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Christian Brothers

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 714 (#193) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +137 elo More โ†’ 718 (#193) HCA +137 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +138 elo More โ†’ 826 (#192) HCA +138 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -20.5 (#194) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -20.7 (#194) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.012 (#196) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 53.7 | AdjD 71.4 More โ†’ 0.187 (#195) AdjO 53.7 | AdjD 71.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 53.6 | AdjD 71.4 More โ†’ 0.191 (#195) AdjO 53.6 | AdjD 71.4
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 220 | GP 1 More โ†’ 683 (#193) RD 220 | GP 1

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-05 @ UT Martin L 41 - 105
2026-11-08 @ Western Ky. L 43 - 94

2026-2027 Roster

No roster data available for this season.