Chowan Hawks
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 977 (#373) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 974 (#392) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 997 (#299) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.6 (#544) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.3 (#475) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.471 (#369) | AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 69.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.301 (#467) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.333 (#459) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 917 (#412) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-27 | @ | High Point Panthers | L | 60 - 90 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jay Estime'
|
G | 1 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
R.J. Wilson
|
F | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
Chase Barnett
|
G | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Donavon Martin
|
G | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0 | 0 |
Jaylen Dilliard
|
G | 1 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Cheick Traore
|
F | 1 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Calvin Ahoume
|
F | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Aaron James
|
G | 1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Akeemis Williams
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -50 | -1.9 | -2.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.61 | 0 | 0 |
Xavier Young
|
G | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Christian Koonce
|
G | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Joshua Wilson
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | 233 | 6.3 | 8.7 | - | - | - | 0.76 | - | - |
Tahkey Williams
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | -95 | -5.3 | -13.3 | - | - | - | 1.06 | - | - |
Paul Whitby
|
G | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Daylen Askew
|
G | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 36 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 |
Marcus Elliott
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Royce Jarett
|
G | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG