Clayton St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 842 (#407) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 810 (#517) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 822 (#586) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.9 (#271) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.7 (#420) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.239 (#465) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.691 (#232) | NetEff +6.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.482 (#425) | AdjNet -0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.487 (#422) | AdjNet -0.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.487 (#430) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 77.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.347 (#505) | AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 83.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.279 (#487) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.280 (#493) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 732 (#498) | RD 115 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Tusculum | L | 72 - 97 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 73 - 116 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | West Florida | L | 71 - 101 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Catawba | L | 77 - 96 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Miles | L | 71 - 84 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Young Harris | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Georgia College | L | 63 - 91 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | North Georgia | L | 70 - 87 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Lander | L | 73 - 89 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Columbus St. | L | 87 - 97 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Ga. Southwestern | L | 66 - 88 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Lane | W | 90 - 81 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Anderson (SC) | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | USC Beaufort | L | 82 - 102 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Augusta | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Middle Georgia | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | USC Aiken | L | 79 - 90 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Flagler | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Georgia College | L | 81 - 100 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Lander | L | 72 - 88 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | North Georgia | L | 78 - 84 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | L | 66 - 91 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Columbus St. | L | 87 - 93 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ White | - | 1 | 32.6 | 35.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 72 | 4.8 | 28.6 | 55.6 | 33.3 | 86.7 | 1.18 | 71.1 | 61.1 |
| Jonah Lawrence | - | 1 | 33.0 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | -32 | -2.0 | -40.2 | 71.4 | 75.0 | 85.7 | 0.34 | 84.9 | 82.1 |
| Mccaskill Rivers | - | 1 | 37.0 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 16.0 | -42 | -3.0 | -46.3 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 81.8 | 0.66 | 54.7 | 44.4 |
| Colin Turner | - | 1 | 31.9 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 52 | 3.5 | 24.4 | 63.6 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.21 | 72.0 | 63.6 |
| Andre Young | - | 21 | 32.9 | 17.6 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 14.6 | 8.5 | -178 | -8.1 | -49.6 | 45.0 | 38.7 | 75.4 | 0.63 | 54.7 | 51.6 |
| DJ Wright | - | 21 | 33.6 | 15.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 12.4 | 6.4 | -224 | -10.2 | -56.2 | 43.8 | 36.8 | 80.9 | -1.89 | 56.0 | 51.9 |
| Dezmond Perkins | - | 3 | 24.8 | 11.0 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 11.0 | 8.0 | -50 | -16.7 | -64.7 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 69.2 | -0.65 | 42.6 | 36.4 |
| Joe Thomas | - | 21 | 33.4 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 8.9 | 8.4 | -242 | -11.0 | -62.3 | 35.3 | 38.1 | 80.6 | -4.44 | 52.9 | 46.8 |
| Eddie Page | - | 11 | 27.9 | 10.6 | 6.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 7.5 | 9.2 | -38 | -3.2 | -14.5 | 59.0 | 0 | 41.3 | -1.86 | 56.7 | 59.0 |
| Jojo Bell | - | 21 | 27.8 | 10.1 | 6.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7.5 | 11.1 | -117 | -5.3 | -44.1 | 50.6 | 46.5 | 82.5 | 0.54 | 60.6 | 57.0 |
| Chedlet Delva | - | 1 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | -51 | -3.6 | -72.6 | 80.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.43 | 76.5 | 80.0 |
| Zack Hawkinson | - | 1 | 22.8 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 77 | 4.8 | 38.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.41 | 54.9 | 50.0 |
| Jameel Rideout | - | 1 | 24.8 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.6 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 87.5 | 3.13 | 47.3 | 16.7 |
| Jeremiah Barze | - | 3 | 19.2 | 8.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 5.0 | -20 | -6.7 | -153.8 | 31.8 | 16.7 | 75.0 | 0.95 | 44.0 | 34.1 |
| Jamil Aleem | - | 8 | 13.5 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 0.9 | -49 | -6.1 | -68.4 | 45.5 | 34.8 | 25.0 | -1.6 | 56.1 | 57.6 |
| Tahai Morgan | - | 21 | 19.6 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 5.3 | 1.0 | -113 | -5.1 | -49.8 | 29.5 | 18.4 | 75.0 | 0.84 | 37.1 | 32.6 |
| Stephen Akwiwu | - | 1 | 19.4 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 43 | 3.9 | 35.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.28 | 54.9 | 0.0 |
| Chase Champion | - | 1 | 28.6 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 37 | 2.5 | 27.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.43 | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Marcus Harris | - | 10 | 15.9 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | -64 | -4.3 | -90.6 | 33.3 | 8.3 | 75.0 | -1.41 | 38.8 | 34.6 |
| Ja'mari Arnold | - | 1 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 35 | 2.2 | 31.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.01 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Jackson Roberts | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -26 | -1.9 | -74.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Justin Evans | - | 21 | 8.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.7 | -52 | -2.4 | -32.0 | 44.8 | 40.0 | 57.1 | -0.83 | 56.9 | 55.2 |
| AJ Baskerville | - | 1 | 15.2 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 68 | 4.2 | 57.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.87 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| David Jones | - | 10 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -2 | -0.2 | -7.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.08 | 41.2 | 0.0 |
| JoJo Peterson | - | 1 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -23 | -5.8 | -90.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jake Stephens | - | 1 | 11.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 0.4 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.41 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG