Clarion
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1062 (#86) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1025 (#153) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.8 (#191) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.243 (#471) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.874 (#77) | NetEff +15.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.277 (#477) | AdjNet -8.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.285 (#477) | AdjNet -7.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.387 (#476) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 73.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Bluefield St. | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Livingstone | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 88 - 79 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Youngstown St. | L | 52 - 69 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Penn St.-Du Bois | W | 73 - 45 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Lake Erie | W | 90 - 73 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Mansfield | W | 89 - 62 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 104 - 99 |
| 2024-12-01 | @ | Ohio Dominican | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2024-12-06 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 54 - 79 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Shepherd | W | 90 - 73 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Millersville | W | 61 - 53 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Point Park | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Shippensburg | L | 84 - 94 |
| 2025-01-03 | vs | Edinboro | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Seton Hill | L | 68 - 92 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 80 - 63 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | California (PA) | L | 74 - 85 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Slippery Rock | W | 92 - 72 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Kutztown | L | 96 - 106 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Indiana (PA) | L | 39 - 68 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Gannon | L | 56 - 71 |
| 2025-01-31 | @ | Edinboro | L | 48 - 67 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 63 - 51 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Seton Hill | L | 64 - 80 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | California (PA) | L | 53 - 81 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Gannon | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Slippery Rock | W | 76 - 58 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | Indiana (PA) | L | 55 - 68 |
| 2025-03-03 | @ | Seton Hill | L | 73 - 99 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Autumn Taylor | - | 30 | 30.3 | 15.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 13.9 | 4.0 | -39 | -1.3 | -1.2 | 37.9 | 30.2 | 74.8 | -0.02 | 49.8 | 45.2 |
| Arianna Seitz | - | 30 | 23.9 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 6.2 | -61 | -1.5 | -1.8 | 39.5 | 29.2 | 61.5 | 0.46 | 49.1 | 44.8 |
| Zoe Guice | - | 30 | 25.7 | 8.6 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 7.1 | 7.7 | -21 | -0.6 | -0.7 | 43.0 | 28.9 | 67.4 | 0.64 | 50.5 | 45.6 |
| Daylynn Thornton | - | 2 | 14.0 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | -23 | -0.8 | -1.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.02 | 65.0 | 50.0 |
| Hannah Wilkerson | - | 30 | 16.1 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 3.6 | -43 | -1.2 | -2.3 | 44.4 | 27.3 | 62.7 | -0.5 | 50.1 | 46.0 |
| Malayziah Etheredge | - | 29 | 12.4 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 4.9 | 4.4 | -14 | -0.5 | -1.4 | 40.4 | 43.1 | 71.1 | 0.01 | 51.7 | 48.2 |
| Siara Conley | - | 30 | 16.7 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 4.7 | -52 | -1.7 | -2.6 | 45.0 | 9.5 | 75.6 | -0.55 | 51.1 | 45.8 |
| Tearra Cook | - | 20 | 14.2 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 25 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 42.4 | 0.0 | 54.5 | 0.18 | 45.2 | 42.4 |
| Madison Palek | - | 30 | 18.3 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4.4 | 5.7 | -61 | -1.8 | -2.8 | 38.9 | 19.2 | 50.0 | -0.02 | 43.2 | 40.8 |
| Alyssa Terza | - | 29 | 14.4 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 4.6 | 4.1 | -28 | -0.7 | -1.6 | 27.3 | 24.7 | 75.0 | 0.21 | 38.8 | 36.4 |
| Claire Noble | - | 30 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | -23 | -0.7 | -3.8 | 18.5 | 11.6 | 83.3 | 0.04 | 26.5 | 23.1 |
| Jaylyn Twitty | - | 30 | 6.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -27 | -1.0 | -4.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 61.1 | -0.08 | 39.7 | 25.0 |
| Dominika Logue | - | 30 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 25.0 | 12.5 | 100.0 | -0.17 | 31.8 | 30.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG