 40.0
Aniya Jones - 14 9.2 2.5 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.4 2.0 0.4 -30 -2.0 -26.6 39.3 42.9 66.7 0.96 50.6 44.6
Zenia Palaska - 1 16.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 -36 -2.1 -19.6 50.0 0 0 0.03 50.0 50.0
Joy Harris - 16 8.4 1.6 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.1 -38 -2.7 -412.7 33.3 11.8 50.0 -0.12 37.4 36.4
Skye Cleveland - 19 5.8 1.1 1.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.6 1.6 0.4 -54 -3.2 -71.8 22.6 20.8 50.0 -0.27 31.4 30.6
Tasia Agee - 5 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.4 -0.6 - - - 14.3 20.0 0 - 21.4 21.4
Jada Grigsby - 15 6.4 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 0.4 -22 -1.6 -132.3 10.0 0.0 37.5 -0.34 14.9 10.0
Journy Scott - 2 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0
Rahimeh Salaam - 14 2.4 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 -46 -3.3 -890.3 66.7 0 0 -0.6 66.7 66.7
Quamiya Ward - 4 5.6 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 8.5 0.0
India Dowling-Green - 13 2.9 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 -11 -1.0 -303.4 0.0 0 50.0 0.08 7.3 0.0
Ameera Nayani - 3 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Makaylei Snyder - 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -18 -1.4 -16.8 0.0 0 0 0.16 0.0 0.0
Nika Kurdija - 1 21.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 -1.0 -48 -3.4 -19.1 0.0 0.0 0 0.06 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG