Chowan
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1025 (#197) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1016 (#270) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1089 (#81) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.7 (#191) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.6 (#277) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.744 (#271) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.541 (#389) | AdjNet +1.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.563 (#380) | AdjNet +2.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.515 (#398) | AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 63.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.604 (#164) | AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 58.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.586 (#277) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.608 (#261) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1088 (#149) | RD 108 | GP 18 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Virginia Union | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 72 - 56 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Lees-McRae | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Ferrum | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Barton | L | 59 - 61 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Virginia St. | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 51 - 52 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Francis Marion | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Shorter | W | 57 - 48 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | North Greenville | W | 69 - 57 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | UNC Pembroke | W | 71 - 56 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 56 - 63 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | King (TN) | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Ferrum | W | 48 - 44 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Mount Olive | W | 66 - 48 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 81 - 70 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yasmine Brown | - | 16 | 26.6 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 10.3 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 39.4 | 32.4 | 63.2 | - | 48.5 | 43.0 |
| Nyeisha Savage | - | 12 | 25.3 | 10.5 | 8.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 8.2 | 12.3 | - | - | - | 56.1 | 0 | 64.0 | - | 57.8 | 56.1 |
| Nyeshia Savage | - | 3 | 21.4 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 11.3 | - | - | - | 52.4 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 53.1 | 52.4 |
| Wisdom Banks | - | 16 | 25.5 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 8.5 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 39.7 | 11.8 | 63.6 | - | 42.6 | 40.4 |
| Desiree Askew | - | 15 | 27.7 | 7.5 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 8.1 | - | - | - | 48.1 | 0 | 67.9 | - | 55.1 | 48.1 |
| Alexandria James-Fearon | - | 16 | 19.8 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 6.1 | 6.9 | - | - | - | 45.4 | 0.0 | 59.5 | - | 48.6 | 45.4 |
| Daneesha Briggs | - | 16 | 14.7 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 5.6 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 34.8 | 31.0 | 81.2 | - | 50.5 | 47.2 |
| Ayanna Rutledge | - | 16 | 24.8 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 6.3 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 28.7 | 19.2 | 66.7 | - | 36.3 | 31.2 |
| Jade Clowney | - | 10 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.8 | -0.8 | - | - | - | 26.3 | 29.6 | 50.0 | - | 37.7 | 36.8 |
| Sa'ni Savage | - | 16 | 11.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 34.1 | 0 | 58.3 | - | 40.3 | 34.1 |
| Keilani Johnson | - | 8 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 47.1 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 50.3 | 50.0 |
| Yawmari Darden | - | 7 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 54.5 | 54.5 |
| Aquarius Pettaway | - | 15 | 9.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 21.7 | 0 | 65.2 | - | 37.7 | 21.7 |
| Breya Busby | - | 13 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 28.0 | 11.1 | 66.7 | - | 36.3 | 30.0 |
| Aniyah Rainey | - | 4 | 12.1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | -2.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 3.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG