Claflin
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1038 (#151) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1064 (#155) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1069 (#108) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.7 (#127) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.0 (#265) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.830 (#222) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.903 (#137) | NetEff +15.5 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.000 (#506) | NetEff -71.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.609 (#353) | AdjNet +3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.620 (#349) | AdjNet +4.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.569 (#344) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.646 (#124) | AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 53.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.670 (#213) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.675 (#201) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1133 (#87) | RD 105 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | @ | ETSU | L | 31 - 69 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Lynn | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Morris | W | 98 - 28 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Converse | W | 76 - 42 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Bluefield St. | W | 75 - 47 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Virginia St. | W | 64 - 49 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | W | 60 - 47 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Middle Georgia | L | 58 - 63 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | W | 68 - 34 |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 55 - 56 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Livingstone | L | 50 - 56 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Winston-Salem | L | 41 - 50 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Shaw | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | @ | Benedict | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Fayetteville St. | L | 45 - 57 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | W | 63 - 44 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Shaw | W | 66 - 44 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Shaw | W | 61 - 45 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashari Lewis | - | 14 | 26.0 | 12.2 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 12.4 | 5.5 | -14 | -3.5 | -23.9 | 37.9 | 34.9 | 60.0 | -0.97 | 44.6 | 42.2 |
| Mia Lewis | - | 14 | 24.4 | 10.0 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 7.9 | 5.0 | -50 | -4.2 | -53.2 | 40.5 | 18.2 | 71.6 | -3.21 | 49.8 | 41.4 |
| Tyra Floyd | - | 14 | 28.4 | 8.0 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 8.4 | 3.3 | - | - | - | 33.9 | 26.2 | 73.3 | - | 44.9 | 42.8 |
| Ariel Lucas | - | 14 | 27.4 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 6.8 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 28.4 | 26.8 | 58.3 | - | 39.9 | 38.4 |
| Olivia Randolph | - | 13 | 24.2 | 4.9 | 7.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 11.2 | - | - | - | 43.5 | 50.0 | 64.3 | - | 46.9 | 44.4 |
| Ryian Howard | - | 13 | 14.1 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 50.0 | 63.0 | - | 64.7 | 62.5 |
| Makailah Davis | - | 14 | 15.2 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 36.6 | 26.8 | 20.0 | - | 43.7 | 44.4 |
| Tacoya Heyward | - | 6 | 16.1 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 55.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | - | 59.7 | 57.5 |
| Emaree Hinton | - | 13 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 52.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 52.8 | 52.3 |
| Yvette Sandifer | - | 14 | 17.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 31.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 39.3 | 31.0 |
| Nevaeh Washington | - | 8 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kennedy Rivers | - | 7 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.1 | -0.6 | - | - | - | 13.3 | 22.2 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Aveion Walker | - | 8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 1.1 | 27.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Zhaire Mack | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alexia Grant | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| CeNiyah Williams | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28 | 1.6 | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.86 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG