🐻⬇️🏀

Chris. Newport

Also known as: Chris. Newport
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1212 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1265 (#3) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +11.5 (#14) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.821 (#283) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.0 More → 0.814 (#119) NetEff +13.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.3 More → 0.838 (#219) AdjNet +14.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.9 More → 0.835 (#219) AdjNet +13.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 67.8 More → 0.709 (#220) AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 67.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Greensboro W 78 - 61
2024-11-10 @ N.C. Wesleyan W 85 - 77
2024-11-13 @ Va. Wesleyan W 74 - 72
2024-11-16 vs Wilson W 86 - 69
2024-11-19 vs Hampden-Sydney L 71 - 74
2024-11-23 vs Kean W 77 - 63
2024-11-25 @ Averett L 65 - 80
2024-11-30 vs Transylvania W 81 - 61
2024-12-01 vs Franklin & Marshall W 72 - 64
2024-12-04 vs Marymount (VA) W 94 - 76
2024-12-07 vs Mary Baldwin W 96 - 76
2024-12-19 @ Wis.-Stevens Point L 68 - 70
2024-12-20 vs Elmhurst W 82 - 80
2024-12-29 vs Misericordia W 81 - 50
2024-12-30 vs Berry W 79 - 71
2025-01-04 vs Emory W 83 - 76
2025-01-08 @ Johns Hopkins W 85 - 66
2025-01-15 @ Randolph-Macon L 72 - 77
2025-01-20 @ Cairn W 94 - 72
2025-01-26 @ Pfeiffer W 99 - 77
2025-02-01 vs UC Santa Cruz W 76 - 57
2025-02-05 @ Salisbury W 81 - 69
2025-02-12 vs Salisbury W 67 - 65
2025-02-15 vs Mary Washington W 71 - 55
2025-02-22 @ Mary Washington W 72 - 58
2025-02-28 vs UC Santa Cruz W 84 - 78
2025-03-01 vs Mary Washington L 66 - 71
2025-03-07 vs John Jay W 101 - 75
2025-03-08 vs Roanoke L 75 - 77

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Adam Brazil - 1 38.0 22.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 20.0 11.0 83 4.4 7.4 45.0 42.9 33.3 1.69 51.6 52.5
Jordan Oates - 1 38.0 22.0 14.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 15.0 24.0 -18 -1.1 -1.7 46.7 66.7 57.1 1.35 60.8 60.0
Jahn Hines - 25 30.3 21.3 7.4 3.1 1.3 0.5 2.2 16.5 14.9 70 3.2 4.8 47.0 35.8 76.1 2.07 55.2 49.9
Kevin Nowoswiat - 1 34.0 18.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 14.0 8.0 98 4.3 8.0 57.1 20.0 100.0 3.12 62.3 60.7
Jack Gallagher - 1 27.0 16.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 8.0 -62 -2.7 -8.7 62.5 50.0 83.3 0.19 75.2 68.8
Kevin Lazdowsky - 1 26.0 15.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 8.0 -69 -3.8 -7.9 54.5 33.3 40.0 0.56 56.8 59.1
Shane Fernald - 1 25.0 14.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 10.0 76 2.5 7.4 42.9 100.0 0.0 1.73 48.5 50.0
Toa Hollenbeck - 13 23.8 13.8 2.5 1.4 0.7 0.4 1.2 11.5 6.0 5 0.3 6.0 43.0 27.0 72.3 -0.02 52.7 48.7
John Seidman - 1 38.0 13.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 13.0 -1 -0.1 -0.1 41.7 0.0 75.0 1.6 47.2 41.7
Josh Parra - 1 24.0 12.0 8.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 7.0 12.0 -40 -2.4 -4.5 71.4 0 40.0 -0.34 65.2 71.4
Ethan Ward - 25 23.7 9.3 6.2 0.8 0.4 1.4 1.1 5.8 11.2 91 3.0 7.6 61.1 33.3 74.3 1.66 65.7 61.5
Tyson Henderson - 25 30.2 9.0 3.0 4.4 1.8 0.6 1.6 7.4 9.9 98 3.5 7.6 41.3 29.4 90.7 1.6 54.4 48.1
Collin Hines - 13 24.1 8.5 6.0 2.3 0.8 0.6 1.5 5.2 11.5 -40 -1.8 -8.5 54.4 38.5 55.2 -0.22 59.3 58.1
D.J. Orloff - 1 16.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 -30 -7.5 -30.2 60.0 0 66.7 -0.11 63.3 60.0
Tyler Ball - 1 12.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 15 3.8 9.1 40.0 50.0 50.0 0.26 59.2 60.0
Colin Radcliffe - 1 26.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 7.0 -53 -2.2 -13.7 50.0 50.0 100.0 -0.57 71.7 62.5
Jason Ofcarcik - 22 17.4 6.9 5.6 0.5 0.6 1.1 0.9 4.8 9.0 145 7.2 11.6 62.3 0 64.5 3.02 63.5 62.3
Leon Elung - 1 26.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 21 1.1 3.2 16.7 0 66.7 1.93 34.7 16.7
Dylan Wagner - 1 13.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 51.2 50.0
Isaiah Dozier - 13 14.8 4.0 3.1 1.2 1.2 0.0 1.4 4.0 4.2 -19 -1.9 -4.0 34.6 22.2 63.2 -0.14 43.1 38.5
Franklin Jones - 1 31.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 26 1.6 3.9 33.3 0 25.0 1.04 31.5 33.3
Hasan Hammad - 24 8.2 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.7 2.9 1.5 92 4.8 17.4 31.9 30.0 41.7 0.38 41.1 40.6
Travis Stickney - 1 13.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 55 3.1 5.2 0 0 100.0 1.72 113.6 0
Ryan Derderian - 13 6.1 1.3 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.1 0 0.0 0.0 35.0 0.0 75.0 -0.64 39.1 35.0
Ryan MacKinnon - 20 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.8 57 6.3 42.9 47.1 50.0 100.0 0.16 69.9 67.6
John Campbell - 1 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 42 5.2 23.0 0 0 50.0 0.43 56.8 0
Patrick Brown - 1 17.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 2.0 -67 -11.2 -58.8 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.1 6.3 0.0
Ryan Nasuti - 1 15.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 12.9 0.0
Milyan Smith-Walker - 20 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0 0.0 0.0 66.7 100.0 25.0 -0.0 69.0 75.0
Jamaal Madison - 13 3.9 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.6 -14 -2.3 -49.8 33.3 50.0 0 -0.31 45.8 45.8
Christian Wilson - 13 4.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.8 -3 -1.0 -2.5 42.9 33.3 50.0 0.42 51.9 50.0
Kavontae Williams - 7 3.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.1 26 2.9 19.3 33.3 0.0 0 0.18 33.3 33.3
T.J. Bethea - 13 1.9 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 -10 -1.2 -28.4 16.7 0 66.7 -0.43 34.7 16.7
Brian Weiser - 12 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 -18 -1.2 -30.2 60.0 0 0.0 -0.23 55.1 60.0
Reece Ketron - 19 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 -8 -2.7 -36.6 66.7 0.0 66.7 -0.67 69.4 66.7
Luka Matic - 18 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 -21 -4.2 -257.1 100.0 0 0.0 -1.04 69.4 100.0
Luke Fisher - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ty Henderson - 11 1.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1 1.0 9.3 0.0 0.0 0 -0.91 0.0 0.0
Teven Smith - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 1.0 54.5 0 0 0 -1.46 0 0
William Britt - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 -47 -3.1 -194.8 0 0 0 -0.55 0 0
Alex Cannon - 1 15.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 9 1.8 11.0 0.0 0 0.0 -0.11 0.0 0.0
Alex Berry - 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 -12 -4.0 -113.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.92 0.0 0.0
Steve Donahue - 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 75 4.4 19.1 0 0 0 0.88 0 0
Timothy Avrine - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Arvel Chandler - 1 19.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 -3.0 -82 -3.3 -11.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.51 0.0 0.0
George Mata - 1 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Chris Meehan - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Josh Pelzer - 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 -5 -2.5 -137.9 0.0 0.0 0 -1.36 0.0 0.0
Logan Richards - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jayden Johnson - 1 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10 2.5 11.3 0 0 0 -0.03 0 0
Calvin Thomas - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12 0.9 11.8 0 0 0 0.04 0 0
Patrick Wynne - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -10 -0.8 -3.7 0.0 0 0 0.2 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG