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Claflin

Also known as: Claflin
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1096 (#95) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1063 (#155) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1069 (#108) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +4.0 (#181) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +6.0 (#265) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.830 (#222) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.5 More → 0.903 (#137) NetEff +15.5
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -71.0 More → 0.000 (#506) NetEff -71.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.8 More → 0.609 (#353) AdjNet +3.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.1 More → 0.620 (#349) AdjNet +4.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 63.9 More → 0.569 (#344) AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 63.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 53.0 More → 0.646 (#124) AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 53.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.671 (#213) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.675 (#201) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 19 More → 1122 (#92) RD 105 | GP 19

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 @ ETSU - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 vs Lynn - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Morris - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Converse - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 @ Bluefield St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Virginia St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 @ Elizabeth City St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Middle Georgia - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Lincoln (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-12 vs Virginia Union - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Livingstone - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Winston-Salem - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Shaw - Incomplete score
2026-01-26 @ Benedict - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Fayetteville St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-02 vs Johnson C. Smith - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Shaw - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Shaw - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ashari Lewis - 13 26.4 13.0 4.5 2.5 2.3 0.9 4.3 12.8 6.2 -14 -3.5 -23.9 38.9 36.6 60.0 -1.83 45.8 43.4
Mia Lewis - 13 24.3 10.4 2.5 2.6 2.5 0.0 4.2 8.1 5.8 -50 -4.2 -53.2 42.9 22.2 72.9 -0.64 51.5 43.8
Tyra Floyd - 13 28.9 8.4 3.2 0.8 1.3 0.0 1.5 8.5 3.7 - - - 35.5 27.0 73.3 -1.55 46.7 44.5
Ariel Lucas - 13 27.6 6.2 1.8 0.9 1.3 0.0 1.9 6.8 1.4 - - - 30.3 29.2 58.3 0.84 42.4 41.0
Ryian Howard - 12 14.3 5.2 4.3 1.3 1.2 0.0 1.2 2.9 7.9 - - - 60.0 50.0 63.0 1.26 66.1 64.3
Olivia Randolph - 12 24.4 5.2 7.8 1.1 1.3 2.2 1.2 4.7 11.7 - - - 46.4 50.0 64.3 1.22 49.9 47.3
Makailah Davis - 13 16.1 4.9 1.9 0.8 0.8 0.1 1.1 5.3 2.2 - - - 37.7 27.5 20.0 0.55 44.9 45.7
Tacoya Heyward - 5 16.4 4.6 4.4 1.2 1.8 0.2 1.0 3.8 7.4 - - - 52.6 0.0 75.0 1.48 55.4 52.6
Emaree Hinton - 12 10.6 3.7 2.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 3.2 3.0 - - - 50.0 0 54.5 -1.45 51.4 50.0
Yvette Sandifer - 13 16.7 1.8 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.2 3.2 2.0 1.0 - - - 26.9 0.0 69.2 -1.13 36.3 26.9
Nevaeh Washington - 8 5.7 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.8 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Kennedy Rivers - 6 6.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.5 -0.7 - - - 11.1 16.7 0 0.52 16.7 16.7
Aveion Walker - 8 2.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 16 1.1 27.0 0 0 0 0.89 0 0
Zhaire Mack - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alexia Grant - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
CeNiyah Williams - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 28 1.6 16.1 0 0 0 0.04 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG