Chris. Newport
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1320 (#5) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1351 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1257 (#3) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.6 (#109) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.9 (#291) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.821 (#283) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.838 (#219) | AdjNet +14.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.835 (#219) | AdjNet +13.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.709 (#220) | AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.660 (#137) | AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 69.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.748 (#151) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.753 (#132) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1342 (#9) | RD 113 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Randolph-Macon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Catholic | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Cairn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Dickinson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Pfeiffer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Marymount (VA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Southern Va. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Emory | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Denison | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Hood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | RIT | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Rowan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Stockton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Johns Hopkins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | East Tex. Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-18 | vs | Mary Hardin-Baylor | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Mary Washington | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Moorer | - | 1 | 36.0 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 107 | 5.1 | 25.7 | 47.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 2.81 | 57.9 | 57.9 |
| Kullen Robinson | - | 1 | 31.0 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 92 | 4.8 | 21.9 | 58.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.56 | 64.7 | 64.7 |
| Toa Hollenbeck | - | 9 | 26.1 | 18.9 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 13.1 | 9.2 | - | - | - | 44.9 | 40.4 | 86.5 | 0.99 | 60.3 | 53.0 |
| Ben Lim | - | 1 | 29.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 11.0 | -76 | -5.4 | -37.0 | 53.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.93 | 65.4 | 65.4 |
| Charlie Jackson | - | 1 | 36.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 62 | 3.1 | 17.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.33 | 69.7 | 60.0 |
| Joe Espy | - | 1 | 34.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | -93 | -5.2 | -54.2 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 1.83 | 46.3 | 42.9 |
| Tyrell Beverly | - | 3 | 19.9 | 14.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.7 | 9.7 | - | - | - | 65.2 | 69.2 | 100.0 | - | 86.8 | 84.8 |
| Leo Wagner | - | 1 | 30.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | -86 | -5.4 | -73.4 | 38.5 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 1.17 | 48.9 | 46.2 |
| Miles Hancock | - | 1 | 33.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | -19 | -1.1 | -28.5 | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -4.16 | 63.0 | 66.7 |
| Thomas Conley | - | 1 | 34.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | -109 | -6.8 | -77.8 | 44.4 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -1.14 | 51.1 | 50.0 |
| Tyson Henderson | - | 16 | 30.0 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 7.4 | 13.1 | -46 | -2.7 | -94.6 | 51.3 | 36.6 | 78.3 | 2.04 | 62.1 | 57.6 |
| Collin Hines | - | 9 | 26.9 | 9.1 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 8.6 | 10.2 | - | - | - | 48.1 | 20.0 | 30.4 | -0.55 | 47.1 | 48.7 |
| Troy Fulton | - | 1 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 46 | 2.4 | 32.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 2.18 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Jude Huseby | - | 1 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 79 | 4.2 | 20.5 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.89 | 46.1 | 37.5 |
| Brody Brown | - | 1 | 35.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 19 | 0.9 | 4.7 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.52 | 60.5 | 64.3 |
| Nigel Pierman | - | 1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | -47 | -2.4 | -14.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -2.26 | 41.8 | 33.3 |
| Zyir Baskerville | - | 13 | 17.5 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 7.7 | 6.1 | - | - | - | 41.0 | 32.3 | 68.2 | 3.41 | 48.8 | 46.0 |
| Ethan Ward | - | 16 | 23.5 | 8.0 | 6.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5.2 | 9.6 | - | - | - | 51.2 | 0.0 | 65.6 | 3.8 | 57.1 | 51.2 |
| Josiah Turner | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 9 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 42.9 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 1.52 | 48.1 | 57.1 |
| Zac Ditzel | - | 1 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 31 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.64 | 32.2 | 30.0 |
| Isaiah Dozier | - | 9 | 17.4 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.4 | 5.9 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 31.2 | 86.7 | 1.02 | 54.0 | 48.0 |
| Tanti Felli | - | 1 | 29.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 24 | 1.3 | 7.6 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.85 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Aidan Carleson | - | 1 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | -98 | -5.4 | -117.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -5.62 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Jake Bolyn | - | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 32 | 2.9 | 102.4 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 2.12 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Tyler Sprague | - | 13 | 14.7 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.6 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -3.31 | 44.1 | 43.3 |
| Malcolm Velmar | - | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 91 | 5.1 | 31.1 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.06 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Ryan MacKinnon | - | 8 | 13.6 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 5.1 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 26.8 | 12.5 | 50.0 | 2.27 | 32.1 | 30.5 |
| Ryan Derderian | - | 9 | 13.3 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.7 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0 | 62.5 | -1.23 | 47.5 | 44.4 |
| Nolan Smith | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -27 | -1.4 | -17.8 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -2.67 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Dan Becil | - | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.05 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Teagan Swint | - | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 32 | 1.8 | 41.8 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 2.92 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Milyan Smith-Walker | - | 12 | 8.1 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 42.3 | 37.5 | 71.4 | 0.02 | 51.6 | 48.1 |
| Luka Matic | - | 4 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 0 | 0 | - | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Jason Ofcarcik | - | 9 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.9 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 0.0 | 14.3 | -4.49 | 55.0 | 62.5 |
| Cam Quarles | - | 8 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 31.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 2.17 | 45.3 | 44.7 |
| Brandon Freeman | - | 9 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 20.0 | 75.0 | -3.27 | 36.3 | 29.2 |
| Hunter Kennedy | - | 1 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | -74 | -5.3 | -80.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.73 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Demeir Pollard | - | 1 | 30.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 35 | 1.8 | 11.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.45 | 12.7 | 0.0 |
| Garrett Cox | - | 1 | 34.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 91 | 5.4 | 46.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.84 | 10.1 | 0.0 |
| Gage Linton | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 53 | 2.8 | 19.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.82 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Xavier Nelson | - | 1 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | -55 | -2.6 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -3.21 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Kavontae Williams | - | 6 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 16 | 1.6 | 26.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.97 | 57.9 | 66.7 |
| T.J. Bethea | - | 7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 32.2 | 16.7 |
| Brian Weiser | - | 8 | 6.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 0.0 | 16.7 | -1.03 | 21.5 | 22.2 |
| Luke Fisher | - | 4 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Toby Haire | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 0.5 | 29.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.87 | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Holly | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.9 | 914.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jaron Josephs | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -22 | -2.8 | -44.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.97 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Otis | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -59 | -3.9 | -25.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.87 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Evan Rainville | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Stevenson | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 13.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.69 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG