Chris. Newport
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1212 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1265 (#3) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.5 (#14) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.821 (#283) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.814 (#119) | NetEff +13.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.838 (#219) | AdjNet +14.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.835 (#219) | AdjNet +13.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.709 (#220) | AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 67.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Greensboro | W | 78 - 61 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | W | 85 - 77 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Wilson | W | 86 - 69 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Hampden-Sydney | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Kean | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2024-11-25 | @ | Averett | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Transylvania | W | 81 - 61 |
| 2024-12-01 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Marymount (VA) | W | 94 - 76 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Mary Baldwin | W | 96 - 76 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 82 - 80 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Misericordia | W | 81 - 50 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Berry | W | 79 - 71 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Emory | W | 83 - 76 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Johns Hopkins | W | 85 - 66 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2025-01-20 | @ | Cairn | W | 94 - 72 |
| 2025-01-26 | @ | Pfeiffer | W | 99 - 77 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | W | 76 - 57 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Salisbury | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Salisbury | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Mary Washington | W | 71 - 55 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Mary Washington | W | 72 - 58 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | W | 84 - 78 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Mary Washington | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2025-03-07 | vs | John Jay | W | 101 - 75 |
| 2025-03-08 | vs | Roanoke | L | 75 - 77 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Brazil | - | 1 | 38.0 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 83 | 4.4 | 7.4 | 45.0 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 1.69 | 51.6 | 52.5 |
| Jordan Oates | - | 1 | 38.0 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | -18 | -1.1 | -1.7 | 46.7 | 66.7 | 57.1 | 1.35 | 60.8 | 60.0 |
| Jahn Hines | - | 25 | 30.3 | 21.3 | 7.4 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 16.5 | 14.9 | 70 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 47.0 | 35.8 | 76.1 | 2.07 | 55.2 | 49.9 |
| Kevin Nowoswiat | - | 1 | 34.0 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 98 | 4.3 | 8.0 | 57.1 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 3.12 | 62.3 | 60.7 |
| Jack Gallagher | - | 1 | 27.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | -62 | -2.7 | -8.7 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 83.3 | 0.19 | 75.2 | 68.8 |
| Kevin Lazdowsky | - | 1 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | -69 | -3.8 | -7.9 | 54.5 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 0.56 | 56.8 | 59.1 |
| Shane Fernald | - | 1 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 76 | 2.5 | 7.4 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 1.73 | 48.5 | 50.0 |
| Toa Hollenbeck | - | 13 | 23.8 | 13.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 11.5 | 6.0 | 5 | 0.3 | 6.0 | 43.0 | 27.0 | 72.3 | -0.02 | 52.7 | 48.7 |
| John Seidman | - | 1 | 38.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 1.6 | 47.2 | 41.7 |
| Josh Parra | - | 1 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | -40 | -2.4 | -4.5 | 71.4 | 0 | 40.0 | -0.34 | 65.2 | 71.4 |
| Ethan Ward | - | 25 | 23.7 | 9.3 | 6.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 11.2 | 91 | 3.0 | 7.6 | 61.1 | 33.3 | 74.3 | 1.66 | 65.7 | 61.5 |
| Tyson Henderson | - | 25 | 30.2 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 7.4 | 9.9 | 98 | 3.5 | 7.6 | 41.3 | 29.4 | 90.7 | 1.6 | 54.4 | 48.1 |
| Collin Hines | - | 13 | 24.1 | 8.5 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 11.5 | -40 | -1.8 | -8.5 | 54.4 | 38.5 | 55.2 | -0.22 | 59.3 | 58.1 |
| D.J. Orloff | - | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -30 | -7.5 | -30.2 | 60.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.11 | 63.3 | 60.0 |
| Tyler Ball | - | 1 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 15 | 3.8 | 9.1 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.26 | 59.2 | 60.0 |
| Colin Radcliffe | - | 1 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -53 | -2.2 | -13.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.57 | 71.7 | 62.5 |
| Jason Ofcarcik | - | 22 | 17.4 | 6.9 | 5.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 9.0 | 145 | 7.2 | 11.6 | 62.3 | 0 | 64.5 | 3.02 | 63.5 | 62.3 |
| Leon Elung | - | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 21 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 16.7 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.93 | 34.7 | 16.7 |
| Dylan Wagner | - | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Isaiah Dozier | - | 13 | 14.8 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 4.2 | -19 | -1.9 | -4.0 | 34.6 | 22.2 | 63.2 | -0.14 | 43.1 | 38.5 |
| Franklin Jones | - | 1 | 31.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 26 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 25.0 | 1.04 | 31.5 | 33.3 |
| Hasan Hammad | - | 24 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 92 | 4.8 | 17.4 | 31.9 | 30.0 | 41.7 | 0.38 | 41.1 | 40.6 |
| Travis Stickney | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 55 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.72 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Ryan Derderian | - | 13 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.64 | 39.1 | 35.0 |
| Ryan MacKinnon | - | 20 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 57 | 6.3 | 42.9 | 47.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.16 | 69.9 | 67.6 |
| John Campbell | - | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 42 | 5.2 | 23.0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.43 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Patrick Brown | - | 1 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | -67 | -11.2 | -58.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.1 | 6.3 | 0.0 |
| Ryan Nasuti | - | 1 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Milyan Smith-Walker | - | 20 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 25.0 | -0.0 | 69.0 | 75.0 |
| Jamaal Madison | - | 13 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | -14 | -2.3 | -49.8 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.31 | 45.8 | 45.8 |
| Christian Wilson | - | 13 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | -3 | -1.0 | -2.5 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.42 | 51.9 | 50.0 |
| Kavontae Williams | - | 7 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 26 | 2.9 | 19.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| T.J. Bethea | - | 13 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | -10 | -1.2 | -28.4 | 16.7 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.43 | 34.7 | 16.7 |
| Brian Weiser | - | 12 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | -18 | -1.2 | -30.2 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.23 | 55.1 | 60.0 |
| Reece Ketron | - | 19 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -8 | -2.7 | -36.6 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.67 | 69.4 | 66.7 |
| Luka Matic | - | 18 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -21 | -4.2 | -257.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.04 | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Luke Fisher | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ty Henderson | - | 11 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1 | 1.0 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.91 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Teven Smith | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 54.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.46 | 0 | 0 |
| William Britt | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -47 | -3.1 | -194.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.55 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Cannon | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9 | 1.8 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alex Berry | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -12 | -4.0 | -113.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.92 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Steve Donahue | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75 | 4.4 | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.88 | 0 | 0 |
| Timothy Avrine | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Arvel Chandler | - | 1 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -3.0 | -82 | -3.3 | -11.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| George Mata | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Chris Meehan | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Josh Pelzer | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -5 | -2.5 | -137.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Logan Richards | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Johnson | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10 | 2.5 | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Calvin Thomas | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 0.9 | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Wynne | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -10 | -0.8 | -3.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG