Claflin
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1096 (#95) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1063 (#155) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1069 (#108) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.0 (#181) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.0 (#265) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.830 (#222) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.903 (#137) | NetEff +15.5 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.000 (#506) | NetEff -71.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.609 (#353) | AdjNet +3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.620 (#349) | AdjNet +4.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.569 (#344) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.646 (#124) | AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 53.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.671 (#213) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.675 (#201) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1122 (#92) | RD 105 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | @ | ETSU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Lynn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Morris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Converse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Bluefield St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Middle Georgia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | Virginia Union | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Livingstone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Winston-Salem | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Shaw | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-26 | @ | Benedict | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Fayetteville St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Shaw | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Shaw | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashari Lewis | - | 13 | 26.4 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 12.8 | 6.2 | -14 | -3.5 | -23.9 | 38.9 | 36.6 | 60.0 | -1.83 | 45.8 | 43.4 |
| Mia Lewis | - | 13 | 24.3 | 10.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 8.1 | 5.8 | -50 | -4.2 | -53.2 | 42.9 | 22.2 | 72.9 | -0.64 | 51.5 | 43.8 |
| Tyra Floyd | - | 13 | 28.9 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 3.7 | - | - | - | 35.5 | 27.0 | 73.3 | -1.55 | 46.7 | 44.5 |
| Ariel Lucas | - | 13 | 27.6 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 6.8 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 30.3 | 29.2 | 58.3 | 0.84 | 42.4 | 41.0 |
| Ryian Howard | - | 12 | 14.3 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 7.9 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 63.0 | 1.26 | 66.1 | 64.3 |
| Olivia Randolph | - | 12 | 24.4 | 5.2 | 7.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 11.7 | - | - | - | 46.4 | 50.0 | 64.3 | 1.22 | 49.9 | 47.3 |
| Makailah Davis | - | 13 | 16.1 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 37.7 | 27.5 | 20.0 | 0.55 | 44.9 | 45.7 |
| Tacoya Heyward | - | 5 | 16.4 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 7.4 | - | - | - | 52.6 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 1.48 | 55.4 | 52.6 |
| Emaree Hinton | - | 12 | 10.6 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 54.5 | -1.45 | 51.4 | 50.0 |
| Yvette Sandifer | - | 13 | 16.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 26.9 | 0.0 | 69.2 | -1.13 | 36.3 | 26.9 |
| Nevaeh Washington | - | 8 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kennedy Rivers | - | 6 | 6.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 11.1 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.52 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Aveion Walker | - | 8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 1.1 | 27.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.89 | 0 | 0 |
| Zhaire Mack | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alexia Grant | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| CeNiyah Williams | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28 | 1.6 | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG