Chowan
Model Outputs
2019-2020
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 919 (#213) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 926 (#221) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 947 (#202) | HCA +79 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.5 (#173) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.0 (#183) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.531 (#146) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.607 (#184) | AdjNet +3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.610 (#184) | AdjNet +3.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.570 (#176) | AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 72.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.526 (#162) | AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.514 (#194) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.506 (#195) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 911 (#219) | RD 104 | GP 25 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-09 | vs | West Va. Tech | W | 93 - 88 |
| 2019-11-14 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | L | 73 - 82 |
| 2019-11-16 | vs | Fayetteville St. | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2019-11-20 | vs | Mid-Atlantic Christ. | W | 87 - 77 |
| 2019-11-23 | vs | North Greenville | L | 81 - 83 |
| 2019-11-26 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 95 - 63 |
| 2019-12-03 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 76 - 86 |
| 2019-12-10 | vs | Regent | W | 86 - 54 |
| 2019-12-14 | vs | Erskine | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2019-12-17 | @ | Barton | L | 71 - 81 |
| 2020-01-04 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2020-01-08 | @ | Mount Olive | L | 86 - 89 |
| 2020-01-11 | vs | King (TN) | W | 84 - 80 |
| 2020-01-15 | @ | Limestone | W | 81 - 54 |
| 2020-01-18 | @ | Lees-McRae | W | 87 - 75 |
| 2020-01-20 | @ | North Greenville | L | 79 - 88 |
| 2020-01-25 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | W | 68 - 55 |
| 2020-01-28 | vs | Belmont Abbey | L | 83 - 85 |
| 2020-02-01 | @ | Erskine | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2020-02-06 | @ | Salem (WV) | L | 96 - 98 |
| 2020-02-08 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 61 - 71 |
| 2020-02-11 | vs | Barton | L | 68 - 72 |
| 2020-02-15 | @ | King (TN) | L | 84 - 103 |
| 2020-02-19 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 92 - 89 |
| 2020-02-22 | vs | Lees-McRae | L | 74 - 79 |
| 2020-02-25 | vs | Limestone | W | 82 - 75 |
2020 Roster
No roster data available for this season.