🐻⬇️🏀

Chowan

Also known as: Chowan
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 989 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 975 (#214) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +5.0 (#164) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.652 (#254) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.7 More → 0.643 (#146) NetEff +5.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.6 More → 0.680 (#310) AdjNet +6.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.8 More → 0.688 (#311) AdjNet +6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.617 (#308) AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 74.7

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Lenoir-Rhyne W 81 - 68
2024-11-09 vs Tusculum W 86 - 82
2024-11-13 @ Virginia St. W 96 - 91
2024-11-16 @ Elizabeth City St. L 67 - 73
2024-11-18 vs West Virginia St. L 86 - 88
2024-11-23 @ Emmanuel (GA) L 77 - 92
2024-11-27 vs Elizabeth City St. L 0 - 0
2024-11-30 vs Converse L 0 - 0
2024-12-01 vs Augusta L 99 - 105
2024-12-07 vs Barton W 99 - 89
2024-12-14 vs Mount Olive W 109 - 104
2024-12-17 @ North Greenville W 81 - 73
2025-01-04 vs Emmanuel (GA) W 74 - 72
2025-01-08 @ Francis Marion W 95 - 80
2025-01-15 vs UNC Pembroke W 88 - 87
2025-01-18 @ King (TN) L 79 - 90
2025-01-21 vs Lees-McRae L 90 - 93
2025-01-25 vs Belmont Abbey W 90 - 62
2025-01-29 vs Francis Marion W 106 - 86
2025-02-01 @ Erskine W 96 - 75
2025-02-05 @ Mount Olive L 87 - 95
2025-02-08 vs Shorter W 102 - 71
2025-02-12 @ UNC Pembroke L 63 - 94
2025-02-14 @ Lees-McRae W 82 - 68
2025-02-16 vs Converse W 95 - 66
2025-02-22 vs Southern Wesleyan W 81 - 68
2025-02-24 @ Young Harris W 65 - 62
2025-02-26 @ Barton L 72 - 94
2025-03-07 vs Barton W 86 - 76
2025-03-08 @ Emmanuel (GA) L 69 - 77

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Daylan Askew - 28 33.6 21.9 3.4 3.5 0.8 0.6 1.9 15.0 13.2 -6 -0.2 -0.4 47.0 41.1 80.4 0.93 62.0 56.9
Aaron Ross - 28 25.8 12.4 4.6 1.3 0.6 0.0 1.3 9.8 7.8 -3 -0.1 -0.2 45.6 32.4 65.8 1.1 56.0 53.6
RJ Wilson - 28 28.4 11.6 6.4 2.9 0.6 0.5 2.4 8.7 11.1 18 0.7 1.3 46.1 30.5 74.2 0.68 56.9 52.1
Damerius Summers - 27 15.4 10.2 4.9 0.7 0.4 0.6 1.3 7.8 7.8 26 0.8 6.4 55.0 25.0 62.1 0.72 58.1 56.6
Eric Gordon Jr. - 28 25.5 8.2 1.6 2.4 0.8 0.0 1.4 6.3 5.3 40 1.0 3.2 41.8 41.3 76.5 1.83 57.7 54.0
William Hynes - 28 15.1 5.6 2.0 2.0 0.6 0.2 1.4 3.4 5.6 2 0.1 0.5 46.3 49.1 71.2 0.03 64.5 60.0
Dominique Bailey - 27 12.1 5.3 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 1.0 4.2 4.1 -7 -0.3 -1.7 40.7 31.6 77.6 0.28 52.8 46.0
Cheick Traore - 27 21.3 5.0 7.0 0.6 0.3 1.1 0.8 2.8 10.4 -23 -0.9 -2.2 67.1 0.0 57.9 0.96 66.8 67.1
Keith Reese Jr. - 28 12.1 3.5 2.8 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.4 3.9 7 0.4 2.3 56.7 38.5 59.3 0.03 61.5 60.4
Israel Powell - 26 5.1 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.2 0.9 39 1.4 16.7 39.3 41.7 50.0 0.41 48.7 48.2
Martinie Kamga - 28 2.8 0.4 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 -22 -1.1 -47.1 35.7 0 33.3 -0.58 36.1 35.7
Zach Riddle - 27 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -59 -3.5 -175.2 20.0 33.3 0 -0.76 30.0 30.0
Cameron Spencer - 26 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.1 -16 -2.0 -91.4 12.5 16.7 0 -0.99 18.8 18.8
Joe Lazeau II - 22 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -0.5 -4.5 0.0 0.0 0 1.19 0.0 0.0
Jalen Hines - 18 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG